Dante Stakes (York) Betting Tips & Preview – Thursday 17th May 2018

Dante was the last horse trained in Yorkshire to win the Derby and it’s in his honour that this race is named. It’s the highlight event of the three day Festival by the same name at York which reaches the midway point on Thursday.

This race serves as one of the major trials for the Derby and possibly eyeing up a memorable double is Wells Farhh Go. While he is a strong looking option for this race though, the colt stands as a 33/1 outside in the ante-post for the Classic at Epsom.

Top Tips

Wells Farhh Go to win @ 15/2

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

A continued spell of warm dry weather has seen the turf at York firm up. The pace should be a fairly quick one as a result on a track which tends to suit the long-striding galloping types. Keep your eye on the winner of this race as on 10 occasions the Dante champion has gone on to win the Derby, the last to do so being Golden Horn two years ago.

GoingDistanceGroupPrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good to firm 1m 2f 56y 2 £165,000 9 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

While there hasn’t been a winning favourite in this race since Authorized in 2007, we have seen four winners priced 9/2 or less in this time.

John Gosden was on course for a hat-trick of victories last year but heavy rain prior forced him to pull the favourite Cracksman.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2017 Permian 10/1 Mark Johnston Franny Norton
2016 Wings of Desire 9/1 John Gosden Frankie Dettori
2015 Golden Horn 4/1 John Gosden William Buick
2014 Libertarian 33/1 Kevin Ryan Ryan Moore
2013 Society Rock 10/1 Elaine Burke William Buick

Analysis: Gosden set for Dante frustration

John Gosden is responsible for the two front runners here and he’ll be hopeful that one from his stable can do the business for him. Top of the betting is Roaring Lion at 2/1 fresh from a run at the 2000 Guineas, closely followed by the Crossed Baton (9/2) who is looking for a third consecutive victory.

You can’t say either of his entries look unbeatable however and they are up against some strong rivals on the Knavesmire. It would be no real surprise to see him have to wait for his fourth Dante crown especially given how poorly favourites have fared in recent years.

Can Wells Farhh Go the distance?

A win here would give Wells Farhh Go a reputation as somewhat of a course specialist. His two performances last season came at York and on both occasions he was first past the line despite not being overly fancied. The pair of victories were over seven furlongs but he’s packed on the size since his last outing and Tim Easterby believes he can easily go three furlongs further now. Distance shouldn’t be a problem for the bay colt and neither should the hardening ground at York.

Crossed Baton lacking the required pace

There’s not too much to take from Crossed Baton’s pair of Class 5 victories but his Listed win at Epsom last month is worth noting. The three-year-old had the benefit of dictating the pace that day though and Frankie Dettori made sure to slow things down before kicking home two furlongs out. The colt never relinquished his lead but clocked a fairly slow time with this strategy. He won’t have the luxury of being able to choose the tempo this time and this could see him struggle.

Roaring Lion losing his voice?

John Gosden’s horse has gone three races without a win now. There can be no real criticism of his performance in the ultra-competitive 2000 Guineas where he did about as well as expected. He was not himself on his season debut when easily a beaten favourite though, once again not relishing the final furlong of a one mile test. With little in the way of form ahead of this race and the trip perhaps a touch long, 2/1 is not a tempting price for him.

Final Verdict: Wells Farhh Go to Win

Tim Easterby is expecting big things from his lightly raced three-year-old on his seasonal debut and he’s well worth backing to deliver the goods. He’ll be able to stretch his long legs at York and the galloping course will be once again just to his taste.

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