St James’s Palace Stakes (Ascot) Betting Tips & Preview – Tuesday 19th June 2018

The third and final of the Group 1’s at Royal Ascot is one of the most famous races of the whole meeting, as the classic generation of colts lock horns over the Guineas distance of one mile. One of the races picked up by Frankel during his illustrious career, the roll of honour here reads like a who’s who of the greatest milers in the history of the sport.

This has largely been the preserve of the big British and Irish yards over the years, but we will be backing one of the smaller operations in the game to come out this time around with a horse who brings the best of the 2000 Guineas form to the table.

Top Tips

Tip Two Win to win @ 5/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

£500,000 in total prize money is on offer for this Group 1 contest held over a trip of 1m and set to be run on good to firm going this year.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good to Firm 1m Group 1 £500,000 15 Runners 1/4 1-3

Recent Winners

Another Group 1 in which it is Aidan O’Brien who leads the way amongst the trainers. His seven total wins – including three in the past decade – put the Ballydoyle maestro atop the all-time list.

The 2000 Guineas at Newmarket has been the key race to look at here in recent years, with the past five winners of this having either won or finished second in the colt’s Classic.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2017 Barney Roy 5/2 Richard Hannon James Doyle
2016 Galileo Gold 6/1 Hugo Palmer Frankie Dettori
2015 Gleneagles 8/15 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2014 Kingman 8/11 John Gosden James Doyle
2013 Dawn Approach 5/4 Jim Bolger Kevin Manning

Analysis: Teal Stable Star Is The Tip

This contest often sees the horses from the English, Irish and French 2000 Guineas locking horns, and this year is no exception. We have the winners of both the Irish and French versions as well as the runner up from Newmarket all set to go to post this year.

When we add an unbeaten son of Frankel to the mix, in addition to a whole host of other promising sorts, we have all the makings of a fascinating renewal.

Parole Without Equal?

Many of the runners in this year’s line-up possess excellent pieces of form in the book – as you might expect for a Group 1 affair – but just one of these colts is yet to taste defeat at the track. That horse is the John Gosden trained runner, Without Parole. By the brilliant Frankel and a half-brother to Group 1 winner Tamarkuz, this one is certainly bred to be good and has largely lived up to his billing on the track. More workmanlike than anything when landing the Listed Heron Stakes at Sandown last time out, he is expected to come on a bundle for what was his first run following a setback and heads the market here.

Tip Two Win To Win?

We don’t have the English Guineas winner going to post this year, as Saxon Warrior looks set to go for the Irish Derby. We do however have the runner up from Newmarket in the form of the Roger Teal runner, Tip Two Win. This ultra-consistent performer has yet to finish outside the first three in eight career starts and took his form to new heights when chasing home the favourite at Newmarket. That’s amongst the very best form on offer here and he looks sure to be involved.

Romanised The Wise Choice?

Whilst it is the Newmarket Classic which has often pointed the way to success in this, it may be unwise to ignore the form of the Irish 2000 Guineas ahead of this year’s renewal. Gustav Klimt finished close up in both races suggesting that the contests were of a broadly similar quality. As such Irish 2000 winner, Romanised looks well worth a second look in this. He won’t be a 25/1 shot as he was over in Ireland, but hailing from the unheralded Ken Condon yard may still be a little underestimated in the market

Final Verdict: Tip Two Win to win

Without Parole is greatly respected here, given his appeal on paper, promise shown so far and excellent trainer. He has however yet to produce a run equal to that of either Tip Two Win or Romanised.

It’s a tough choice between the two horses with Guineas form, but we just suspect that Tip Two Win’s running style will be more suited to racing round a bend than Romanised who needs to build up a head of steam. Take the Roger Teal runner to record a famous success.

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