Liverpool v AS Roma Betting Tips & Preview – Tuesday 24th April 2018

Roma’s first Champions League semi-final match since 1984 sees them take on Liverpool at Anfield. The Italians pulled off a remarkable comeback to reach this stage and more drama can be expected in this tie.

Liverpool’s last semi-final appearance was a decade ago but they have plenty of history in this competition, winning it five times previously. The Reds have the quality to make it to the next round but with the stakes so high, will they have the necessary nerve to see it through?

Top Tips

Roma to win @ 11/2

Both teams to score @ 4/6

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Liverpool Form

The crowd could well make the difference in the first leg of this semi-final clash. The Reds are by no means a poor side on the road but their home form is rather intimidating. They’ve won five of their last six matches at Anfield, scoring 17 goals and conceding just one. The only game they didn’t win was a complete dead rubber tie against Porto too. With Liverpool 5-0 ahead coming into the match, you can’t blame them for taking things easy in the second leg.

Not only do the Merseysiders boast a strong home record but they’ve put in plenty of good performance on the European stage this season. They remain unbeaten in the Champions League this term and have amassed 39 goals if you include the two qualifying matches against Hoffenheim. Jurgen Klopp has improved the defensive weaknesses that were apparent earlier in the season too and this paid dividends in the last round against an extremely talented Man City side. Although they benefitted from a few marginal decisions, Liverpool did very well to limit Pep Guardiola’s men as much as they did during the 5-1 aggregate win.

MatchDateScoreResult
Liverpool v Bournemouth 14th April 2018 3-0 Win
Manchester City v Liverpool 10th April 2018 1-2 Win
Everton v Liverpool 7th March 2018 0-0 Draw

Roma Form

Roma’s last European match away from home saw them lose 4-1 at the Nou Camp, a scoreline that didn’t fairly reflect how the game went. Two own goals helped give Barcelona a three goal lead ahead of the second leg that they scarcely deserved. The injustice was undone at the Stadio Olimpico as Di Francesco’s men took advantage of a lacklustre Barca display to overturn a three goal deficit. It was only the third time in Champions League history a side has come back from such a margin, an achievement Roma fans will long cherish.

Despite the morale boosting 3-0 win, Roma were involved in a rather drab draw in the Rome derby just five days later. Their attack, which had looked dangerous mid-week, struggled to carve open many chances against their local rivals. They did return to scoring ways in their next game against Genoa but this time it was the Giallorossi who benefitted from an own goal. Cengiz Under grabbed the other and the Turk has thoroughly impressed since making his move to Serie A. He could play a big part in this game along with Edin Dzeko who has scored in his last three Champions League matches and has a good record against the Reds.

MatchDateScoreResult
Roma v Genoa 18th April 2018 2-1 Win
Lazio v Roma 15th April 2018 0-0 Draw
Roma v Barcelona 10th April 2018 3-0 Win

Head to Head Stats

These two teams haven’t met in a competitive environment since going head to head in the second group stage of the 2001/02 Champions League.

Their history dates back to 1984 when they met for the European Cup final. It took penalties to separate them but Liverpool held their nerve to seal a famous win in Rome.

DateHomeScoreAwayResultCompetition
19th Mar 2002 Liverpool 2 - 0 Roma Liverpool Champions League
5th Oct 2001 Roma 0 - 0 Liverpool Draw Champions League
22nd Feb 2001 Liverpool 0 - 1 Roma Roma UEFA Cup

Injuries & Suspensions

Jurgen Klopp has a few injury concerns here but most of his key men will be at his disposal.

Liverpool

  • Joel Matip - Won’t play again this season.
  • Adam Lallana - Injuries continue to plague his season.
  • Emre Can - May return next month if he recovers quickly.
  • Joe Gomez - Back in full training and should be fully fit.
  • Nathaniel Clyne - Injury likely to rule him out.
  • Dejan Lovren - Ankle problem not thought to be serious but he remains a doubt.

Roma

  • Rick Karsdorp - Closing in on a return after a six month absence.
  • Gregoire Defrel - Ankle sprain may rule him out of contention.

Betting Tips

Liverpool are the overwhelming favourites to claim a first leg lead as it appears Roma aren’t being taken seriously enough once again.

Roma to win

At such long odds, it’s definitely worth gambling on Roma here. Life won’t be easy for them at Anfield but they’ve won away in Ukraine against Shakhtar Donetsk and recently beat a talented Barcelona side. Having had the services of Mohamed Salah before, they may perhaps know the best way of keeping the Egyptian quiet. Liverpool have a formidable Champions League home record but this really does look like a game that could go either way.

Both teams to score

Liverpool have been scoring for fun in this competition and they have a strikeforce which appears to be almost unstoppable. Roma don’t have the most water-tight defence so goals for the home side seem very likely here. The visitors are good value to respond with goals of their own however. They managed three at Stamford Bridge against Chelsea during their last trip to England, Edin Dzeko with his Premier League experience netting two of them.

Roma to win/draw

For a safer alternative than Roma to win, you can back them not to lose at 13/8 which is still a good value bet. The Italians are simply being undervalued for this match and they won’t need too much to go in their favour in order to claim a draw at Anfield.

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