Stoke City v Burnley Betting Tips & Preview – Sunday 22nd April 2018

Stoke come into Sunday’s clash with Burnley as one of three sides trading at a large odds-on price to face the drop. The Potters are not completely without hope though as a strong end to the season could see them pull off a dramatic escape.

To stand any chance of this happening, three points against the Clarets is surely a must here for Paul Lambert’s men. It’s a tough ask but Chelsea showed that it can be done when taking on Burnley mid-week.

Top Tips

Draw @ 23/10

Under 2.5 goals @ 8/15

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Stoke City Form

Paul Lambert won his first game in charge of Stoke but he’s yet to taste victory again in the 10 attempts that have followed. The Scot can consider himself unfortunate that this is the case as the Potters were only minutes away from a win against West Ham on Monday night. Peter Crouch put the visitors ahead but a fine Andy Carroll volley denied them a valuable three points. In the previous away match Stoke were closing in a surprise draw with Arsenal but their resistance was broken 75 minutes in, as a harsh penalty was awarded against Bruno Martins Indi.

At the Bet365 Stadium, the Potters have lost their last three but two of them came against top four opposition and the other saw them reduced to 10 men after just half an hour. Lambert’s side never stood a chance against Man City but were not far from draws against both Everton and Tottenham. A late Cenk Tosun header denied them in the first and against Spurs, Mame Biram Diouf wasted a huge chance to level the score late on. There can be no more hard luck stories for them now though, it’s three points or bust for the relegation candidates here.

MatchDateScoreResult
West Ham United v Stoke City 16th April 2018 1-1 Draw
Stoke City v Tottenham Hotspur 7th April 2018 1-2 Loss
Arsenal v Stoke City 1st March 2018 3-0 Loss

Burnley Form

Burnley’s five game winning streak came to an end on Thursday night as they fell to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of Chelsea. There is little shame losing to a side higher up in the table though in a game in which Chelsea showed their class with a fine defensive performance. Burnley did eventually breakdown the Chelsea rearguard courtesy of Ashley Barnes but they only registered one other shot on target during the match. As Sean Dyche said after the game, the top six are a different animal so he felt no disappointment with his side following the deserved defeat.

Against teams below them in the table, Burnley have been faring rather well of late. They’ve won all five clashes since the start of March and on four occasions ground out the results by a one goal margin in classic Burnley style. It was only against West Ham that they won with a large degree of comfort, scoring three goals in a game for the first time since the opening day of the season. Chris Wood bagged a brace against the Hammers and although he was kept quiet against Chelsea, the New Zealander has been in good form with five goals in his last six appearances.

MatchDateScoreResult
Burnley v Chelsea 19th April 2018 1-2 Loss
Burnley v Leicester City 14th April 2018 2-1 Win
Watford v Burnley 7th April 2018 1-2 Win

Head to Head Stats

Burnley left it late against Stoke in December, breaking the deadlock in the 89th minutes thanks to substitute Ashley Barnes. This has not be a thrilling game for the neutral with six of their seven Premier League meetings featuring two goals or fewer.

DateHomeScoreAwayResultCompetition
12th Dec 2017 Burnley 1 - 0 Stoke Burnley Premier League
4th Apr 2017 Burnley 1 - 0 Stoke Burnley Premier League
3rd Dec 2016 Stoke 2 - 0 Burnley Stoke Premier League

Injuries & Suspensions

As well as a few injuries, Paul Lambert will be without Ibrahim Afellay and Jese who have both been shunned from the squad due to their bad attitudes.

Stoke City

  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting - On the mend but return date not known.
  • Konstantinos Stafylidis - Rib injury expected to keep him out again.
  • Glen Johnson - Groin strain puts his involvement in doubt.
  • Lee Grant - Out with a wrist problem.

Burnley

  • Scott Arfield - Ruled out with a calf problem.
  • Georges-Kevin N’Koudou - Doubtful due a tight hamstring.
  • Steven Defour - Unlikely to feature again this season.
  • Ben Mee - Slim chance of being fit for this match.
  • Jonathan Walters - Close to a return from a three month layoff.
  • Robbie Brady - Still recovering from knee surgery.

Betting Tips

Burnley remain in the hunt for a top six finish but as long as Southampton don’t win the FA Cup, their current position of seventh will be enough to secure European football next season.

Draw

Burnley have been enjoying a good patch of form since March and it’s hard to see them losing this game as a result. Up against a side who have been showing plenty of fight just lately though, three points might be too much for the visitors. Stoke have the benefit of a longer rest coming into the match and recent efforts suggest that a draw is not beyond them against the Clarets.

Under 2.5 goals

This fixture has not produced many goals over the past few years and it’s hard to see this game being an exception. Stoke have failed to score more than once in their last 10 matches and injury to Choupo-Moting hasn’t helped. Burnley have been finding the net a decent amount lately but they’ve not been creating lots of opportunities and their scoring rate should slow down soon.

Correct score 1-1

A low scoring draw looks to be on the cards for this game making a final score bet of 1-1 a tempting option at odds of 11/2.

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