Australian Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions – Sunday 17th March 2019

Australia Grand Prix Track Guide

The new Formula 1 season is back under way, with focus turning to the Australian Grand Prix this weekend. There’s plenty of expectation as Ferrari look to close the gap on Mercedes this term. They’ve been edging ever closer in the last couple of seasons, but will this be the year when Lewis Hamilton and co are toppled? We’ve seen a few false dawns, but with a renewed sense of optimism the Italians are chasing glory this year. Not too long ago, they seemed to be on course.

During the off-season, we were hearing that this is set to be Ferrari’s year. However, those noises were coming from the Mercedes camp, and they appear to be bit misleading. That’s no new tactic from Mercedes, as they were masters at putting the pressure onto their rivals during the previous campaign. Despite that build up, Hamilton remains the favourite to take the title this year, while we see him making a great start with a victory this weekend.

Top Tips

Lewis Hamilton to win @ 6/4

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

Recommended Bookie

Race Info

This race in Melbourne kicks off the campaign yet again, with a further 20 matches to come. We have another packed F1 calendar ahead and Australia should get things off to a great start. Albert Park has hosted this race every year since 1996, with almost 100,000 spectators expected for race.

RoundCountryCircuitRace Distance
1/21 Australia Melbourne Grand Prix Circuit 308km / 58 Laps

Schedule

 DateStart TimeFinish TimeForecast ConditionsTV Coverage
Practice 1 Fru 15th March 01:00 02:30 Dry / 21° -
Practice 2 Fri 15th March 05:00 06:30 Dry / 21° -
Practice 3 Sat 16th March 03:00 04:30 Dry / 26° -
Qualifying Sat 16th March 06:00 08:00 Dry / 27° Sky F1
Race Sun 17th March 05:10 07:10 Dry / 27° Sky F1

Last Season's Result (2018)

A year ago, Sebastian Vettel started the new campaign with a victory, putting in an impressive display to move up from third on grid. That result last year meant that the Australian Grand Prix was won by a German for the third year running. It was part of an excellent start by Ferrari, who had both drivers in the podium in the opening race. Kimi Raikkonen took third place a year ago, but he’s since moved on to line up with Alfa Romeo.

There’s another strong performer here who is starting over this season. Daniel Ricciardo started his final season at Red Bull with a fourth place finish, now he’s the leading man for Renault for the 2019 season.

PositionDriverCarGrid PositionPoints
1 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 3 25
2 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 1 18
3 Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 2 15
4 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull 8 12
5 Fernando Alonso McClaren 1 10
6 Max Verstappen Red Bull 4 8
7 Nico Hulkenberg Renault 7 6
8 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes 15 4
9 Stoffel Vandoorne McClaren 11 2
10 Carlos Sainz Renault 9 1

Race News: Mercedes Set Early Pace

The new campaign was being built up as a titanic battle, with Mercedes casting themselves as underdogs yet again. It’s a well-run routine for the current champions, but there seemed to be some truth to it this time. However, they caused a surprise in the opening day of the new season, as they set the pace against Ferrari in the opening practice rounds. They were in “a league of their own” according to Vettel, who had a few choice words for Mercedes after the noises they made this summer.

While Vettel followed that up with some confidence in his own side, Ferrari were clearly taken aback by Mercedes here. There’s another opportunity for Hamilton to add another world title to his collection, while everything is shaping up for him to make a perfect start on his return to the track.

Analysis: Hamilton to Lay Down Marker

Hamilton was clearly delighted when he spoke after the first day, while he knows that his side have the edge coming into race day. They are looking to set the pace from the start this season, especially given that it took three races for Hamilton to claim his first win last term. After a strong finish to last term, will he get off to a flying here? Given the manner in which he wrapped up in 2018, there’s clearly momentum behind him going into this new campaign.

The champion had a great second half of the season to finish 88 points clear in the final standings. Hamilton won eight of his last 11 races, while he clearly seems to be in shape to make a flying start here. While he has had a few misses in Melbourne in recent years, they clearly hold an advantage over Ferrari, so this could be a great start from the champions on Sunday.

Final Verdict: Lewis Hamilton To Win

We’re backing Hamilton to land his first win since 2015 at this track. He’s the clear contender with Mercedes pulling away going into this one, while his strong finish to last season has already inspired some confidence from us. The reigning champion is well priced to continue his domination of F1 this weekend, as he’s priced at 6/4 to win on Sunday.

The side flying under the radar in practice were Red Bull. They were getting a lot right towards the end of last year, while they made an impressive run through the first practice session. With Max Verstappen finishing in the top three in his final five races last year, we’re backing him for the podium at odds of 8/11.

About

Australia Grand Prix
CaterhamF1, Flickr

The Australian Grand Prix is another of the more permanent fixtures in the F1 calendar. The track is fairly unique in that it’s actually held with Albert Park and for most of the year is fully open to the public to walk and cycle around.

It’s one of the more contrasting backgrounds in F1, as you have the lush greenery surrounding it, with the Lake that runs through the middle of the track. With it you can get a look at the Melbourne Central Business District in the backdrop and then the coastal views looking out towards the water as well.

Track Highlights

Australia Grand Prix
CaterhamF1, Flickr

The circuit often hosts the first round of the Grand Prix season, which means it’s highly anticipated and is able to draw huge crowds on the back of it. The track itself is very fast and flowing, with 16 corners in total winding their way around the albert Park lake, alongside a golf course and soccer stadium.

The track is relatively flat and the surface is smooth. The track is also known to be very smooth, which makes it tricky at the start of qualifying and races, until cars are able to get a little more heat into their tyres and in turn, get more grip.

There are 2 DRS zones to speak of, with one running through the start finish line and the second on the run down to turn 3, making these two of the more popular passing points. The weather is usually very good and often is very hot, which means that both cars and drivers need to combat the heat, as well as the track.

The run from the start and into turn 1 sees cars get up to speeds in excess of 300kmph. The first turn is a pretty short apex and the drives move quickly between that and straight into the second corner, carrying high speeds from the exit of turn three, as well.

Into turn four sees one of the biggest breaking zones on the track and often one of the more popular passing points. It’s here where numerous popup grand stands are held and is a popular spot of spectators due to the many incidents and accidents that have occurred during previous Grand Prix races.

Turn 5 sees a short acceleration burst and with it the drivers are conscious to use as much as the circuit as possible and then almost flat again through turn 6 and through the trees into turn 7 and 8. It’s also worth noting that at this point the cars undergo a lot of camber turn, which makes it hard for the drivers to navigate and pulls the cars out of their hands.

The back section of the track sees the drivers able to take this at flat out, providing it it’s dry, but if it’s wet, then you will often see drivers back off a little just to ensure maximum grip. The breaking zone into 9 and 10 is another of the bigger ones on track, with short apex corners for these as well, meaning drivers are keen to get on the throttle as soon as possible.

These are actually big attributes of the race and it’s important the cars are set up heavily on the front axle to allow good turn in for this very reason.

The cars run along the side of the lake and into turns 11 and 12, which is known for being a high speed chicane. This area of the track has been altered quite a bit over the years, but drivers are almost able to fully accelerate through and out of them these days. It’s also one of the most exciting sections for the drivers, due to the speed and grip they are able to achieve.

As the race starts to get to the final corners, turn 13 seems pretty innocuous, but in fact the drivers need to navigate carefully through it as it’s not quite a flat-out corner, so throttle control is key here. 14 is similar corner and it’s this point where drivers decide to risk it all through 15, which is a tight left-handed turn and then through the right hander that sweeps around before accelerating through and across the start finish line.

History

Arthur Waite 1928
The First Ever Australian Grand Prix (Wikipedia.org)

The track has been about since 1953, which makes it one of the oldest in the calendar at the minute. It was originally on the calendar as both World Championship and non-World Championship event and have seen different configurations run throughout the early years.

Over the years it’s been able to host a number of major racing events, including Supercar Championships, Melbourne 400, Porsche Carrera Cup Australia, Australian GT Championship and the Ferrari Challenge Asia-Pacific, to name just a few.

1993 – Senna’s Final GP Victory

The 1993 Australian Grand Prix was to be the final victory in the career of Ayrton Senna. The Grand Prix was actually the final race of the season and following it saw the retirement of Alain Prost, Senna’s great rival retire from the sport.

The race was closely fought, but it was Senna who came out on top, after qualifying on pole and finishing just 9.259 seconds ahead of Prost, with Damon Hill finishing in 3rd place.

2009 – Brawn’s GP Debut

The 2009 GP saw the eventual winner be that of Jenson Button, finishing ahead of team mate, Rubens Barichello in their Brawn-Mercedes car. But, what’s most impressive is that the race was the very first race for the new team in that of Brawn.

They were in fact the first constructor to have won their debut race since that of Mercedes-Benz back in 1954. The season would lead to Button’s first of two World Championship victories in his career.

Contact Us

Copyright © BettingSites.co 2019 | 18+ BeGambleAware

 

Disclaimer: Please note that the legality of betting online varies between countries and it is your responsibility to verify that your actions are legal in the country you reside. All offers subject to terms and conditions. Please gamble responsibly - if you feel you may have a problem and need advice please visit Gamble Aware (UK) or Gamblers Anonymous.