Azerbaijan Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions – Sunday 28th April 2019

The Azerbaijan Grand Prix is set to be a crucial day in the F1 season. This weekend is huge for the sides trying to challenge Mercedes. We’ve seen the reigning champions win the opening three races of the season, pulling off 1-2 finishes in each of them. That’s put them 57 points clear of Ferrari in the Constructors’ Championship standings already.

With two wins and a second placed finish, Lewis Hamilton is sitting clear at the top of the table. He’s six points ahead of teammate Valtteri Bottas, while third placed Max Verstappen in 29 points off the pace. Could Hamilton move further clear of the rest this weekend? A victory here could put him almost out of reach from the rest of the pack after just four races.

Top Tips

Hamilton to win @ 7/4

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

This is just the fourth Grand Prix in Baku, and only the third Azerbaijan Grand Prix. After hosting the European GP back in 2016, Baku became a stop in its own right in 2017. The street circuit makes things interesting, while we don’t have a lot of circuit form to take into account ahead of this one.

Round Country Circuit Race Distance
4/21 Azerbaijan Baku City Circuit 306km / 51 Laps

Schedule

Date Start Time Finish Time Forecast Conditions TV Coverage
Practice 1 Fri 26th April 10:00 11:30 Dry / 18° -
Practice 2 Fri 26th April 14:00 15:30 Dry / 18° -
Practice 3 Sat 27th April 11:00 12:30 Dry / 18° -
Qualifying Sat 27th April 14:00 15:00 Dry / 18° Sky F1
Race Sun 28th April 13:10 15:10 Dry / 18° Sky F1

Previous Race Results (2018)

If you’re hoping for a resurgence in the challengers to Mercedes, that’s unlikely here if last season’s race is anything to go by. The 2018 edition saw Bottas as the main challenger to Hamilton, before the Finn’s puncture allowed the champion to leap to the top of the standings. He was able to get out in front because Sebastian Vettel couldn’t mount a challenge.

The German finished fourth, behind Sergio Perez in Baku. The likes of Bottas, Verstappen and Daniel Ricciardo all missed out on a top 10 finish. That left room for a few different names landing points in Azerbaijan, while Hamilton was the only one of the real title contenders to excel here. Is that something which is going to be repeated in 2019?

Position Driver Car Grid Position Points
1 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 2 25
2 Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 6 18
3 Sergio Perez Force India 8 15
4 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 1 12
5 Carlos Sainz Jr Renault 9 10
6 Charles Leclerc Sauber 13 8
7 Fernando Alonso McClaren 12 6
8 Lance Stroll Williams 10 4
9 Stoffel Vandoorne McClaren 16 2
10 Brendon Hartley Toro Rosso 19 1

Race News: Hamilton Targeting Improvement

Despite leading the way, the champion is aiming to improve further in this weekend’s race. Hamilton is focusing on upping his game as he aims to extend his lead at the top of the standings. That’s got to be a concern for the rest of the pack, especially given how impressive Mercedes have looked so far this term.

While Mercedes were denied a 1-2 finish here last year, Hamilton is aiming to kick on in order to secure the points to extend his lead at the top. While he has had his struggles in Baku over the years, he’s aiming to extend his winning run here. He says that his mindset in this one is to improve on last year’s performance, so the favourite could step up his game.

Analysis: Will Ferrari Speed Materialise?

We’re hearing a lot in the build up to this one about Ferrari’s upgrades, but the pace that we were promised this season hasn’t appeared as of yet. They need to get competitive in the coming weeks if they’re to be a genuine threat to Mercedes, but we have doubts about their chances here.

With Mercedes looking good for another strong display, we expect Ferrari to come up short. They’ve been struggling to match Red Bull this term, so leaping into the mix for first place is a bit of a huge step. While it’s not great for the long term competitiveness this season, we are doubting that Ferrari can improve in time for this one.

Final Verdict: Hamilton To Win

With his rivals struggling, we think that Hamilton can step up for a victory in this one. His main threat is teammate Bottas, so we expect their main driver to edge maximum points in Baku. He’s searching for his third straight victory, which would be his fifth in six races. Can he get over the line ahead of Bottas and secure yet another win this weekend?

We see Hamilton impressing in this one, especially if he’s aiming to kick on from recent good displays. Despite his winning run, the champion can be found at big odds of 7/4 to win in Azerbaijan on Sunday. The Brit is also priced at 6/4 to top qualifying, which is another decent price. We’re going all in with Mercedes this weekend, as you can back their two drivers to finish up on the podium in this race. It’s 8/11 for Hamilton and Bottas to each make the top three, which seems like fantastic value given their brilliant start to the 2019 campaign.

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