Brazilian Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions – Sunday 11th November 2018

Brazilian Grand Prix Track Guide

The penultimate race of the 2018 campaign takes place this week, as Formula 1 comes close to wrapping up. The title race is already sorted, with Lewis Hamilton crowned world champion. His Mercedes side are on the verge of claiming the Constructors’ Championship, but they won’t need much of a push to tie that up.

However, that doesn’t mean this race is uncompetitive. Short-term goals may be few and far between, but many in the pack are playing a long game. Nico Rosberg’s 2016 win was inspired by late form the season before. The tail end of that 2016 campaign saw Hamilton rev-up his 2017 title challenge. Who will lay down a marker for the 2019 campaign?

Top Tips

Sebastian Vettel to win @ 7/4

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

Brazil was the long-time finale of the F1 campaign. However, it’s been squeezed out by the Abu Dhabi decider. The race at Interlagos is still a huge event in the calendar of course. Plenty of drivers will be out to win race 20 of the campaign, especially as eyes start to switch towards 2019.

RoundCountryCircuitRace Distance
20/21 Brazil Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace 305km / 71 Laps

Schedule

 DateStart TimeFinish TimeForecast ConditionsTV Coverage
Practice 1 Fri 9th Nov 13:00 14:30 Dry / 19° -
Practice 2 Fri 9th Nov 17:00 18:30 Wet / 20° -
Practice 3 Sat 10th Nov 14:00 15:30 Dry / 21° -
Qualifying Sat 10th Nov 17:00 18:00 Wet / 21° Sky F1
Race Sun 11th Nov 17:10 19:10 Wet / 23° Sky F1

Last Season's Result (2017)

Sebastian Vettel claimed a pretty comprehensive win here last year. The German was almost three seconds clear of the rest, in a race which saw Lewis Hamilton finishing outside of the podium places. Meanwhile, there were two Ferrari’s on the podium, as Kimi Raikkonen moved into third place behind Mercedes’ Valtteri Bottas. While neither of the big titles were in play, the big two remained competitive.

A repeat of that result would only cut Mercedes’ lead in the Constructors’ Championship by 10 points, and that would basically confirm they retain that trophy too. Behind the big two, the pair of Red Bull drivers were fifth and sixth. A repeat would be an improvement for Daniel Ricciardo, who heads into the penultimate race of the 2018 campaign on back to back retirements.

PositionDriverCarGrid PositionPoints
1 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 2 25
2 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes 1 18
3 Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 3 15
4 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes PL 12
5 Max Verstappen Red Bull 4 10
6 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull 14 8
7 Felipe Massa Williams 9 6
8 Fernando Alonso McClaren 6 4
9 Sergio Perez Force India 5 2
10 Nico Hulkenberg Renault 7 1

Race News: Ricciardo Set for Swansong

Daniel Ricciardo has reversed his comments after the Mexican Grand Prix, and vowed to finish his last two races with Red Bull. The Australian showed his anger after an eighth retirement of the season, saying that he’d let Pierre Gasly take over for the final two races of the campaign. However, he is now set to race in Brazil, ahead of a move to Renault next year. There was notable anger from Max Verstappen in Mexico during qualifying, but he ended up winning in Mexico City.

We’ve already said that the 2019 focus has begun, but it seems like the same can be said for 2020. Vietnam will join the F1 calendar in April 2020, the first time the country has ever hosted a Grand Prix. Capital city Hanoi will be the location of the Asian expansion, with the number of races in Asia rising to four. With the same 21 venues hosting next year, it seems like the number of races will be hitting unprecedented numbers yet again.

Analysis: Vettel’s Time to Shine?

This weekend seems like it’s going to bring a change to the main contenders. Lewis Hamilton has recorded third and fourth place finishes in his last two, confirming his title. In the past he has tended to ease up after bagging the title. The Red Bull pair are having huge issues with their cars, while we think a solid finish from Valtteri Bottas will wrap up the Constructors’ Championship for Mercedes.

That leaves an opening for someone to step forward, which will help tee-up a 2019 title challenge. Getting late wins in this campaign would be huge for momentum ahead of next year, and no one needs that like Sebastian Vettel. He’s about to be joined at Ferrari by young driver Charles Leclerc. His history is poor when it comes to being partnered by young drivers, so Vettel needs to lay down a statement of intent, not just for the 2019 title, but to dominate his own team.

Final Verdict: Vettel To Win

A year ago Vettel took maximum points in Brazil, and his recent form has put him back in contention to win a Grand Prix. He finished second behind Verstappen last week, and we see this as a chance for him to improve on that. It’s likely to be an open race, but Vettel’s price of 7/4 to claim maximum points seems like excellent value in our eyes.

We can see Verstappen claiming another top three finish after some good form, so we’re tipping him to land a podium spot here. He’s 11/8 to finish third or higher, and that looks a top bet following his win last time out.

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