Brazilian Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions – Sunday 11th November 2018

Brazilian Grand Prix Track Guide

The penultimate race of the 2018 campaign takes place this week, as Formula 1 comes close to wrapping up. The title race is already sorted, with Lewis Hamilton crowned world champion. His Mercedes side are on the verge of claiming the Constructors’ Championship, but they won’t need much of a push to tie that up.

However, that doesn’t mean this race is uncompetitive. Short-term goals may be few and far between, but many in the pack are playing a long game. Nico Rosberg’s 2016 win was inspired by late form the season before. The tail end of that 2016 campaign saw Hamilton rev-up his 2017 title challenge. Who will lay down a marker for the 2019 campaign?

Top Tips

Sebastian Vettel to win @ 7/4

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

Brazil was the long-time finale of the F1 campaign. However, it’s been squeezed out by the Abu Dhabi decider. The race at Interlagos is still a huge event in the calendar of course. Plenty of drivers will be out to win race 20 of the campaign, especially as eyes start to switch towards 2019.

RoundCountryCircuitRace Distance
20/21 Brazil Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace 305km / 71 Laps

Schedule

 DateStart TimeFinish TimeForecast ConditionsTV Coverage
Practice 1 Fri 9th Nov 13:00 14:30 Dry / 19° -
Practice 2 Fri 9th Nov 17:00 18:30 Wet / 20° -
Practice 3 Sat 10th Nov 14:00 15:30 Dry / 21° -
Qualifying Sat 10th Nov 17:00 18:00 Wet / 21° Sky F1
Race Sun 11th Nov 17:10 19:10 Wet / 23° Sky F1

Last Season's Result (2017)

Sebastian Vettel claimed a pretty comprehensive win here last year. The German was almost three seconds clear of the rest, in a race which saw Lewis Hamilton finishing outside of the podium places. Meanwhile, there were two Ferrari’s on the podium, as Kimi Raikkonen moved into third place behind Mercedes’ Valtteri Bottas. While neither of the big titles were in play, the big two remained competitive.

A repeat of that result would only cut Mercedes’ lead in the Constructors’ Championship by 10 points, and that would basically confirm they retain that trophy too. Behind the big two, the pair of Red Bull drivers were fifth and sixth. A repeat would be an improvement for Daniel Ricciardo, who heads into the penultimate race of the 2018 campaign on back to back retirements.

PositionDriverCarGrid PositionPoints
1 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 2 25
2 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes 1 18
3 Kimi Raikkonen Ferrari 3 15
4 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes PL 12
5 Max Verstappen Red Bull 4 10
6 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull 14 8
7 Felipe Massa Williams 9 6
8 Fernando Alonso McClaren 6 4
9 Sergio Perez Force India 5 2
10 Nico Hulkenberg Renault 7 1

Race News: Ricciardo Set for Swansong

Daniel Ricciardo has reversed his comments after the Mexican Grand Prix, and vowed to finish his last two races with Red Bull. The Australian showed his anger after an eighth retirement of the season, saying that he’d let Pierre Gasly take over for the final two races of the campaign. However, he is now set to race in Brazil, ahead of a move to Renault next year. There was notable anger from Max Verstappen in Mexico during qualifying, but he ended up winning in Mexico City.

We’ve already said that the 2019 focus has begun, but it seems like the same can be said for 2020. Vietnam will join the F1 calendar in April 2020, the first time the country has ever hosted a Grand Prix. Capital city Hanoi will be the location of the Asian expansion, with the number of races in Asia rising to four. With the same 21 venues hosting next year, it seems like the number of races will be hitting unprecedented numbers yet again.

Analysis: Vettel’s Time to Shine?

This weekend seems like it’s going to bring a change to the main contenders. Lewis Hamilton has recorded third and fourth place finishes in his last two, confirming his title. In the past he has tended to ease up after bagging the title. The Red Bull pair are having huge issues with their cars, while we think a solid finish from Valtteri Bottas will wrap up the Constructors’ Championship for Mercedes.

That leaves an opening for someone to step forward, which will help tee-up a 2019 title challenge. Getting late wins in this campaign would be huge for momentum ahead of next year, and no one needs that like Sebastian Vettel. He’s about to be joined at Ferrari by young driver Charles Leclerc. His history is poor when it comes to being partnered by young drivers, so Vettel needs to lay down a statement of intent, not just for the 2019 title, but to dominate his own team.

Final Verdict: Vettel To Win

A year ago Vettel took maximum points in Brazil, and his recent form has put him back in contention to win a Grand Prix. He finished second behind Verstappen last week, and we see this as a chance for him to improve on that. It’s likely to be an open race, but Vettel’s price of 7/4 to claim maximum points seems like excellent value in our eyes.

We can see Verstappen claiming another top three finish after some good form, so we’re tipping him to land a podium spot here. He’s 11/8 to finish third or higher, and that looks a top bet following his win last time out.

About

Brazilian Grand Prix 2012
Pedro Leiria, Flickr

Few F1 circuits have seen the drama that Interlagos has been able to serve up over the years. The track has been famed for both starting and finishing the F1 calendar year at certain points, so it really has seen it all.

It’s been about since 1940 and in that time has seen the Grand Prix split between that if Interlagos and Jacarepagua. But, it’s been run at Interlagos since 1990 and has been one of the few stable fixtures in the calendar over the past few decades.

Track Highlights

Brazil Grand Prix 2006

The track at Interlagos is famed for being at high altitude. This not only makes it tough for drivers as the air is very thin, but also for the cars as the way in which the air reacts to the car is very different from what they have to deal with at most tracks. The word ‘Interlagos’ means between the lakes, is located 16 km south of Sao Paulo in Brazil.

The 15 corner track, high altitude and a special carnival atmosphere that greets the drivers make it one of the most popular spots on tour. The track has a number of elevation changes throughout, with up to 43m in places. Even though there has been no Brazilian World Champion since Ayrton Senna, the local’s love for the sport and passion make it as popular as ever.

The cars cross the start finish line and head into turn 1 at speeds I excess of 340kph. The turn is tricky to navigate as it heads downwards, almost making it blind. It then drops immediately into the ‘Senna S’ and cars often struggle with oversteer as the track is very uneven, meaning that they also need to feather the throttle before fully getting back on it, making sure the back end is in place and traction is full.

The cars are absolutely flat through turn 3 and into the first DRS zone. This straight gives drivers the opportunity to check the system and make any adjustments that they may need for the upcoming sections of the racetrack.

Turn 4 is another high speed corner with a short apex as drivers are required to simply kiss the kerb and use as much as the track as possible into turn 5. Again, this is another part of the track where the “rollercoaster” feel to the race takes shape as they bob up and down on the straight into turn 6.

Turn 6 and 7 are again more fast corners that sweep throughout the track. Cars are almost at full throttle again, although it will depend on tyre wear here, as is an ongoing issue throughout the race. Cars then need to break hard before turn 8 requiring great accuracy as the cars immediately drop into to the next hairpin.

Turn 10 is another long apex corner that requires the driver to use the lateral load to move the car across the tarmac and ensuring that the correct lines are taken for the following corner.

The car then sweeps through turn 11 before it starts its accent back up towards the finish line. The driver simply needs to choose his line that will give him least resistance in making their move up towards the start. This may including clipping an apex, but such is the beauty of this part of the track, there are a number of lines that they are able to take.

Cutting past the pit lane entry, the cars enter another DRS zone and with it are full throttle across the line at the end of the race. The track often rewards the brave and the winner is usually the driver who is able to get the most grip throughout the mid to late section of the track, taking advantage of the fast, sweeping bends and being able to fend off any challengers that mat be pursuing.

History

Brazil Grand Prix 2004

The land for the track was originally purchased in 1926 and the plans were set out to build accommodation and housing on the plot. The stock market crash of 1929 meant that these plans were put on hold before it was eventually decided that a racetrack would be built instead.

Work on the track didn’t start until 1928 and it took two years before it was officially opening in 1940, prompting the love affair that the Brazilians have motor racing. Formula 1 didn’t start there until 1972 when at the time it was raced as a non-Championship race. The first World Championship race was held just 12 months later in 1973.

2009 – Jenson Button Seals First World Title

2009 was an iconic moment not just for Jenson Button, but also Brawn. The outfit were the first to win in tehri maiden season since Mercedes-Benz almost 50 years prior to that. Button, in finishing 5th, did just enough to become World Champion for the first time sparking huge celebrations and singing down the intercom after crossing the line.

1991 – Senna Wins

In 1991 finally managed to win his home Grand Prix for the first time, defeating Riccardo Patrese by almost 3 seconds. He became the first Brazilian winner of the race in 1986. Senna was so exhausted after the race that he had to be helped out of his car, even having to get someone to remove his hands from the steering wheel.

2008 – Hamilton v Massa

The 2008 grand Prix might just go down as one of the most fascinating races of all time. Hamilton came into the race on 94 points, with Massa on 87 points (10 points for a win) knowing that 5th or better would secure the championship.

Massa ended up winning the race and with Hamilton lagging in 6th place with just a few corners left, sparking wild celebrations in the Ferrari garage. But, Hamilton managed to pass Timo Glock in the last corner to come over the line in 5th and Ferrari’s elation turned to despair with incredible scenes within Hamilton’s camp.

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