Spanish Grand Prix Betting Tips & Predictions – Sunday 12th May 2019

Spanish Grand Prix Track Guide

We’re four races into the 2019 Formula 1 season, with Mercedes the clear leaders so far, which does not come as a massive surprise to most fans of the sport. They have opened up a 74 point lead at the top of the Constructors’ Championship, while it looks like being another season of fighting between their two drivers for the world title. Though Ferrari are lagging, could we still get a title fight?

This weekend’s Spanish Grand Prix in Barcelona will go a long way towards showing us how this season will pan out. As things stand, Lewis Hamilton trails teammate Valtteri Bottas by a single point, but will the Finn continue that challenge throughout the season? A victory here would mark Bottas out as the potential favourite for the title. However, the reigning champion Hamilton is out to extend a great record at the track.

Top Tips

Lewis Hamilton to win @ 11/8

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

This race is one of the oldest in Formula 1, having celebrated its centenary back in 2013. The race has been held in Barcelona since 2007, while this race has been consistently part of the F1 calendar since the mid-80s.

RoundCountryCircuitRace Distance
5/21 Spain Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya 307km / 66 Laps

Schedule

 DateStart TimeFinish TimeForecast ConditionsTV Coverage
Practice 1 Fri 10th May 10:00 11:30 Dry / 21° -
Practice 2 Fri 10th May 14:00 15:30 Dry / 22° -
Practice 3 Sat 11th May 11:00 12:30 Dry / 20° -
Qualifying Sat 11th May 14:00 15:00 Dry / 19° Sky F1
Race Sun 12th May 14:10 16:10 Dry / 19° Sky F1

Least Season's Result (2018)

Those hoping for a chance to see a challenge to the Mercedes dominance this weekend won’t have much hope based on last year’s race. It was another Mercedes 1-2 here, with Hamilton beating his teammate to the points. That win left Hamilton in a dominant position in the championship race, as he was 17 points clear of nearest challengers Vettel after that success.

Max Verstappen took up third place in the standings, beating Vettel to a podium place. It wasn’t a good weekend for Ferrari last time out, while they’ve only claimed one win here since 2013. They head into this race chasing a result, but with years of struggles behind them in Barcelona they’re unlikely to spark a turnaround in fortunes with a victory.

PositionDriverCarGrid PositionPoints
1 Lewis Hamilton Mercedes 1 25
2 Valtteri Bottas Mercedes 2 18
3 Max Verstappen Red Bull 1 15
4 Sebastian Vettel Ferrari 3 12
5 Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull 6 10
6 Kevin Magnussen Haas 7 8
7 Carlos Sainz Renault 9 6
8 Fernando Alonso McLaren 8 4
9 Sergio Perez Force India 15 2
10 Charles Leclerc Sauber 14 1

Race News: Bottas on Course

While there was a huge chance for Charles Leclerc last time out, it was Bottas who took the glory in the end. The Finn picked up his second victory of the season, his fourth podium finish of the campaign. While his first season with Mercedes was quite low-key, things are turning around for the driver as he continues to push for the title.

Last season saw Bottas fade into the background, a major change after the fight between Hamilton and Nico Rosberg. However, there seems to be a new internal challenger to Hamilton’s dominance. Bottas seems to have his eyes set on glory this year, while he’s excelling at the wheel of a car which seems streets ahead of the rest. That’s given Bottas a platform to make a challenge, and he’s developed into a serious threat to Hamilton.

Analysis: Hamilton Hunting Hat-trick

The rise of Bottas is certainly giving us a more entertaining campaign, but does he have enough to see off Hamilton over the course of the campaign? The Mercedes duo are likely to contend in this one, especially given their team’s excellent record at this circuit. Four of the previous five races here have seen a Mercedes victory, so this has been a happy hunting ground for them over the years.

Three of those victories have been Hamilton’s, while he’s won here in the previous two seasons. He’s won here on three occasions overall, while Hamilton has still managed to win two of the last three races. After finishing last term with six victories from the last eight races, Hamilton has been far and away the top driver over recent months, so he is a worthy favourite going into this weekend in Barcelona.

Final Verdict: Hamilton To Win

Hamilton knows that a win here would cut away at any momentum being built up by Bottas. That form from his teammate is bound to worry a man who has won all but one of the last five world titles, with his teammate pipping him in 2016. That is bound to live with the reigning champion, so we see him targeting a victory here to establish himself as the clear favourite.

Hamilton’s recent record here makes him a worthy favourite for maximum points, while he’s been in impressive form so far. Despite being the strongest driver in the field with the best car, he’s priced at 11/8 to win this race. Given Mercedes’ fantastic season so far, we do expect their two drivers to make another strong push in Barcelona. That makes Bottas and Hamilton look like excellent value to both finish in the top three at 4/6. That price seems pretty generous after four straight 1-2 finishes in the 2019 campaign.

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