Burton Albion v Manchester City Betting Tips & Predictions – Wednesday 23rd January 2019

Burton Albion will prepare for the second leg of their League Cup semi-final with Manchester City knowing there is absolutely no chance of them progressing. So impossible are the chances of the League One side turning around the 9-0 deficit that bookmakers aren’t even offering odds on the ‘to qualify’ market.

The scoreline of the first leg was unsurprisingly the biggest ever margin of victory in a League Cup semi-final match. It fell just short of being the biggest ever win in the history of the entire competition though as both West Ham and Liverpool won 10-0 in 1983 and 1986 respectively.

Top Tips

Man City to Win with -2 Goal Handicap @ 4/6

Man City to Win and Both Teams to Score @ 11/10

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Burton Albion News: Quinn seeking to extend contract

Burton Albion's Visitor Stand

Although it wouldn’t have made a giant difference to the scoreline, Burton would have surely fared better at the Etihad Stadium had Stephen Quinn been available. The former Hull City man has been Nigel Clough’s preferred defensive midfield option this season, selected consistently when fit. He’s since recovered from the injury that kept him out of the first leg but needs to secure a new contract if he’s going to play in the second. His current deal expires a day before Manchester City’s visit to the Pirelli Stadium but both parties are keen on an extension.

Clough wants defensive reinforcements

Nigel Clough has identified three possible targets as he looks to bolster his defence for the remainder of the season. The 52-year-old does not remain hopeful of getting any of them however. He admitted one of the targets is unlikely, another could prove too pricey while the remaining player probably won’t move until the summer. Undeterred by this initial setback, the former Sheffield United boss said he was desperate to keep trying. Ideally any move would be a loan with a view to buy so that the new recruit can be properly assessed before a longer commitment is made.

Manchester City News: Guardiola vows to take match seriously

Manchester City's Etihad Stadium

Although this tie is already over, Pep Guardiola vowed after the first leg that he would take the reverse fixture “seriously”. How seriously remains to be seen but there is reason to think the Spaniard will not name an entire squad of youth players on Wednesday night. The game still represents a decent chance for some lesser-used senior players to get some minutes under their belts. Many youngster will not be available either as the U21 squad faces an EFL Trophy clash with Sunderland just a day before this clash.

Analysis: Burton to enjoy the occasion

There will not be a single Burton fan holding out hope of a comeback at the Pirelli Stadium on Wednesday night but they will enjoy the occasion nevertheless. It is not often the Brewers are able to host a Premier League side and certainly not one with as much talent. Seeing their men battle against the champions of England is something the home supporters will enjoy, especially if they can keep the scoreline a little closer this time.

Burton in for another beating

Guardiola can make 11 changes from the side named against Huddersfield on Sunday and still he will have a side that can easily win this match. Burton perhaps paid City too much respect at the Etihad but they are not a side who will start throwing in nasty challenges. Nigel Clough’s side have one of the best disciplinary records in League One and it showed during the first leg as they committed just seven fouls. Unwilling to play dirty with their more illustrious opponents, Man City will not have any issues getting their passing game going. Playing away from home means the scoreline will not be as emphatic but the visitors should still be able to win with a -2 goal handicap (4/6).

Hosts good value for a consolation strike

Burton had a couple of decent opportunities to fire past Aro Muric when making the trip up the M6 earlier in the month. Marcus Harness blazed over when unmarked inside the box and Scott Fraser had an effort saved. More chances to score should come their way this Wednsday too. The Brewers have found the net in 10 of their last 11 matches at the Pirelli Stadium, the only exception being when a second string eleven took on Middlesbrough U21 in the EFL Trophy. The opposing backline is likely to be a makeshift one, just as it was in the first leg, and this helps gives an away win and both teams to score appeal at odds of 11/10.

Recent Matches

The disparity between these two teams was brought to light during their first ever coming together. The gap on the pitch was great but no greater than the one off it. During the last four seasons, City have spent £729m on transfer fees yet Burton are yet to reach the £1m mark.

9th January 2019: Manchester City 9 – 0 Burton Albion

Manchester City had been no strangers to big victories following Pep Guardiola’s arrival at the club but never had they won by such a large margin under the Spaniard. In fact, this was the Citizen’s largest win since beating Huddersfield 10-1 in 1987. Gabriel Jesus played a large part in the rout, netting four goals including two with his head. There was an element of quality about most of the nine strikes with the exception of Oleksandr Zinchenko’s, which saw an over-hit cross loop over a helpless Brad Collins.

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