Watford v Crystal Palace Betting Tips & Predictions – Saturday 16th March 2019

Javier Gracia’s Watford and Roy Hodgson’s Crystal Palace go head-to-head at Vicarage Road in an Emirates FA Cup quarter-final on Saturday afternoon. The Hornets have beaten the Eagles home and away in the Premier League this season. With Watford playing host, the Hertfordshire side are fancied to book their place in the last four of the FA Cup and their fans will be starting to dream of glory.

The Hornets have enjoyed a fine campaign in the Premier League so far, aiming for a seventh placed finish. As for Palace, after defeat to local rivals and fellow relegation battlers Brighton & Hove Albion last weekend, they still have work to do in the race for survival. Both sides here would love to be in the hat for the semi-final draw and with lots of the big boys gone they know they have a real chance of going all the way.

Top Tips

Watford to Win 2-1 @ 17/2

Watford to Win by One Goal @ 3/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Watford News: Hornets in Fine Fettle

Watford Football Club Stadium Lettering
Ungry Young Man, flickr

Watford have had an excellent season under Gracia so far. Having won 12, drawn seven and lost 11, the Hornets occupy eighth place in the Premier League table at present but will be hopeful they can claim a top seven spot.

Last weekend, though, Watford were beaten 3-1 by Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium. Wolverhampton Wanderers, who picked up a superb draw at Chelsea, are currently sitting in seventh, a point ahead of Gracia’s men. However, there’s a four-point gap between Watford and ninth placed West Ham United so the fight for the last European place is starting to look like a two-horse race.

Gracia’s Boys Strong at Home

Watford have been solid at Vicarage Road this season, winning half of their 14 home league games. The Hornets have lost just one of their last six at home, seeing off the likes of Cardiff City, Everton and Leicester City during that time. In their previous home match, Andre Gray scored late to give Watford a 2-1 win over Leicester in the Premier League. Meanwhile, Bournemouth are the only team outside of the top six to have won on Watford’s patch this term, further cementing the notion that Gracia’s men may be the best of the rest.

Superb in the Cup

Watford have been excellent in the FA Cup so far, winning three games and conceding no goals. After edging past Woking with a 2-0 win in the third round, Gracia’s team then beat fellow Premier League side Newcastle United 2-0 at St James’ Park in round four. In their last FA Cup outing, Etienne Capoue scored the only goal of the game as Watford beat EFL Championship club Queens Park Rangers at Loftus Road to progress through to the last eight of the competition. Win this and they will have a Wembley semi-final to look forward to.

Crystal Palace News: Eagles Flying Close to the Edge

Crystal Palace Supporters Before Match at Selhurst Park
Christine McIntosh, flickr

With just eight matches left, Crystal Palace hover just five points above the relegation zone. It’s been a strange season for the Eagles, who have lost exactly half of their 30 league games. Only bottom club Huddersfield Town have a poorer home record, as Palace have accumulated a dire 13 points at Selhurst Park all season, winning just three of their 15 home league matches along the way.

Away from home, however, Hodgson’s boys have taken a very respectable 20 points, with only Tottenham Hotspur, Liverpool, Man City, Manchester United and Chelsea picking up more points on their travels so far. Playing on the road suits their counter-attacking style and so they will fancy they can cause an upset here.

Palace’s Cup Run So Far

On their way to the quarter-final of the FA Cup, Crystal Palace have beaten Grimsby Town, Tottenham and Doncaster Rovers. The Eagles were made to work hard by EFL League Two Grimsby – who played 87 minutes with 10 men – in the third round, with Jordan Ayew’s goal four minutes from time sending them through. However, Palace were outstanding against Spurs in the next round, as first half goals from Connor Wickham and Andros Townsend gave the Eagles a 2-0 win. Then in round five, the south Londoners got the better of Doncaster at the Keepmoat Stadium, with Jeffrey Schlupp and Max Meyer on target in another 2-0 victory.

Analysis: Tight Game to Swing Watford’s Way

These two teams seem fairly evenly matched on paper despite the fact that the hosts are some 10 points better off in the league table. Watford are solid at home while Palace have been much better on the road than they have at Selhurst this season. However, with this quarter-final taking place at Vicarage Road, we can see the Hornets securing a narrow victory on home turf.

Home Advantage to be Key

When these two teams squared off at Vicarage Road in the Premier League back in August, Watford took the points with a 2-1 win, a scoreline they then repeated at Selhurst Park in January. The hosts are priced at 11/8 to win in 90 minutes but we think it’s worth backing them to pick up a third 2-1 victory (17/2) over the Eagles on Saturday.

Narrow Win for the Hornets

You have to go all the way back to February 2012 for the last time a team won this fixture by more than one goal. Things have been tight in the scoreline between these two in recent years, so put a few quid on the Hornets to win by a one-goal margin (3/1) at the weekend.

Troy on Target Again

Watford skipper Troy Deeney has enjoyed a superb season so far. The 30-year-old has scored nine times, with three of those coming in his last four appearances. Deeney was also on target in the FA Cup win at Woking back in January. Watford’s No. 9 is available at the decent price of 5/1 to open the scoring in this one.

Recent Matches

Before Watford’s two wins over the Eagles this season, Palace had gone four league and cup games without losing to the Hornets. The pair met in the semi-finals of the FA Cup back 2016, with Palace running out 2-1 winners at Wembley Stadium. Meanwhile, the Herefordshire club have beaten the Londoners just three times in 11 meetings in all competitions, albeit, as said, twice this term.

12th January 2019: Crystal Palace 1 – 2 Watford

In a Premier League game at Selhurst back in January, Watford left the capital with all three points. A Craig Cathcart own goal gave the home team a 1-0 lead, but Cathcart made amends by netting the equaliser in the 67th minute. Tom Cleverley hit the winner seven minute later.

26th August 2018: Watford 2 – 1 Crystal Palace

When Watford and Crystal Palace last locked horns at Vicarage Road, the Hornets prevailed with a 2-1 win. Despite a late goal from Wilfried Zaha, strikes by Roberto Pereyra and Jose Holebas were enough to give Watford their first home league win over the Eagles since 2009.

21st April 2018: Watford 0 – 0 Crystal Palace

During the 2017-18 Premier League season, Palace took four points from the two fixtures. After a 2-1 triumph at Selhurst, the Eagles picked up a point in a 0-0 draw at Vicarage Road. The Hornets dominated the match but failed to make the breakthrough.

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