Leeds United v Derby County Betting Tips & Predictions – Friday 11th January 2019

Leeds United and Derby County meet on Friday night in a huge clash in the EFL Championship. Having lost their last two in the league and been knocked out of the Emirates FA Cup in their last outing, Marcelo Bielsa will be demanding a response from his players in this one. Frank Lampard’s Rams, meanwhile, will be looking for their second successive away win after beating Norwich City in a thriller at the end of 2018. With Leeds and the Canaries faltering, the top of the Championship is opening up and the Rams are very much among those who will still believe they can claim an automatic promotion spot.

Despite losing their last three league and cup games, the home side are the odds-on favourites to pick up all three points on Friday, with Derby available at the tempting price of 7/2. However, County will go four points behind the leaders with a win at Elland Road and their form looks better right now. This promises to be a mouth-watering matchup in West Yorkshire and could well prove crucial in the final standings come May.

Top Tips

Draw @ 11/4

Draw & Both Teams to Score @ 15/4

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Leeds United News: Just a Minor Blip for United?

View Towards South Stand at Leeds United's Elland Road
John Seb Barber, flickr

Leeds have had a tremendous season so far, picking up an impressive 51 points from 26 matches. However, the Whites have lost their last two in the Championship. In their final game of 2018, United were beaten 2-0 at home by in-form Hull City, which was only their second league loss at Elland Road this term. Then on New Year’s Day, Bielsa’s side lost 4-2 to Nottingham Forest at the City Ground, despite having come from behind to take the lead with only 10 men.

Leeds followed up those two league defeats with a disappointing 2-1 loss at Queens Park Rangers in the FA Cup last weekend. The Championship leaders did rest some players for that one though and many at the club will be quietly relieved at now being able to focus solely on the league. Is this just a minor blip, or something far more serious for Leeds? We’ll have a much better idea after this one.

Bielsa’s Boys Brilliant at Home

Leeds have been very strong at Elland Road this season, winning eight of their 13 home league matches thus far. Along the way, United have taken 27 points, scoring 21 and shipping just 10. Before last month’s 2-0 loss to Hull, the Whites had won four in a row at Elland Road, beating the likes of Bristol City, Reading, QPR and Blackburn Rovers. Meanwhile, Hull and Birmingham City are the only two teams to leave Elland Road with maximum points this term. The Yorkshire outfit have certainly made their home ground a fortress under Bielsa.

Whites Hit with Several Injuries

Leeds have suffered with injuries all season, and they go into Friday’s match with a depleted squad. Izzy Brown, Gaetano Berardi and Stuart Dallas will miss out while Barry Douglas, Patrick Bamford and Liam Cooper are doubts. Kalvin Phillips, who was sent off against Forest, will miss out through suspension and all in all this leaves Bielsa particularly short of options at the back. The fiery manager has said he won’t be dipping into the transfer market and so the hosts are sure to field at least a couple of youngsters once again for this clash.

Derby County News: Rams in Decent Shape

Derby County Players Traing Before Home Match
Eamon Curry, flickr

Last weekend, Derby came from two goals down to earn a very good 2-2 draw with Premier League Southampton in the FA Cup. The Rams have also been doing okay in the Championship of late, losing just one of their last seven. Since crashing to a 3-1 loss to Sheffield United at Bramall Lane on Boxing Day, Lampard’s troops have taken four points from their last two, beating Norwich and drawing with Middlesbrough. In that win at Carrow Road, Derby were 3-2 down with five minutes to go, but late goals from Florian Jozefzoon and Jack Marriott turned things around to give County a stunning and incredibly unlikely 4-3 away win.

Lampard Has Settled in Nicely

Considering that this is his first managerial role, Lampard has done an excellent job at Pride Park so far. Derby are in the play-off places at the halfway point, picking up 43 points from 26 games. After a number of failed promotion attempts under various managers, will Lampard be the man to take this famous club back into the Premier League? With 20 matches left, Derby have every chance of finishing in the top six and their boss certainly has plenty of experience of key games and title run-ins.

Analysis: All Square at Elland Road

Leeds will be desperate to avoid a third successive Championship loss on Friday night. The Whites have not lost three in a row in the league since November 2017. As for Derby, they will be buoyed by their dramatic win over Norwich in their previous away game, and the Rams’ strong attack will no doubt cause the inexperienced Leeds defence problems at Elland Road. We fancy these two clubs to play out an entertaining draw in Yorkshire on Friday night, a result which wouldn’t be a disaster for either side, although the home fans will be desperate for a win.

Honours Even on Friday

When these two met at Pride Park back in August, Leeds ran riot and picked up an eye-opening 4-1 win. However, we can see things being far more even between the pair in this one now that Derby have found their feet. The draw is available at the generous odds of 11/4 and that looks very solid value to us.

Both Sides to Notch

Leeds’s recent 2-0 loss to Hull was only the second time that the Whites have failed to score at home in the Championship this term. Meanwhile, since losing 1-0 to Bolton Wanderers at the University of Bolton Stadium back in September, the Rams have scored in each of their last nine away fixtures across all competitions. Have a punt on the draw and both teams to score on Friday, which you can get at 15/4.

Roofe to Haunt Derby Again

Kemar Roofe has been in phenomenal form in front of goal this season, netting an impressive 13 times in 20 Championship games. In fact, only Tammy Abraham, Billy Sharp, Neal Maupay, Teemu Pukki and Lewis Grabban have scored more up until now, with the race for the second tier golden boot wide open. The 26-year-old was on the scoresheet twice at Pride Park earlier in the season, and we’re backing Leeds’ No. 7 to score anytime on Friday at very fair odds of evens.

Recent Matches

Derby and Leeds have been regular opponents in the Championship in recent years. Things have been pretty even of late, with the pair winning two each and drawing two of the last six meetings. Meanwhile, Derby’s win at Elland Road last season was their first triumph at Leeds’ home since 2013. Can they make it back to back wins here?

11th August 2018: Derby County 1 – 4 Leeds United

Leeds were excellent when the teams met at Pride Park in August. In Lampard’s first home game in charge of Derby, United ran riot in the East Midlands, securing a deserved 4-1 win. Goals from Mat Klich and Roofe gave the Whites a 2-1 lead at the break. After half time, Roofe and Ezgjan Alioski scored to add gloss to the scoreline and possibly make Lampard question his decision to eschew the TV studios for the harsher environment of the dugout.

21st February 2018: Derby County 2 – 2 Leeds United

When the pair squared off at Pride Park last season, they played out a thrilling 2-2 draw. Hamburg loanee Pierre-Michel Lasogga gave the Whites the lead, with Andreas Weimann equalising on the stroke of half time. Alioski put the away side back in front late on, but Kasey Palmer’s injury time strike earned Derby a point.

31st October 2017: Leeds United 1 – 2 Derby County

A Sam Winnall brace gave County a 2-1 win at Leeds when the two last went head-to-head at Elland Road. Lasogga gave the hosts an early lead, but two Winnall goals late on proved to be enough to give the Rams all three points.

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