Millwall v Everton Betting Tips & Predictions – Saturday 26th January 2019

Millwall and Everton meet at The Den on Saturday night in the fourth round of the Emirates FA Cup. The Lions may ply their trade in the EFL Championship, but Neil Harris’ men will fancy their chances of upsetting the Premier League side at the weekend. Millwall are currently 19th in the second tier while the Toffees sit 11th in the top flight.

These two have not gone head-to-head since meeting in the same competition in the 2005/06 season. Back then, the Lions took Everton to a replay before Everton nicked a win at Goodison Park. Can the London side cause an upset, or will the Premier League outfit be too strong in this one? Both sides are struggling right now so the cup may provide a bit of respite from league struggles but who can cash in?

Top Tips

Everton to Win -1 Goal Handicap @ 7/4

Everton to Win & Both Teams to Score @ 13/5

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Millwall News: Lions Struggling in the Championship

Millwall's New Den Football Stadium
Sunil060902, Wikimedia Commons (Image Cropped)

Millwall have had a disappointing season in the Championship so far, losing 13 of their 28 league games. Along the way, the Lions have picked up just seven wins, although three of those have come in the last month. After losing 2-0 at home to Blackburn Rovers, Millwall drew 1-1 with Middlesbrough at the Riverside Stadium last weekend, conceding an injury time penalty to drop two points. The London club are six points ahead of the relegation zone with 18 games left to play and with no real chance of making the play-offs, survival is their only real goal in the Championship right now.

Comeback Win Over Hull

Millwall booked their place in the fourth round with a 2-1 home win over fellow Championship side Hull City. Jon Toral gave the Tigers the lead after 52 minutes, but a late brace by Shane Ferguson turned the game on its head in Millwall’s favour. The south Londoners have fond memories of the FA Cup, reaching the final in Cardiff back in 2004. Can they go far again 15 years on?

Four Wins in Six

Before picking up just one point from their last two Championship games, Millwall had won four league and cup matches in a row. The Lions beat Reading, Nottingham Forest and Ipswich Town in the Championship, and Hull in the cup. Prior to that, Harris’ side had lost five and drawn three of their previous eight. Millwall have been very inconsistent this season, something that they will be hoping to tackle in the second half of their campaign.

Everton News: Toffees in Patchy Form

External View of Everton's Goodison Park

Marco Silva’s side have struggled to get going of late, winning just three of their last 11 league and cup fixtures. In the Premier League, the Toffees have picked up just two wins from their past 10, losing five of their last seven along the way. After a hard-fought 2-0 win over Bournemouth, Everton crashed to a 2-1 defeat to lowly Southampton at St Mary’s last time out. After 23 league fixtures, the Merseysiders are 11th in the table on 30 points and the millions invested in the summer are yet to pay off. There is pressure mounting on Silva and FA Cup defeat to lower league opposition would make his situation a whole lot worse.

Silva’s Side Up for the Cup?

With Everton sitting in mid table, the Toffees should be looking for a decent run in the FA Cup this season. The Toffees are five-time winners of this competition, although the last of those triumphs came way back in 1995. In the third round earlier in the month, Silva’s men got the better of EFL League Two high flyers Lincoln City, beating the fourth tier side 2-1 at Goodison Park. Can the Toffees get the better of Millwall this Saturday? Silverware, or even a long run in this competition, would make it a successful season if the Toffees can finish the league campaign strongly but those all look like big “ifs” at the moment.

Away Form a Worry for Everton

Everton have been poor on the road this season, securing just two away wins all campaign. Since winning 2-1 against Leicester City at the King Power Stadium back in October, the Toffees have won one, drawn one and lost five of their previous seven away fixtures in the Premier League.

Toffees to Rotate?

Much as Silva will be desperate for the win here we expect a few changes, with Everton boasting good strength in depth and few injuries. Leighton Baines may come in, as he did in the third round, with fellow fullback Jonjoe Kenny and Tom Davies also potential starters. Gylfi Sigurdsson may also get a rare rest, with the Icelander having played a lot of minutes for the Toffees thus far.

Analysis: Away Side to Get the Win

Millwall have been woeful away from home this season, but their form at The Den has been very strong. Harris’ troops have won six, lost four and drawn four of their 14 Championship encounters on their own patch. Meanwhile, they have won six of their last 10 at home in all competitions. However, Everton undoubtedly have the better squad of players, and Silva’s side should see off their Championship opponents this weekend. Our money is going on the away win.

Toffees to Prevail in the Capital

Everton have been poor away from home, but their last away win was a big 5-1 victory at Burnley on Boxing Day. Millwall’s last two home defeats have been by a 2-0 scoreline, and we fancy a similar kind of outcome on Saturday. Take a punt on Everton to win -1, which you can get at the decent odds of 7/4.

Both Teams to Net at The Den

Everton have kept just one clean sheet on their travels this season. Since holding Chelsea to a 0-0 draw at Stamford Bridge back in November, the Toffees have conceded in each of their last five on the road. We fancy Millwall to get on the scoresheet on home soil, especially with the visitors set to make some changes at the back, so take a punt on the Everton win and both sides to net at 13/5.

Richarlison Back on the Scoresheet

Richarlison has been an excellent signing since making the switch from Watford last summer, netting nine Premier League goals already. However, the Brazil international has now gone five league and cup games without a goal, scoring just once in his last eight appearances. Richarlison will be hoping to get back to scoring ways on Saturday and against lower league opponents we like the look of 7/2 for the striker to open the scoring at The Den.

Recent Matches

Millwall and Everton have not met in any competition since going head-to-head in the 2006 FA Cup. The pair last squared off in a league match way back in March 1990, with the Toffees winning 2-1 in south London. Meanwhile, Millwall have won only one of their last seven matches against the Toffees and so the omens for the hosts are not great.

18th January 2006: Everton 1 – 0 Millwall

After a 1-1 draw at The Den in an FA Cup match back in 2006, Everton won the replay 1-0 at Goodison Park. Tim Cahill scored against his former club to give the Toffees a narrow home win.

7th January 2006: Millwall 1 – 1 Everton

In the match at The Den, Marvin Williams gave Millwall a first half lead. With time running out, Leon Osman scored to force a replay in a game that was without much real action.

4th October 1995: Everton 2 – 4 Millwall

The teams also met in the EFL Cup back in 1995. After a goalless draw at Millwall, the Lions prevailed 4-2 in the replay on Merseyside, with Scott Taylor (2), Dave Savage and Alex Rae on the scoresheet. Coming just months after Everton had lifted the FA Cup, this was undoubtedly a real shock.

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