Netherlands v Germany Betting Tips & Preview – Saturday 13th October 2018

Germany have the opportunity to knock France from top spot of their Nations League group with victory away in the Netherlands this weekend. It could only be a temporary stay in first place for the Germans though as they take on the world champions, in another testing match on the road, early next week. These high class fixtures are exactly what the Nations League is supposed to be all about and they offer genuine excitement, even for neutrals.

Avoiding relegation would have been the aim for the Oranje when the group draw was made. Facing the current and previous World Cup holders provided Ronald Koeman with a challenging prospect to say the least but his men have offered improvements since he took charge. Having narrowly lost to France in their opening test though, this is not a game the Dutch can really afford to lose, especially on home soil.

Top Tips

Draw @ 5/2

Under 2.5 goals @ 11/10

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Netherlands News: Koeman criticises ‘laid-back’ Van Dijk

Dutch Fans During Football Match
PaoloNapolitano, Wikimedia Commons (Image Cropped)

You won’t find a single Liverpool fan who is not delighted by the performances of Virgil van Dijk in a Reds shirt. The former Southampton man has seen his stock rise since making the move to Merseyside, now having a reputation as one of the top defenders in the Premier League and indeed the world. Dutch manager and former Everton boss Ronald Koeman is yet to be fully convinced though. He gave the defender a stern talking to after an error-strewn performance against France and also commented on the penalty he conceded last weekend versus Manchester City. Koeman suggested that his laid-back style is often to blame for his mistakes and that he wants to see the powerful centre-back mark forwards more tightly and better maintain his concentration over the course of matches.

Strongest line-up to feature for the Oranje

There have been calls over the past few days from the likes of Ajax and PSV to treat their players with care over the international break. Ajax boss Erik ten Hag has already had the likes of Matthijs de Ligt and Frenkie de Jong miss Champions Leagues games and he’s desperate to avoid them picking up fresh injuries. Despite these requests, Koeman respectfully stated that his best players will not be handed a rest. The 55-year-old added that if De Jong was fit enough to make the bench last weekend for Ajax then he’ll be fine to face Germany and it’s hard to argue with that opinion.

Germany News: Injuries beginning to pile up

Germany Game at the Arena AufSchalke
Michael Csaki, Wikimedia Commons (Image Cropped)

Ilkay Gundogan and Nils Petersen were the first to be ruled out by injuries for this match, giving Joachim Low some time to consider alternative options. The Germany manager was later hit with a fresh trio of withdrawals though as Marco Reus, Antonio Rudiger and Kai Havertz all picked up problems while on club duty last weekend. It was thought that Reus could have still joined the squad after an MRI scan showed no damage but given his injury record in the past, the Dortmund man is being left out as a precaution. Recent question marks have also been raised over the fitness of Leon Goretzka who underwent tests for a minor thigh problem earlier in the week.

Low gives Nations League his backing

Liverpool boss Jurgen Klopp directed some damning words towards the Nations League recently, describing it as the “most senseless competition in the world”. His view is not one shared by his compatriot Low however. Germany’s head coach was happy that his men now regularly get the chance to face top countries. He added that managers like Klopp are mainly concerned at their players having to play additional competitive matches. This is not something that will have an impact on team selection though as the only priority for Low is that his men secure victory.

Analysis: Important tests to come for Germany

Following a disastrous World Cup, Die Mannschaft have plenty of work to do to return to their former heights. Faith has been placed in long-serving manager Low to get the job done but he’ll know that he’s not a man who can afford too many poor results given just how bad his side were in Russia. There were some promising signs in the last international break for the Germans but they still have a long way to go if they are to resemble the formidable outfit they once were.

Tight battle expected in Amsterdam

Results in the last international break suggest that this match will be a highly competitive one. Both Germany and the Netherlands beat Peru 2-1 and both provided a decent test for France. The Dutch ended up losing to the French unlike Germany but in the second half they were arguably the better side, offering a credible test for the world champions. Die Mannschaft have a little more quality in their group right now but numerous injuries and playing away from home is likely to be enough to cancel out this small advantage. There’s really not a great deal to choose between the two sides who look set to play out a draw (5/2).

Where will the goals come from?

The Oranje are well equipped when it comes to wingers but are lacking when it comes to a natural striker. Memphis Depay has been most commonly selected to play upfront under Koeman but the Lyon attacker, who has just one league goal to his name this season, is best when out wide. In the six games Koeman has been in charge for, only twice have the Dutch managed to score more than once. Germany face a similar problem when it comes to having a recognised goalscorer. Marco Reus led the line the last two times and his absence could well be noticeable in a game which could well see under 2.5 goals (11/10) as a result.

Recent Matches

The rivalry between these two nations has lessened so much over the years that their relationship was recently called boringly normal by a popular German newspaper. While quite a fierce rivalry in the 1970s, tensions whenever the two teams meet are now rather minimal. That said, the Netherlands will certainly be keen to get one over on the Germans, having failed to do so on the previous five occasions the nations have faced off.

14th November 2012: Netherlands 0 – 0 Germany

Some big names such as Mesut Ozil, Bastian Schweinsteiger, Robin van Persie and Wesley Sneijder all sat out this match and it rather showed. There wasn’t a great deal of quality on show during what was a low-key friendly. Half-time changes for the Dutch saw some improvements but rather minor ones. Darryl Janmaat came closest to scoring for the hosts while Reus spurned his chance to snatch a late winner.

13th June 2012: Netherlands 1 – 2 Germany

A Mario Gomez brace sent Germany to the top of Group B in Euro 2012 and left the Oranje on the brink of early elimination. It would have been a different story if Robin van Persie had been more clinical earlier in the game but the Arsenal man was only able to convert a consolation goal. The Netherlands’ 28 shot tally counted for nothing in the end as they were left to rue their missed opportunities.

17th November 2011: Germany 3 – 0 Netherlands

Germany made it 10 games unbeaten with an easy friendly victory in Berlin. Goals from Thomas Muller, Miroslav Klose and Arsenal’s Ozil got the job done as the hosts exploited the Netherlands’ ineffective 4-3-2-1 formation. It was rather the shock result given that the Oranje came into the match having lost just one of their previous 16 contests.

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