Newcastle United v Liverpool Betting Tips & Predictions

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Previous Match Tips

This week could go from bad to worse for a Liverpool side who suffered a 3-0 loss to Barcelona in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final. Another rare taste of defeat for the Reds would effectively gift-wrap the title for Manchester City so they’ve got to have their heads in the right place here.

Needing all three points in order to return to the Premier League summit, this is yet another massive occasion for Liverpool. Far less is riding on the clash for the Toon Army but that doesn’t mean they’ll be taking this test lightly. With Rafa Benitez’s future still up in the air, the players will want to do all they can to convince the Spaniard it’s worth sticking around and they’ll also want to put on a show for their fans in the last home game of the campaign.

Top Tips

Newcastle to win with +2 goal handicap @ 8/11

Both teams to score @ 10/11

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Newcastle United News: Perez making speedy recovery

Tunnel at Newcastle United's Sta James' Paek
Neil Southern, flickr

Such is the superb form of Ayoze Perez that not even injury could prevent the player of the month nominee from scoring against Brighton last weekend. Having smashed the ball into the top corner of the net, the Spaniard celebrated by limping and shaking his head. Bizarrely it wasn’t until another 15 minutes later that Kenedy replaced him but at least the striker avoided exacerbating the issue by attempting to play on. Current reports suggest that Newcastle’s in-form man is set for a return this weekend, with medical staff optimistic he can play the entire match.

Magpies Safe but What Now?

Newcastle’s top-flight place was secured some time ago, with a run of seven points from nine taking them to 42 points and 13th. They can’t move much higher but Benitez has already stated that he has greater ambitions than trying to get Newcastle into the top 10. Fans of the North East giants believe owner Mike Ashley is happy to keep earning the TV money and that anywhere above 18th would do for him. But the fans are growing tired and so too is the manager. No matter what happens in their last two games of the season, we expect a tumultuous summer at St James’s, with the fans’ hoped-for spending spree unlikely to materialise and the manager possibly set for new pastures.

Liverpool News: Klopp lauds performance despite defeat

Paisley Gateway at Anfield Stadium
Kumpei Shiraishi, flickr

It’s not often you’ll hear a manager heaping praise on his players after a 3-0 loss but that’s exactly what Jurgen Klopp did following his side’s visit to the Nou Camp. The German boss expressed real pride at his players for what he considered a “brave performance that was very passionate, very lively and, in a lot of moments, creative and direct.” Such positive words are hardly misplaced either as most would agree the Reds really put in quite the showing in Barcelona.

Not only did they enjoy more possession than the hosts but they made more accurate passes (454 v 426) and had more efforts on goal (15 v 12). Klopp acknowledged that it is results that count but the performance will give the fans hope that a comeback is possible.

Midweek loss made worse by Keita injury

Just minutes before Barcelona opened the scoring on Wednesday night, Naby Keita fell to the turf touching his groin. In a substantial amount of discomfort, the Guinean signalled to the bench that he could not continue. Now a major doubt for this weekend, the £52.75m man is set to miss out on what would have been a fifth consecutive league start. It’s not all bad news though as Roberto Firmino will be at 100% for this test. Not feeling totally sharp in midweek, the Brazilian played only the final 11 minutes but any lingering pains will have faded by Saturday.

Fatigue an Issue?

Liverpool will have to be careful about this game because the clash in Barcelona and late return to the UK is sure to have taken a physical and psychological toll. The ongoing battle with Man City will have also been very mentally tiring and with a return match against Barca just three days after this it will be interesting to see how Klopp marshals and motivates his troops and whether they can maintain their high-energy game.

Analysis: Barcelona defeat could knock Reds confidence

Defeats in other competitions can sometimes have an impact elsewhere and this could perhaps be the case for Liverpool here. There are many reasons to praise Klopp’s team but only twice this season have they failed to win a game but then immediately bounced back with three points next time out. While far from the most streaky side around, having their Champions League hopes almost sent up in smoke will have left its mark.

No walk in St James’s Park

Premier League away matches have not been a breeze for Liverpool of late and this will be no exception. The recent 2-0 win over Cardiff was probably the Reds’ most comfortable away triumph of 2019 but even then, it was only a game settled by an 81st minute penalty. Late goals were also needed to see off the challenge of Fulham and Southampton, two sides who don’t post impressive home records. Newcastle in this respect are rather different with St James’s Park somewhat of a fortress this calendar year. The Magpies have won six of their last seven matches in Tyneside, making them well worth backing with a +2 handicap (8/11).

Perez gets Newcastle firing

Liverpool’s backline is almost as solid as they come but that does not mean they are impenetrable, particularly outside of Anfield. The title hopefuls have conceded in all but one of their last six away matches across all competitions so there’s definite potential for a Newcastle goal here. The Toon Amy can be a little hit and miss inside the box but the superb form of Perez suggests that they will be a genuine threat to Allisson between the sticks. You do have to fancy that the visitors will respond with a goal or two of their own though, in a match where both teams to score (10/11) looks very likely.

Slow start a real possibility

If you have to tune in a little late for this game, the stats suggest you are unlikely to miss much action. In terms of first half goals, St James’s Park has seen the third lowest amount (19) in the Premier League. As for Liverpool’s away record, the Reds have scored 21 of their 31 league goals on the road (67%) after the interval. In what looks set to be a tight game, Klopp’s men will stay patient once again in pursuit of a breakthrough. They aren’t a side that panics early on so the second half of this contest looks like being the one with the most goals (evens).

Recent Matches

Supporting our main tip for this game is the fact Liverpool have not enjoyed recent trips to St James’s Park. Following a stunning 6-0 win there in 2013, in which Sunderland man Jordan Henderson grabbed a brace, the Reds have lost two and drawn two of their Tyneside visits.

26th December 2018: Liverpool 4 – 0 Newcastle United

A Boxing Day win for Liverpool sent them six points clear at the top of the Premier League table. Fortunate not to have been punished for a sluggish start as Joselu wasted a big chance, the Reds then quickly got their act together. A surprisingly exquisite Dejan Lovren half volley opened the scoring and the points looked to be safe when Mohamed Salah converted a 47th minute penalty. The hosts continued to look the most threatening side and an additional two late goals helped reflect their dominance in this one-sided contest.

3rd March 2018: Liverpool 2 – 0 Newcastle United

A resiliant Newcastle finally caved to the home side's efforts 5 minutes before the break when Mohamed Salah continued his incredible scoring record assisted by Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain bursting forward from midfield. Newcastle could've drawn level just before half time but a curing effort struck from outside the box from Mohamed Diame was palmed behind by Loris Karius. Liverpool's second came from the right boot of Sadio Mane after his run was found by a neat Roberto Firmino through ball.

1st October 2017: Newcastle United 1 – 1 Liverpool

Liverpool could only take one point away from the north-east having dominated possesion at St James' Park. Philippe Coutinho put the visitors ahead with a wonderful strike past an outstretched Rob Elliot after cutting in from the left flank. Liverpool's defensive issues were highlight for the equaliser when Joselu broke through the ranks chased by Joel Matip. The centre back's sliding tackle could only deflect the ball of the shin of the Newcastle striker beyond Simon Mignolet inside the right post.

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