Manchester City v Manchester United Betting Tips & Predictions - Saturday 7th December 2019

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Previous Match Tips

Manchester City's return to top spot was short lived at the weekend but Pep Guardiola’s men can seize the initiative once again this Wednesday evening. Their game in hand over Liverpool sees them face local rivals Man Utd in what is the toughest looking match of their remaining four Premier League fixtures. Having beaten Spurs last time out, another City win would surely see their fans believing they can see things out and secure the title.

The timing of this match leaves the Man United faithful in a rather uncomfortable position. As much as they would love to keep their top four hopes alive with a win, it’s a result that would effectively gift wrap the title for Liverpool. The Red Devils faithful are certainly not keen on City but for many, they are by far the lesser of two evils. Rest assured though that the players on the Old Trafford turf will do everything they can to claim a derby day victory, especially with a Champions League spot very much still a possibility.

Top Tips

Man City to win @ 4/9

Aguero to score anytime @ 8/11

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Manchester United News: Solskjaer issues apology

Manchester United v Manchester City at Old Trafford
apasciuto, flickr

It's been a tough few weeks for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer but you can't say he's been embarrassed at any point. That was until last Sunday when his men lost 4-0 away at Everton, United's heaviest loss since October 2016. The Norwegian boss could hardly blame misfortune either as Everton well and truly tore apart a sorry looking bunch of Red Devils. Fully aware of the woeful display the travelling fans endured, Solskjaer issued a lengthy heartfelt apology but is seeking to make amends this Wednesday.

Herrera and Shaw could return

Ander Herrera might be bound for a new club in the summer but United fans are unlikely to have seen the last of him just yet. The Spanish midfielder returned to training after shaking off a muscular injury and is in contention to make his first April appearance this Wednesday. Although he remains a minor doubt, there is no question that Luke Shaw is fit and raring to go. Having served his two game suspension, the 23-year-old looks almost certain to swap in for Diogo Dalot on the left side of defence.

Manchester City News: De Bruyne ruled out

Manchester City Match at Etihad Stadium
Agnieszka Mieszczak, flickr

The Citizens successfully secured their revenge against Tottenham at the weekend but not without paying a potentially heavy price. Kevin De Bruyne, who claimed the man of the match award during the Champions League bout in midweek, picked up a hamstring injury during the Spurs rematch. In a season plagued by injuries, the Belgian maestro will miss another big match here and what a loss he is. It's too early to tell if it's an injury that will end his season but his frustration prior to walking off suggests it was more than a minor issue.

Analysis: Solskjaer bubble well and truly burst

Initially, widespread approval met the announcement of Solskjaer’s permanent contract at Old Trafford but a growing number of fans now feel as though the decision was a premature one. As good as United were in the early weeks of the new manager's reign, they've been a million miles from it in recent weeks. With the home side now lacking all of their former swagger, this is not a match Man City will be fearing.

City set for top spot return

Only an 11th consecutive league win is enough to send Man City back to the Premier League summit and it's one they are decent value for at 4/9. Although Pep's men were fortunate to beat Spurs at the weekend, they won't be as susceptible to the counter away from home.

In fact, any weaknesses will be hard to find with City performing far above their local rivals. The Red Devils have managed just eight shots on target in their last four matches, only showing evidence of their potential in brief flashes away in Barcelona. They'll need to perform much better to get anything from this match but it's hard to see them finding the necessary inspiration.

Aguero the danger man

This will be Sergio Aguero’s 11th Manchester derby and in the previous 10, the Argentine has scored nine goals. His record in this match makes him a tempting anytime scorer at 8/11 especially considering the state of the United defence. The Red Devils haven’t kept a clean sheet since February despite David de Gea regularly pulling off fantastic saves between the sticks, although even he has now started throwing in the odd error.

It’s hard to see them ending this shutout drought against a side that has scored in every league test during 2019. City’s goals have come from a range of sources but Aguero is often the man to pop up in the big matches and this game should be no exception.

United to improve on Everton showing

As poor as United were against Everton on Sunday, you shouldn’t back them to put in such an abject display in this Manchester derby. Often it’s said the form book goes out of the window for local rivalries and there is some truth in this when looking at the two clubs’ head to head record.

With motivation in no short supply this time, Solskjaer’s men should play with some more intensity and aggression. They still look like falling short but they have the ability to restrict Man City to just a one goal victory (11/4). This has been the margin of victory during five of the Citizens’ most recent eight Manchester derby victories and the odds offer a major step up from simply backing the away win.

Recent Matches

Man City have outperformed their local rivals domestically for the last six seasons but their dominance has not spread to this derby. Despite their differing fortunes, United have very much held their own against the Citizens, even after the introduction of Guardiola. The last nine Manchester derbies across all competitions have seen both sides win four each with the other ending all square.

11th November 2018: Manchester City 3 – 1 Manchester United

Man City’s old guard helped give them the beating of their local rivals in what was a rather one-sided derby. David Silva opened the scoring early on and fellow City stalwart Sergio Aguero grabbed another just after the break. It was all looking too easy for the hosts but then Antony Martial pulled one back from the spot after Ederson hauled down Romelu Lukaku. Refusing to panic, City continued to enjoy full control of the match and highlighted this fact when Ilkay Gungodan finished off a slick 44-pass move late on.

7th April 2018: Manchester City 2 – 3 Manchester United

Manchester City approached this game knowing that a win would see them crowned champions. The chance to celebrate a league title in front of their local rivals was something Vincent Kompany described as a once in a lifetime opportunity. Initially his teammates seized the moment, racing into to a 2-0 lead. Whatever the inspirational Mourinho said at half-time did the trick though as his men staged a phenomenal comeback, forcing City to put their title celebrations on ice.

10th December 2017: Manchester United 1 – 2 Manchester City

Manchester United trailed their rivals by eight points ahead of this match which was seen as a must win in order to keep the title race alive. Jose Mourinho blamed Michael Oliver’s decision not to award his side a penalty as the reason for the loss but his negative style deserved more of the blame. The United boss named an attacking line-up but his men lacked any sense of adventure, recording the least amount of possession in a home league game since OPTA records began.

27th April 2017: Manchester City 0 – 0 Manchester United

It shouldn’t have come as a surprise at how tense this game was with the two clubs separated by just a point in the race for fourth place. Guardiola’s men had the lion’s share of possession but lacked the killer instinct when pulling the trigger. Sergio Aguero did come close when hitting the post but otherwise the Red Devils weren’t too troubled as they set up camp in their own half to claim a credible point.

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