Manchester City v Tottenham Hotspur Betting Tips & Predictions - Saturday 17th August 2019

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Saturday 17 August 2019
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A full match preview will appear shortly before the game.

Previous Match Tips

This Champions League quarter final hangs firmly in the balance with Tottenham enjoying a 1-0 lead coming into the second leg. Man City remain the bookies’ choice to make it through to the last four but the odds are far closer than they were before last Tuesday. A two goal victory or better is the only way the Citizens can guarantee safe passage but for a side of their quality, this sort of result is more than obtainable.

As if Champions League survival wasn’t already enough by itself, Wednesday’s clash also serves as a warm-up for Saturday’s Premier League test between the two clubs. How this game plays out could well shape what type of match we have on at the weekend, giving it potential ramifications for the title and top four races. For now though a place in the UCL semis is all that the fans and players will be concentrating on though and this could be a real thriller.

Top Tips

Man City to qualify @ 8/13

Man City to win to nil @ 6/5

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Manchester City News: Fernandinho a doubt

Manchester City Etihad Stadium on Matchday
Agnieszka Mieszczak, flickr

Although the absence of Fernandinho didn’t hurt Man City away at Crystal Palace on Sunday, Pep Guardiola will not want to be without the midfielder again. The Brazilian has started seven Champions League games this season, providing a vital layer of protection for the back line. His manager had little to say about his latest injury only that “he is not fit, it’s short term.” The current feeling is that he’ll definitely be back in time for the weekend but that his involvement on Wednesday hangs rather more in the balance.

Guardiola rejects Gundogan’s assessment

An honest and frank Ilkay Gundogan told the press he and his teammates were “not brave enough” during their recent trip to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. The ex-Dortmund man added that there were signs of nerves from his colleagues and that they consistently made the wrong decisions. Asked on his view regarding the midfielder’s remarks, Guardiola responded, “I’m not agreeing with any of it. Absolutely not.” The City boss believed that the match went largely according to plan with Spurs limited to very few efforts on target.

Tottenham Hotspur News: Kane out but Alli may return

White Hart Lane Prior to Tottenham Hotspur Match
Paul Hudson, flickr

Last Tuesday’s win for Spurs came at a heavy price as both Harry Kane and Dele Alli went off the pitch injured. The former once again suffered ankle ligament damage and it’s something that could well end his season.

Alli on the other hand fractured his hand, a less troublesome problem but one that kept him sidelined last weekend against Huddersfield. While the midfielder’s hand remains very much broken, he does have the option of playing with a cast on. Mauricio Pochettino has confirmed this is a possibility but insisted that the 23-year-old “needs to feel comfortable”.

Stick or Twist for Tottenham?

Tottenham boss Mauricio Pochettino faces a tricky decision in this game. Whilst a draw would send Spurs through, if they can score an away goal, the hosts would need to score at least three. Playing for a draw, especially hoping to play out a 0-0, at the Etihad, would almost seem an impossible task though.

That said, however, the away side also know if they can keep things quiet for the first half City’s huge reserves of patience will start to be tested and this could see them given more space on the counter. A fascinating clash is in store and it will be interesting to see how both managers approach it.

Analysis: Big guns likely to return

Showing more pragmatism than earlier on in his career, Guardiola took the decision to rest several key players against Tottenham. Some say the decision backfired due to the loss but it does mean that the likes of Kevin De Bruyne, Leroy Sane and Bernardo Silva will feel a lot fresher coming into this match. Handed a deficit to overturn, it’s hard to see these big names being kept on the bench and their return will surely make a massive difference.

City to break English curse

Five times City have faced English opposition in a European competition and every time they’ve lost. We should see the end of this run on Wednesday though as a full strength City side will simply have too much for Spurs to contain. The Citizens have won all of their last 12 matches at the Etihad, a streak that’s seen them easily brush off the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Schalke. The pressure is higher for this test but they won’t cope with it any worse than Spurs who are even more inexperienced on this kind of stage. Pep’s men have the quality and mentality to progress here and 8/13 is a fine price for them doing so.

Kane absence crucial

The last time Harry Kane was out injured, Spurs won all their league matches and beat Borussia Dortmund 3-0. Clearly, the Londoners are able to perform without their star striker but there’s reason to think his absence will be more noticeable in Manchester.

Heung-Min Son is the likely replacement but he lacks the ability to play with his back to goal, a skill so important when possession is in scarce supply. Equally as worrying for Spurs is just how solid City are on home soil. Across all competitions, the English champions have shipped in just two goals from their last 11 home tests, making a win to nil very appealing at odds of 6/5.

Aguero to redeem himself

He may have missed a golden opportunity to score in the first leg but Sergio Aguero will not let that play on his mind. The Argentine has been in superb form this season and as deadly as ever in the Champions League. Over the last three seasons, City’s number 10 has made 17 starts in this competition, finding the net on as many occasions. He was rather starved of service last week but the returning De Bruyne and Sane will ensure it doesn’t happen again. 10 times previously he’s found the net against Spurs and he’s available at a tempting 5/6 to add to this tally anytime. That’s great value given his record against favoured opponents.

Recent Matches

Tottenham’s victory last week levelled the overall head-to-head record between these two clubs. The pair have met 157 times in a competitive setting with each winning 61 matches. More recently though it’s City who have been on top, beating Spurs on three of the last four occasions.

9th April 2019: Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 0 Manchester City

Danny Rose became the latest victim of VAR early on in the match. There were few appeals at the time from City players but Bjorn Kuipers decided to award a penalty for handball after inspecting the replays. All the fuss proved to be for nothing though as Hugo Lloris kept out Sergio Aguero’s effort from 12 yards. It proved a costly miss as Son Heung-Min went on to the break the deadlock, narrowly keeping the ball in play before lashing home past the feet of Ederson.

14th April 2018: Tottenham Hotspur 1 – 3 Manchester City

Spurs hadn’t lost a home match by more than a one goal margin since August 2014 prior to City’s visit. The scoreline in no way flattered City either who went within touching distance of the Premier League title with the win. Pochettino acknowledged that his side struggled in the game, particularly during the opening 25 minutes which had seen them fall two goals behind.

16th December 2017: Manchester City 4 – 1 Tottenham Hotspur

A Kevin De Bruyne masterclass put City on their way to a classy victory in front of the home crowd. The hosts registered 20 shots on target and left the rest of the league questioning how on earth they could be caught after such a scintillating display. The only positive note for Tottenham was that a frustrated Dele Alli managed to escape with just a yellow card for his reckless challenge on De Bruyne. When that’s your only positive, you know it has been a bad day.

21st January 2017: Manchester City 2 – 2 Tottenham Hotspur

Pep Guardiola was left fuming on the touchline as his side conceded an equaliser seconds after his men were denied a clear penalty. Raheem Sterling was racing through on goal but was shoved in the back by his now-teammate Kyle Walker, right when he pulled the trigger. He could only muster a tame shot as a result, allowing Spurs to break and Heung-Min Son to slot home. City thought they had scored a thoroughly deserved winner afterwards but Gabriel Jesus was denied a dream debut by the offside flag.

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