AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Tips & Predictions – Thursday 9th May 2019

The PGA Championship is just around the corner. The world’s best golfers will have the entirety of their games tested when they visit Bethpage Black but it’s a very different story with this week’s major warm up event, the AT&T Byron Nelson.

Last year’s switch to Trinity Forest Golf Club saw record low scores at this long running PGA Tour event. More of the same is expected this time around which is music to the ears of Marc Leishman. He took Trinity Forest apart on the first three days but just couldn’t hack the pace on the Sunday. Leishman will be desperate to claim the win this time around and looks a great price to do just that.

Top Tips

Marc Leishman @ 33/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Course Info

There are any number of reasons why Trinity Forest proved to be little more than a pushover last season. The par 71 may not be particularly short at 7,380 yards but it can be very easy to score here, subject to weather conditions. There are no trees, no rough to speak of and no water hazards at the Dallas track so when the Texas winds don’t whip up, top class golfers can let loose and play aggressively.

If you were to walk the course at Trinity Forest the greens would stand out as the main defence. They are very undulating and have plenty of scope for tricky pin positions, however, the prevalence of the wind means the organisers are unable to let them play too fast which limits their danger significantly. The one thing the players will have to guard against is missing the putting surfaces as the runoff areas around the greens make getting up and down for par a big ask.

CourseLocationLengthPrize Money
Trinity Forest Golf Club Dalls, Texas 7,380 Yards $7,900,000

Recent Winners

Aaron Wise made the most of near perfect scoring conditions on an easy track by racking up a tournament record score of -23 en route to his maiden PGA Tour win at last year’s AT&T Byron Nelson. The young American was a relative long shot at 50/1 but he immediately showed that he had the approach play needed to score well at Trinity Forest and never let up during the weekend.

Sergio Garcia and Billy Horschel both showed excellent scoring power when winning this title at TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas but that was a venue that could throw up surprise winners too, such as Steven Bowditch, who won on a course that was shortened due to flooding.

YearWinnerCourseTo ParWinning Margin
2018 Aaron Wise Trinity Forest GC -23 3 Strokes
2017 Billy Horschel TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas -12 Playoff
2016 Sergio Garcia TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas -15 Playoff
2015 Steven Bowditch TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas -18 4 Stokes
2014 Brendon Todd TPC Four Seasons Las Colinas -14 2 Strokes

Analysis: A Second Shot Golf Course

Players who don’t hit at least 70% of greens in regulation this week may as well have stayed at home. Trinity Forest is not a course to pass up scoring opportunities so those who are regularly one putting for par will not be able to compete. It will take more than just hitting greens to be successful this week though. Proximity to the hole and strokes gained into the greens will be key stats for deciding the winner.

Leishman Can Hold On This Time Around

Aaron Wise did not have things all his own last year. He had to overcome a spirited challenge from Marc Leishman who just faded away during the final round. Prior to Sunday the Australian had displayed all the skills required to tackle Trinity Forest and he’ll arrive back in Dallas confident of another crack at the title.

Leishman has been a little quiet of late but his results are nothing for his fans to be worried about. He’s missed just one cut this year and has five top 10 finishes so Leishman’s game is clearly there or thereabouts. Back at a course that suits his game and with unfinished business to fire him up, Leishman has every chance of a fifth PGA Tour win at odds of 33/1 with Ladbrokes.

Im’s Scoring Power Makes Him a Threat

Sungjae Im has enjoyed himself during his rookie season on the PGA Tour. The South Korean booked his place in the big leagues thanks to some excellent play and two wins on last year’s Web.com Tour and he’s taken the same aggressive approach that served him so well onto the PGA Tour.

The standard of competition and difficulty of the courses that he’s face have meant that Im has had some tough days on the course but he leads the PGA Tour for total birdies. That reflects on his busyness as much as his style of play but Im should find Trinity Forest to be a great fit for his game which makes him worthy of each way support at 40/1 with Betfred.

Can Aphibarnrat Handle the Pace?

Kiradech Aphibarnrat is another exciting player who prefers aggressive golf over defence and will therefore be looking forward to the chance to attack at Trinity Forest. The Thai star has found the going tough at times as he has concentrated his season more around the PGA Tour than ever before but he’s won a lot of fans for his swashbuckling style.

That style has produced wins around the world and can do so again in Texas where Aphibarnrat looks very tempting for a small stakes bet at 100/1 with bet365.

Final Verdict: Marc Leishman to Win

Trinity Forest is a unique golf course which is not to everybody's taste but those players who get it will have been looking forward to this week for some time now. Marc Leishman has certainly had this circled in his diary for some months as he looks to overcome last year’s disappointing final round by winning at odds of 33/1 with Ladbrokes.

About

The AT&T Byron Nelson is one of the more iconic events on the PGA Tour. It's been running since 1944, which also makes it one of the oldest. It's recently moved to the Trinity Forest Golf Club, based in Dallas, Texas. It's also the only metropolitan place on the tour that holds two PGA events, such is the popularity of the sport within Texas.

The renaming of the tournament to include Byron Nelson's name took place in 1968 and whilst it's seen several sponsors over the years, the name has always included that of Byron Nelson as well. Many people still simply call it "The Byron Nelson" much to sponsors frustration, but such is the heritage of the tournament.

Whilst many tournaments work hard with their charitable work these days, there are few that have been more successful than that of the Byron Nelson. Over the years, the tournament has raised a staggering $143million for charities within Texas and even across the US. Whilst the golf is important, the set up to make sure these funds keep coming is quite something and work continues for 12 months of the year, although admittedly is ramped up around the time of the tournament.

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