Houston Open Betting Tips & Predictions – Thursday 10th October 2019

The Houston Open was a big miss on last season’s PGA Tour. This is a very popular tournament both with local fans and many big name players so its return thanks to sponsorship from the Houston Astros’ foundation is very welcome indeed.

All of those competing in the 2019 Houston Open will look at the tournament as a genuine opportunity to claim a PGA Tour win. Daniel Berger is one of those very much looking to make the most of a lower than usual calibre of field. He has played well at this event in the past and could kick on to win a third PGA Tour title at very nice odds of 25/1 with Betfred.

Top Tips

Daniel Berger @ 25/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Course Info

The Houston Open’s return means a return for the Tournament Course at the Golf Club of Houston. This is a real horses for courses venue which some players make sure to add to their schedule. Although little has changed with Golf Club of Houston over the years, the players will find it to be a different beast this year due to the change in date.

The Houston Open used to be held the week before the Masters in April and was therefore set up to mimic the firm and fast conditions the players would find at Augusta. It will be very different this time around, as autumn approaches. The greens will not be quite so fast nor are they overseeded whilst the rough has been allowed to grow to two inches.

CourseLocationLengthPrize Money
Tournament Course, Golf Club of Houston Humble, Texas 7,441 Yards $7,000,000

Recent Winners

It’s fair to say that the Houston Open doesn’t quite provide the same level of challenge as the Masters. Recent winners may have had to hit the ball a fair distance off the tee, putt well and rely on a razor sharp short game but it is not in the same class of challenge as Augusta National.

Russell Henley is the only player to have won any of the last five renewals of the Houston Open without having to rely on a playoff despite -15 being the worst score. That shows that the Golf Club of Houston is a place at which birdies are easy enough to come by, so this week’s winner will need to putt well and keep bogeys off the card.

YearWinnerTo ParWinning Margin
2018 Ian Poulter -19 Playoff
2017 Russell Henley -20 3 Strokes
2016 Jim Herman -16 Playoff
2015 J. B. Holmes -16 Playoff
2014 Matt Jones -15 Playoff

Analysis: Control Set to Be Key

Conditions at the Golf Club of Houston are set to be considerably different to the norm. Softer conditions could well mean that the greens are much more receptive than normal so a player’s short game is less important. Combine that with rough that is longer than we are used to seeing and you can see why ball control both off the tee and into the greens will be vitally important this week.

Berger Can Return to Winning Ways

It’s fair to say that this year’s renewal of the Houston Open doesn’t boast the same quality of field that we are used to seeing from this tournament. Many of those who traditionally use the tournament to warm up for the Masters are not in attendance which opens the door to players in the field who are in need of a win. Players like Daniel Berger.

The 26-year-old American has not kicked on in the manner that many thought he would when he was awarded PGA Tour Rookie of the Year in 2015. Berger has been working hard to get his game back to the level it was four years ago and you get the feeling this is a very important season for him.

It’s no surprise that Berger is heading to Houston this week. He has two top five finishes and no missed cuts from his four appearances at this event. As with the other regulars, Berger will need to alter his game a little to cope with the autumnal conditions. That’s within his capabilities though and his odds of 25/1 with Betfred look good value.

Lewis Can Use His Ball Striking for a Positive Result

Since earning his PGA Tour card for the first time, Tom Lewis has found the going a little tough in America. The Englishman has already shown he can play well Stateside with his win at the Korn Ferry Tour Championship and is now looking to extend his time on the PGA Tour beyond the one season.

The Houston Open is a good chance for Lewis to make his first cheque on the PGA Tour. He shouldn’t be overly concerned about the quality of the field whilst the course should allow him to make the most of his excellent iron play. He also won’t have to deal with lightning fast greens so Lewis is a good outside each way bet at 80/1 with Coral.

Final Verdict: Daniel Berger to Win

This may not be a particularly stellar renewal of the Houston Open but it is a potentially massive week for those in attendance. Daniel Berger is one of those who is desperate to make the most of this week’s tournament. He has the quality and the mentality to dig deep and claim this important win at 25/1 with Betfred.

About

Whilst the Houston Open one of the oldest events on tour, first running in 1946, it's always seen as one of the most important. Previously held the week before the Masters, it has since moved to an early slot in the PGA Tour calendar.

The tournament has been held at several venues over the years, such as River Oaks Country Club, Memorial Park Golf Course and Pine forest Country Club, before settling at its current location of the Golf Club of Houston in 2003, formerly known as Redstone Golf Cub.

One of the most remarkable victories at the Houston Open came in 2018, when Englishman Ian Poulter was able to win the tournament and thus qualify for the Masters the following week. Poulter had missed out on a Master spot from the WGC Match Play after wrongly being told his last 16 place meant he got through. The only way to qualify would be to win at Houston, which he duly did, beating Beau Hossler in a play-off.

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