US PGA Championship: Betting Tips, Stats & History - Thursday 9th August 2018

Whistling Straits Golf Course Clubhouse
Credit: KevinTR, Wikimedia Commons

As one of the four majors in golf, the PGA Championship is without one of the pinnacles of the season for any golfer, with the top players competing for the famous Wanamaker trophy.

Organised by the PGA of America, the tournament is one of a number that is located at different courses each year and doesn’t have a ‘home course’, unlike that of the Masters at Augusta. 

Whilst it could be argued that the tournament is the least prestigious of the four majors, the fact that is’ been running for over 100 years now has clearly cemented its place in golfing legacies, likely for many more years to come.

PGA Championship Betting Tips For 2018

Thomas Can Retain Wanamaker Trophy

The 2018 US PGA Championship is the last time the tournament will be held in August. In a bid to improve TV ratings and to improve the prestige of the PGA Championship, it will be moved forward in the schedule to May in 2019. This year’s tournament is also the 100th renewal and contains one of the most competitive fields ever assembled in golf so it is fitting that it is being hosted by the world renowned Bellerive Country Club.

Injuries to Joost Luiten and Bernd Wiesberger are all that’s keeping the entirety of the world’s top 100 players from making the teeing in St Louis. As you might expect, the amount of quality in the field means that there are a lot of players in with a genuine chance of winning. Moreover, several underdogs have made the most of a burst of form to win the US PGA Championship against the odds. There is no doubt that this is both an intriguing tournament and betting heat.

Justin Thomas (16/1)

Justin Thomas could hardly be feeling better about himself and his golf game going into the year’s final major. Not only is the 25-year-old the defending champion but he travels to Missouri on the back of an impressive four stroke win at the WGC Bridgestone Invitational.

Thomas made the most of the scorable conditions at Firestone Country Club over the first two days with rounds of 65 and 64. He absolutely loves courses which reward his power off the tee and the sort of towering, accurate iron shots that he is able to produce time and time again. On Saturday it was his putter that stole the show as he shot one of the lowest rounds of the day as Firestone firmed up before he battled hard to shoot a one under par 69 on Sunday despite not having his best stuff.

Form at Firestone has been a very useful indicator for success at the US PGA Championship before and will only be more useful given the similarities between the Ohio course and Bellerive. Everything is pointing towards another big week for Thomas who looks a very fair price at 16/1 to retain the Wanamaker Trophy.

Thorbjorn Olesen (80/1)

Thorbjorn Olesen’s final round of 64 at Firestone did not go unnoticed. The Danish star’s game was in great shape as he flew through the field on Sunday to claim a share of third place and his price has steadily been coming in as punters realise just what a good fit he is for Bellerive. Don’t worry about missing out on the value though as Olesen is still available at a very tempting price of 80/1.

Olesen is one of many top class European golfers who still need to do something special to claim a place in Thomas Bjorn’s Ryder Cup team. A major win would surely be enough but even another top five finish could be enough for Olesen to catch the eye of his fellow Dane. Olesen possesses more than enough power for Bellerive, is an excellent ball striker and has already won this year which is a key trend for the US PGA Championship. That win came at the Italian Open, one of the European Tour’s premier events. Olesen is ready to take that form to the world stage.

Ross Fisher (250/1)

Like both Thomas and Olesen, Ross Fisher has made a lot of money thanks to his ball striking ability. Fellow professionals often pick Fisher out as among the very best in that regard while he hits the ball as high as anybody else in the field this week.

37-year-old Fisher will look back at his career to date and think he could have won more but there is plenty of time for him to rack up the victories and he is feeling good about his game at the moment. A win at Bellerive may be a bit of a stretch but Fisher is certainly worth a small stakes each way bet at 250/1.

Bellerive Country Club Course Info

Golf Course Green and Bunkers

Bellerive Country Club has a wealth of history stretching back to 1897. The club as we know it today was opened on Memorial Day, 1960 when the club moved to a brand new course in Town and Country, on the outskirts of St Louis. Originally designed by Robert Trent Jones, Bellerive was revamped at the turn of the millennium by his son, Robert Jr. He kept the contours of the greens whilst reducing their size by some 1,000 square feet in order to “test the shot making skills of the world’s most accomplished professionals”.

For the US PGA Championship, Bellerive will play as a fairly long par 70 at 7,300 yards but it is that test of ball striking and shot making which will separate the leading contenders from the also-rans. The players will also have to contend with some hot and humid conditions as the temperature is set to hit 33 degrees on the first two days. The rain in the forecast for late on Saturday could just soften up the course enough for players to make a late charge with a low round on Sunday.

About

USA Flag

PGA stands for the Professional Golfers Association of America. The body is made up of 28,000 professionals based in and around America and with it have to maintain a high standard of both participation and growth. 

14 districts make up the panel, with several sections within those districts, all having their own head of development and growth. Golfers and students must go through a number of written and simulation exams before being granted their professional status, whilst maintaining these standards when it comes to either playing or teaching.

Their role in the PGA championships is essentially to select the courses in which will host the tournament and then make sure everything runs smoothly. We will expand on the selection process later in the article. 

Format

Golf Ball in Hole

The format of the tournament is the same as that of any other PGA event. It’s run over 4 days and is a 72 hole stroke play event. The first two days will include the full field of around 156 players. After the second round the top 75 players and ties will be eligible to play in the weekend after what is known as the ‘cut’ takes place. 

The weekend follows the strokeplay format and the remaining 36 holes are played out with the remainder of the field. The winner is deemed the player to have scored the lowest aggregate total over the course of the 72 holes.

If two or more players are tied, then a playoff will take place. The playoff for the PGA Championship is played over a 3-hole aggregate, where plays paly the 10th, 17th and then 18th scores. If players are still tied then they go back and play the 18th hole until a winner is found via a sudden death playoff. 

The field, as stated is made up of 156 players. There are a number of ways in which players can qualify, including all former PGA Champions, winners of any of the other last 5 majors, current senior PGA champion, top 70 players in the current PGA Tour money list and members of the most recent Ryder Cup team, to name but a few. 

But, what’s unique about the PGA Championships is that they reserve 20 spots for PGA club professionals based around the US. Whilst technically still professional golfers, they are regarded more on the amateur level compared to that of the PGA Tour professionals in the field. The head professional for the host course is also invited to play, in what will often be the highlight of their career. 

The prize money on offer is substantial with $10.5 million up for grabs. The winner will pick up a hefty cheque worth $1.89million for their work for the week. 

Chart Showing PGA Prize Money Over The Last 40 Years

The Host Venues

The number of courses that have hosted and are in contention to host are quite substantial with the PGA Championship. The majority of courses are based around the Mid-Atlantic (New York, Pittsburgh, New Jersey etc.) and the East North Central (Miami, Illinois, Ohio, etc.). Whilst tournaments have been played all over the US, the main reason is that due to the time of year when the PGA is played – mid-August – they can rely on the weather. 

But, this is due to change in 2019 when a proposal that’s been passed means that the event will be brought forward and instead played in May. This means that they will have a wider range of courses to choose from based on climate and also will miss the start of the NFL football season, which has a negative effect on golf within the US once that’s up and running. 

Proposed Upcoming PGA Championship Courses

Year (Edition)Course & LocationCourse DesignerLast Hosted
2018 (100th) Bellerive Country Club, Missouri Robert Foulis 1992
2019 (101st) Bethpage Black Course, Farmingdale, New York AW Tillinghast Never
2020 (102nd) TPC Harding Park, San Francisco, California W. Watson & S. Whiting Never
2021 (103rd) Kiawah Island Resort, South Carolina Pete & Alice Dye 2012
2022 (104th) Trump National GC, Bedminster, New Jersey Tom Fazio Never
2023 (105th) Oak Hill Country Club, Rochester, New York Donald J. Ross 2013
2024 (106th) Valhalla Golf Club, Louisville, Kentucky Jack Nicklaus 2014
2027 (109th) Aronimink GC, Newtown Square, Pennsylvania Donald J. Ross 1962
2028 (110th) Olympic Club, San Francisco, California W. Watson & S. Whiting Never
2029 (111th) Baltusrol Golf Club, Springfield, New Jersey AW Tillinghast 2016

Statistics

The two most successful players to have played the PGA Championships is that of Jack Nicklaus and Walter Hagen, with 5 wins a piece. Hagen dominated the 1920’s winning his 5 titles from 1921 to 1927. Nicklaus’ span was much wider, winning his first in 1963, before picking up his fifth in 1980, some 17 years apart. Tiger Woods is next on the list with 4 wins to his name is the only likely candidate to catch either player within the next few years at least. Woods was also the last player to defend his title in 2006 and 2007, respectively. 

In more recent times, the PGA has allowed for a new breed of golfing talent to get their name up in lights. The likes of Justin Thomas, Jimmy Walker, Jason Day, and Jason Dufner are all first-time major winners. Rory McIlroy has manged to win the event twice, in 2012 and then 2 years later in 2014. 

The lowest total in PGA history came in 2015, when Australian ripped apart the Whistling Straits course, shooting a score of 20 under and winning by 3 shots over Jordan Spieth. Rory McIlroy’s victory at Kiawah Island Golf Resort in 2012 was the widest margin of victory, winning by 8 shots over second place, David Lynn. 

Overall, the US have dominated this event, with 79 wins from 57 different winners. To put that in perspective, the next best Australia, with 5 wins from 5 different winners. But, in more recent times, there have only been 4 US winners over the last 10 years, which shows that their dominance isn’t what it once was over the PGA Championships. 

History

Just prior to the turn of the 20thcentury, there were several golf tournaments that were played throughout the US. But, the tournaments were officially sanctioned by anyone and at the time were only for amateur players. On top of that, St Andrew’s, Scotland, conducted a similar tournament on their iconic Old Course, but this was for professional golfers. 

The unrest about who’s tournament was the ‘official’ one, ultimately led to the formation of the USGA (United States Golf Association), who were the governing body for golf within the US. By 1916 the PGA was also formed, and it was their role to look after players in the professional game. 

The tournament was set up by a number of leading professionals and also retail giant, Rodman Wanamaker. The first championship was held in 1916 at the Siwanoy Country Club in Bronxville, New York. 

As a mark of respect to the late Rodman Wanamaker, the current trophy has now been named after him and known as the Wanamaker Trophy. 

Up until 1957 the tournament was played as a Matchplay event. But, due to lack of interest and even a loss of money in the 1957 tournament, the PGA got together and changed the format to strokeplay, falling in line with the other three majors at the time. 

Hagen v Sarazen in 1923

Golfer Gene Sarazen with PGA Championship Trophy
Amrabat (cropped), Wikimedia Commons

The battle between Walter Hagen and Gene Sarazen may have happened almost 100 years ago in what was just the sixth PGA Championship, but it’s still talked about today as one of the greatest battles in the history of the Championships. 

Sarazen was the defending champion, and Hagen was the winner two years previous after skipping the 1922 tournament. They were all tied after the first round in the morning, taking 77 strokes a piece. With just two holes to play, Sarazen was 2 up on his opponent, but suffered back to back bogeys, taking the match into a play off. 

The first extra hole was halved, when both players attempted the driveable par 4 in the second paly off hole. Hagen smoked a tee shot to just 20 feet, albeit in a bunker, when Sarazen had hit his into the rough and around 50 feet away. Hagen duffed his chip shot out of the bunker and Sarazen got up and down for his birdie to win his second consecutive PGA Championship. 

John Daly in 1991

Golfer John Daley
GIO in T.O., flickr

Rarely do Roy of the Rovers occurrences happen in sport, but that’s exactly what happened to John Daly in the 1991 PGA Championship. Just hours before the start of the first day, Daly was still 9threserve to play in the event, with participation unlikely. But, after a string of dropouts, he got his chance to play. 

Daly had a “grip it, and rip it” style, where he held nothing back with every swing. His unique backswing came almost past the starting point with the driver and the crowd simply lapped up his laid back attitude and immense golf game. 

He started strongly, shooting 3 under in the opening round to find himself just 2 shots back from the leader. But, after a second round 67, he lead the tournament throughout the remainder and ended up winning comfortably by three shots over Bruce Lietzke. 

Whilst many though his win would be a flash in the pan, Daly went on to secure his second major title in 1995, when he won The Open Championship. He finished with 18 victories in total and enjoying a second career on the Senior Tour. 

Yang Yong-eun (YE Yang) in 2009

South Korean Flags

Whilst the Daly story was quite remarkable, the YE Yang story is right up there. By winning the 2009 PGA Championships, he not only became the first Asian player to win a golfing major, but he did it by beating one of the worlds greats in Tiger Woods. 

Woods set out the taps in typical fashion, leading after the first rounds hooting a solid 67. A steady second round saw him extend his lead to 4 shots, with YE Yang some 6 shots back after finally getting into red figures at 1 under. 

The third round wasn’t so smooth for Woods, and even though he shot a 1under par, the field had tightened in and YE Yang was just 2 shots back at this point. 

On the final day, Yang shot a brilliant round of 70 (2 under), the equal low round of the day, where Woods could only manage a 3 over 75, giving Yang a 3-shot victory in one of the more unlikely PGA Championship victories. 

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