John Deere Classic Betting Tips & Predictions – Thursday 11th July 2019

It took Matthew Wolff just three starts as a professional to win his first PGA Tour event. After such an incredible amateur and college career, Wolff has been tipped as a multiple winner and even a major champion but he’s not the only high class youngster to have recently turned pro. Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa are the top two in the betting for this week’s John Deere Classic but they’ll have to finish ahead of a deep field of seasoned pros in Illinois.

Sung-jae Im has been playing professional golf for considerably longer than Wolff, Hovland and Morikawa but he is still very much a rookie on the PGA Tour. The 21-year-old has already caught the eye of American golf fans and can do so in a big way by claiming his maiden PGA Tour title at 25/1 with Betfred.

Top Tips

Sung-jae Im @ 25/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Course Info

Golf courses don’t come much easier on the PGA Tour than TPC Deere Run. The D.A. Weibring design always yields a huge number of birdies and for good reason. The event organisers want to attract high class players in the week before the Open Championship whilst it presents a great opportunity for those lower down the FedEx Cup rankings to get their hands on some much needed ranking points.

TPC Deere Run doesn’t pose much of a challenge from tee to green. The par 71 layout is neither long nor short at 7,257 yards so it gives a chance both to bombers and those who have to rely on their accuracy off the tee. Hitting fairways and greens is never a bad thing but it’s putting that will separate those who challenge for the title on Sunday and the also rans.

CourseLocationLengthPrize Money
TPC Deere Run Silvis, Illinois 7,257 Yards $6,000,000

Recent Winners

The one thing that links the last five winners of the John Deere Classic is an ability to go low. Anything less than 20 birdies will not be enough to even be in the picture come Sunday, especially given the favourable weather conditions set to greet the players at Silvis.

Each of the five most recent winners have their own way of going about things and their own strengths and weaknesses. However far they hit the ball off the tee or how high class their iron and wedge play was, they all putted incredibly well to maintain the fast pace required.

YearWinnerTo ParWinning Margin
2018 Michael Kim -27 8 Strokes
2017 Bryson DeChambeau -18 1 Stroke
2016 Ryan Moore -22 2 Strokes
2015 Jordan Spieth -20 Playoff
2014 Brian Harman -22 1 Stroke

Analysis: Motivation Key

As easy as TPC Deere Run may be, you win a PGA Tour even by beating the players in the field, not the course. Playing an event where everybody finds the course easy brings its own stresses and challenges, both in terms of technique and mentality. The relentlessness of hitting green after green and holing putt after putt can take its toll so it makes sense to only bet on players who have the motivation required to hack the pace. Whether it’s claiming the final place in the Open, fighting for FedEx Cup rankings or securing a maiden PGA Tour win, it's going to take something extra to push the winner over the line at TPC Deere Run.

Im’s Scoring Power Makes Him a Danger

Sung-jae Im has become something of a sensation since winning his card on the PGA Tour. The 21-year-old South Korean utilised his aggressive style of golf to full effect on the Web.com Tour where he topped the money list and he’s maintained those high levels of entertainment in the big leagues.

The next step for Im is getting over the line on the PGA Tour. He’s shown he has the ability to score very well on PGA Tour courses as he tops the stats for birdies or better. Im’s problems have been with keeping the damaging holes off his card. In that regard, TPC Deere Run could be just what he needs to get over the line.

It’s certainly going to be a lot of fun seeing how Im goes this week. He should relish the conditions and the course that he finds on his debut and at odds of 25/1 with Betfred can become the latest in a long list of players who won their maiden PGA Tour title at the John Deere Classic.

McCarthy’s Putting to Serve Him Well

Nobody has putted better on the PGA Tour this season than Denny McCarthy. At least, that is what the strokes gained putting statistics show. The 26-year-old is another who is looking to break his duck on the PGA Tour and is rightly feeling positive about the state of his game at the moment.

Unlike Im, McCarthy has already played at TPC Deere Run so knows exactly what to expect. He’ll understand that his putting is a huge weapon but only if the rest of his game lives up to similarly high standards. That means taking fewer risks of the tee and having one of his best weeks with his irons. If McCarthy strikes the ball well, he should be able to capitalise on the greens so is a generous each way betting option at 70/1 with Betfair.

Final Verdict: Sung-jae Im to win

American golf fans love a swashbuckling player. Sungaje Im is one of the current crop of exciting, risk takers on the PGA Tour including Phil Mickelson and Kiradech Aphibarnrat who entertain and frustrate in equal measure. The set up that Im will find at TPC Deere Run and the positives he can take from his recent play suggests he may well find his groove and that his style of play can result in a strong showing this week at 25/1 with Betfred.

About

There are few more iconic names in the PGA Tour than the John Deere Classic. The company been able to sponsor the event since 1999, which makes them one of the longest serving sponsors on tour at the minute. The event is held at TPC Deere Run, which is based in Silvis, Illinois.

The tournament actually started in 1971 and worked as a satellite event for players to try and earn a tour card into the PGA Tour proper. This was later lifted to that of full PGA Tour status a year later in 1972 and has been a firm fixture ever since.

The tournament has always been able to write up a story. One of the biggest came about in 2005 and 2006, when sponsors exemptions were given to that of Michelle Wie, who had seen great success on the LPGA as well. It was also the scene of Jordan Spieth's first win in 2013, and at two weeks shy of his 20th birthday, became the first teenager to win on the PGA Tour since 1931. It's also included many memorable wins for players looking to get final spots into the Open Championship, with Sean O'Hair's victory in 2005 being a prime example of this.

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