Turkish Airlines Open Betting Tips & Predictions – Thursday 7th November 2019

The European Tour and its all-important Race to Dubai move into the closing stretch this week with the start of the playoff events. The Turkish Airlines Open is one of the most popular four days on the tour amongst players and we have an excellent renewal in store in Antalya. The strong field is full of players with a genuine chance of winning including the resurgent Thomas Pieters who stands out in the betting at huge odds of 40/1 with Betfred.

Top Tips

Thomsas Pieters @ 40/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Course Info

After three years round the corner at Regnum Carya Golf Club, the Turkish Airlines Open returns to the Montgomerie Maxx Royal Golf Club. As the name suggests, the venue was designed by Colin Montgomerie who has crafted a layout capable of hosting world class golfers as well as the tourists who play on the 7,133 par 72 layout for most of the year.

The first thing you’ll notice when looking at the course’s card is that it contains five par fives and five par threes. This gives an instant advantage to the longer hitters who can capitalise on the par fives, that is, providing they don’t get tripped up by the shorter holes. Driving distance has been an important indicator of success at the Montgomerie Maxx but caddies will drill the importance of hitting greens in regulation into their players’ heads.

Light rain on Thursday should make it easier to hold the greens on the first couple of days. It will be tougher to do that if and when the course firms up over the weekend though so players who can hoist their ball high into the air and/or utilise a dependable short game when they miss the greens will come to the fore.

CourseLocationLengthPrize Money
Montgomerie Maxx Royal Antalya, Turkey 7,133 Yards $7,000,000

Recent Winners

Justin Rose is looking for his third straight win in Antalya this week. The Englishman played some stunning golf in the last two renewals of the Turkish Airlines Open but he will have to work hard to take that sort of form from Carya to the Montgomerie Maxx.

Rose will likely need to better the score of -18 that he shot in 2017 as scoring is expected to be very good but he won’t have to face either of the two previous Turkish Airlines Open winners at this course as Victor Dubuisson didn’t qualify via his Race to Dubai rankings and Brooks Koepka is no longer a member of the European Tour.

YearWinnerCourseTo ParWinning Margin
2018 Justin Rose Regnum Carya -17 Playoff
2017 Justin Rose Regnum Carya -18 1 Stroke
2016 Thorbjorn Olesen Regnum Carya -20 3 Strokes
2015 Victor Dubuisson Montgomerie Maxx -22 1 Stroke
2014 Brooks Koepka Montgomerie Maxx -17 1 Stroke

Analysis: Expect Another Low One

The Montgomerie Maxx was popular with the players during its time as the Turkish Airlines Open host and many of those in the field this week will be very happy to see its return. Although it looks a little foreboding to amateurs with tree-lined fairways and some fairly tricky pin positions, top level pros can take this layout apart when they get the sort of perfect golfing conditions expected for much of this year’s tournament.

From a technical perspective, what players do with their approach shots will prove to be key this week. Obviously, those who can take advantage of their power off the tee with top quality irons and wedges will have an edge but it may well come down to a test of mentality as notching the required amount of birdies will be relentless.

Pieters Can Boost His Race to Dubai Hopes

Thomas Pieters knows that he is a real outsider when it comes to winning the Race to Dubai this season. He would need a huge run in the playoff events but there’s no reason why he can’t start that run in Turkey this week. He played well enough in his sole appearance at the Montgomerie Maxx back in 2015 to have some good memories of this layout and arrives in Turkey on the back of some encouraging form after a considerable amount of time in the doldrums (at least by his own high standards).

The thing that most people know about Pieters’ game is that he is one of the longest drivers on the European Tour. The Belgian has more than enough power to put himself in pole position off the tee on the longest holes at the Montgomerie Maxx. His ball striking and shot making are underrated aspects of his game though. Pieters’ iron play has been good enough this season to rank eighth for strokes gained approaching the green on the European Tour.

It was that combination of power off the tee and excellent approach play that saw Pieters return to the winners’ circle at the Czech Masters and he can claim win number two of the season in Turkey at a generous 40/1 with Betfred.

Westwood Can Contend

Lee Westwood very much has what it takes to score very well at the Montgomerie Maxx. He is one of the best drivers of a golf ball in European Tour history and has been working very hard on his ball striking in recent months. Whilst he is embarking on a new chapter of his career where he must be more sensible with his schedule, Westwood is still very much capable of competing with the best in the world.

The stats paint a good picture for Westwood. He ranks sixth on the European Tour this season for strokes gained approaching the green. That stat will be key this week so, combined with his excellence off the tee, Westwood’s ball striking could well take him into contention at 80/1 with Coral.

Final Verdict: Thomas Pieters to Win

When Thomas Pieters announced himself to the wider golfing world with his excellent performance in the 2016 Ryder Cup he looked to have the world at his feet. The struggles that have followed his appearance at Hazeltine have taught him a great deal. He’s improved his demeanour on the course and has put the hours into the technical side of his game. That hard work paid off with the win in the Czech Republic and can see him securing a huge win this week in Turkey at 40/1 with Betfred.

About

The Turkish Airlines Open has been played annually since 2013 and is one of the final three events on the European Tour. It was designed to come in as part of the Rolex Series, which sees huge prize money of $7million for event. As a result, it attracts a huge number of top ranked players in the world and is an event that players are desperate to be a part of as the race to the end of the season starts.

The tournament is hosted by the Montgomerie Maxx Royal and the course measures around 7,200 years in length, making it a pretty mid-sized course for professionals these days. What has been noted about the course is that it's one that can really be got at if the players are on form. Scores of 20-under par and better are not uncommon for the winners of the event.

As it's part of the Rolex Series, it means that players are often keen to attend given it's one of the last few opportunities they will get to play the final tournament of the season; The Tour Championship.

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