BMW Championship Betting Tips & Predictions – Thursday 15th August 2019

The new look, three tournament, FedEx Cup playoffs continue this week after Patrick Reed claimed his first win since the 2018 Masters at the Northern Trust. Only the top 70 in the FedEx Cup rankings get a place in the field for the BMW Championship which heads to Medinah Country Club for the first time.

Most of the world’s finest golfers are in attendance at Medinah but it’ll take a huge performance to get past the best of the lot, Brooks Koepka. He is gunning to end a strong season on the highest of highs by winning the FedEx Cup and can put himself in pole position at the Tour Championship by winning the BMW Championship.

Top Tips

Brooks Koepka @ 8/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Course Info

The BMW Championship visits some of the very best golf courses and this year it’s the turn of Medinah Country Club. The historic club is used to hosting the world’s best players as it has held three US Opens, two PGA Championships and US Senior Opens, and the 2012 Ryder Cup.

Medinah was opened in the 1920s. Golf Course 3 is very much of its time (it was opened in 1928) with tree-lined fairways and the standard number of four par threes and four par fives for a par of 72. Unlike some older courses, Medinah has enough length to challenge even the biggest hitters in the game. In fact, there aren’t many longer courses on the PGA Tour than this 7,657 yard beast.

It’s unlikely the event organisers will use the full yardage available to them this week. They have grown the rough up considerably compared to the course we saw for the 2012 Ryder Cup though. Every player will find themselves in some difficult rough at times as doglegged fairways are a big feature of Medinah. The nature of the fairways means the bigger hitters won’t be able to pull out the driver everywhere which should mean that, like last week, the best ball strikers during the week find themselves in contention come Sunday.

CourseLocationLengthPrize Money
Course Number 3, Medinah Country Club Medinah, Illinois 7,657 Yards $9,250,000

Recent Winners

The nature of the BMW Championship, with a limited field consisting only of players who have had a good season, means that it tends to be won by genuinely top class golfers. That is very much the case with the last five winners. Keegan Bradley, Dustin Johnson and Jason Day are all major champions, Billy Horschel was playing inspired golf en route to winning the FedEx Cup and Marc Leishman is a world class ball striker.

YearWinnerCourseTo ParWinning Margin
2018 Keegan Bradley Aronimink -20 Playoff
2017 Marc Leishman Conway Farms -23 5 Strokes
2016 Dustin Johnson Crooked Stick -23 3 Strokes
2015 Jason Day Conway Farms -22 6 Strokes
2014 Billy Horschel Cherry Hills -14 2 Strokes

Analysis: Consistent Iron Play the Order of the Day

As well as the numerous doglegs at Medinah, the design makes clever use of elevation changes to force players to hit into certain areas. This should even things up between the longer and shorter hitters off the tee but the most powerful players will have an advantage by being able to hit scoring irons into the greens whilst others are relying on long irons.

The ability to control ball flight will also be important this week. It’s been quite dry in the Chicago area for some time now so Medinah will be firm and fast. That will demand a high ball flight and plenty of spin to hold approach shots on the greens. However, the wind is set to whip up over the weekend which will require a completely different type of shot. Only those in complete control of their ball will have a chance of winning.

Koepka to Give Himself the Best Chance at East Lake

Patrick Reed jumped an incredible 48 places on the FedEx Cup rankings with his win in New Jersey last week. The only man he was not able to pass is Brooks Koepka and the world number one is very keen to ensure he maintains his grasp on top spot in the FedEx Cup rankings before the Tour Championship.

Koepka certainly has the tools for Medinah. He is one of the longest hitters in world golf so will be able to hit shorter clubs than most into the greens. He’s also an excellent ball striker who so can work well with his caddie, Ricky Elliott, to execute well thought-out course management plans.

The sight of Koepka putting in extra work on the putting green after his final round at the Northern Trust prompted an outpouring of respect for his work ethic. Whilst that shows he was unhappy with his game, it also shows how important the next two weeks are for him. Koepka comes alive in the biggest tournaments and can become the latest big name winner of the BMW Championship at 8/1 with Coral.

Scott’s Strong Season May Get Better

Adam Scott would probably bristle at suggestions that he lost his game at any point in the last couple of years but his world ranking tells its own story. In 2018 he dropped out of the world’s top 50 and flirted with the 100 mark. The Australian is very much back on his way to his best.

Scott’s fifth place finish at the Northern Trust took him back up to 17th in the world and 14th on the FedEx Cup standings. Both of those rankings could get a lot better this week. Scott is exactly the sort of quality ball striker and shot maker who should thrive at Medinah. Providing his improved putting holds up, he can challenge for the BMW Championship title at 25/1 with Betfred.

Final Verdict: Brooks Koepka to Win

Brooks Koepka has proven many times that he has the quality and mentality to win on the biggest stages in golf. He would love to take his form in major championship golf into the FedEx Cup playoffs where he doesn’t have a great record. That could all be about to change in two huge weeks starting with victory in the BMW Championship at 8/1 with Coral.


The BMW Championship was first played out in 2007 and brought to be part of the FedEx cup Playoff. It's one of the highlights of the year and the PGA Tour have actually recognised this by awarding them tournament of the year in 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.

The tournament has taken place at a number of different courses over the years, including the likes of Lemont, Carmel, Lake Forrest, Cherry Hills Village, Newton Square and is set to even be run at Medinah Country Club in 2019, home to the famous Ryder Cup shootout in 2012.

As the Tour championships progress, just 70 players take to the ropes. These are the top 70 players ranked in the FedEx Cup and as the field is already so small there is no cut. The top 30 players from this event will then progress to the Tour finals the following week.

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