Breeders’ Cup 2019: Betting Tips, Stats & History

Horse on Track at Santa Anita During the Breeders' Cup
jondoeforty1, flickr

The Breeders’ Cup is unquestionably one of the highlights of the year in the horseracing calendar. The two-day event, based in the US, attracts some of the biggest names in the sport, including trainers, jockeys and of course, horses. 

Rarely anywhere in the world do you get two days of racing as strong as you do within the Breeders’ Cup, but what’s most astonishing is the prize money that’s on offer. With over $28 million spread between the 13 races, it means that the minimum prize pool for any single race is that of $1million, which is often as big as you will find at most other high-profile meetings. 

The meeting is often held at the start of November, taking place on the Friday, through to the Saturday. In 2019, the Friday will host 5 races in total, with the Saturday hosting the remaining 9, finishing with the $6million Classic. 

Breeders' Cup Betting Tips For 2019

One of the last big flat racing meetings of the year comes from the USA in the form of the Breeders' Cup. This years' renewal comes from Santa Anita Park which is also home to the Santa Anita Derby. The main event is the Breeders' Cup Classic and our predictions for this will be available below.

RaceTimeDay & DateTip
Breeders' Cup Classic 21:44 Saturday Nov 2nd 2019 TBD

About

Dirt Horse race at the Breeders Cup Meeting
jondoeforty1, flickr

Another interesting aspect about the meeting is that it’s not in held in the same place every year. It’s similar to that of The Open in golf, where a new course is selected for each year from a rotation of qualified race tracks. More on this in the next section of the article. 

The meeting is made up of thoroughbred horses and each of the 14 races are all Grade 1. Races are made up of a maximum 14 horses to start, although some races are cut down to 12 given the proximity of where they have to start on the course and the fact they aren’t all run on the same surface. 

Selection in a race must come down to 1 of 3 main criteria:

  1. Winners of Challenge Races
  2. Points System
  3. Selection by a Panel of Experts

The Challenge races are series of races that are held around the world. In fact, there are 86 races that are held within 11 countries in total. Each race has a “win and you’re in” policy. Whilst each race will be of a high standard on its own, with a substantial prize pool usually, the qualification for one of the Breeders’ Cup races is an added bonus for most. 

Locations for the Challenge races include England, South Africa, Australia, Japan, Chile, Brazil, Canada, France and several locations across the US. Even though the winner of the race automatically gets in, a good showing at a specific race can also stand you in good stead with the selection panel, who will be focussing on these performances more than other races. 

Ranking and race entry takes place some 2 weeks before the meeting and each race is always oversubscribed. Any horses that aren’t on the initial list will be kept as back up and used as preferential replacements should they be needed. 

For the Breeders' Cup Classic, you are getting a field of 14 horses, but only 7 of those will have automatically qualified. These are shown in the table below.

Breeder's Cup Classic Automatic Qualifiers

RaceDistanceMonthRacecourse2019 Winner (SP)
February Stakes 1m February Tokyo, Japan Inti (8/5)
Stephen Foster Stakes 1m 1f June Churchill Downs, USA Seeking The Soul (23/5)
Haskell Invitational 1m 1f July Monmouth Park, USA Maximum Security (4/5)
Whitney Stakes 1m 1f August Saratoga, USA McKinzie (17/20)
Pacific Classic Stakes 1m 2f August Del Mar, USA Higher Power (96/10)
Juddmonte International 1m 2½f August York, England Japan (5/1)
Jockey Club Gold Cup 1m 2f September Belmont Park, USA Code Of Honor (2/1)
Awesome Again Stakes 1m 1f September Santa Anita, USA Mongolian Groom (25/1)

Winners of these races get automatic qualification, but what you rarely see is horses who have already qualified race in these races, due to the risk of injury and often high costs to travel the horse to and from the events. 

Courses

Santa Anita Racecourse
Rennett Stowe, flickr

As stated, the course changes from year to year, which is quite rare for these types of meetings. The idea was to showcase the best horses at a number of racetracks across the US, offering up a larger scope for expansion given the geographical issues that face the US given its massive size. 

There have been a number of high-profile racetracks to host the event and only once has it been host outside of the US, with a visit to Woodbine Racetrack in Canada, 1996. 

Breeders' Cup Racecourse Locations

RacetrackLocationYears HostedLast MeetingNext Meeting
Santa Anita Arcadia, California 9 2016 2019
Churchill Downs Louisville, Kentucky 9 2018 TBD
Belmont Park Belmont, New York 4 2005 TBD
Gulfstream Park Hallandale Beach, Florida 3 1999 TBD
Hollywood Park Inglewood, California 3 1997 TBD
Del Mar California 1 2017 2021
Keeneland Lexington, Kentucky 1 2015 2020
Monmouth Park Oceanport, New Jersey 1 2007 TBD
Lone Star Park Grand Prairie, Texas 1 2004 TBD
Arlington Arlington Heights, Illinois 1 2002 TBD
Woodbine Toronto, Ontario, Canada 1 1996 TBD
Aqueduct New York 1 1985 TBD

Dirt Races

Horse Race Track Dirt

Traditionally, the races at the meeting were all run on dirt, but as courses change, the surface isn’t always available. The introduction of turf was made in 2008 which saw a fairly large increase in the number of races that were running on it. 

The Breeders Cup is the highlight of the races on dirt. With a $6million prize pool. The 1 ¼ mile track is run for 3 years old and up, and is open to both fillies and mares. 

As part of the expansion of the Breeders Cup, the Classic was one of the recipients of an increase in prize money in 2014, jumping from $5 million to $6 million. It’s now regarded as the fourth leg of the Grand Slam of racing thoroughbreds, alongside the original triple crown of the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes. 

2019 Dirt Race Details

RaceDistancePrize FundDay RunUK Time
Classic 1m 2f $6 million Saturday 00:44 (Sun)
Distaff (Fillies & Mares) 1m 1f $2 million Saturday 23:00
Sprint 6f $2 million Saturday 21:36
Dirt Mile 1m $1 million Saturday 20:10
Filly & Mare Sprint 7f $1 million Saturday 18:55
Juvenile (Colts & Geldings) 1m ½f $2 million Friday 23:03
Juvenile Fillies 1m ½f $2 million Friday 21:32

Turf Races

Grass

The remaining races of the weekend are run on turf, with some massive races to accompany this ground as well. The biggest of these races is that of the Breeders’ Cup Turf, which is run over 1 ½ miles and comes with an impressive prize pool of $4 million. 

2019 Turf Race Details

RaceDistancePrize FundDay RunUK Time
Turf 1m 4f $4 million Saturday 23:40
Mile 1m $2 million Saturday 22:20
Filly & Mare Turf 1m 3f $2 million Saturday 20:54
Turf Sprint 5½f $1 million Saturday 19:33
Juvenile Turf 1m $1 million Friday 22:12
Juvenile Fillies Turf 1m $1 million Friday 20:52
Juvenile Turf Sprint 5½f $1 million Friday 20:12

Statistics

Mike Smith is the most successful jockey at the Breeders’ Cup with 26 wins in total. He is 10 winners clear of second place, which is John R. Velazquez on 16 winners with Jerry Bailey third with 15. 

In terms of trainers, no one has more wins to their name than Darrell Wayne Lukas, with 20 in total. The list includes some illustrious names following him, with Aiden O’Brien, Bob Baffert and Chad brown, not too far behind. 

Whilst races such as the Classic are regarded as one of the best in the world, the immensely strong field that it produces often makes it a tough one to predict. The horses that run in the race are usually multiple Grade 1 winners and often successful horses from the Classic will go on to win the US Horse of the Year. To give you an idea, only 2 favourites won at the 2017 meeting from the 13 races on offer. 

As you can imagine, the majority of winners at the meeting come from the US as it’s often a lot of effort and travel for horses to get across there, so many trainers outside of the US simply don’t want the hassle. But, trainers such as Aiden O’Brian at Coolmore and the Godolphin team regularly send horses to the States for this. 

Nation's of Breeders' Cup Winners Between 1984 and 2018

In 2018, Frankie Dettori rode two winners at the meeting. His first came onboard Expert Eye in the Mile for Sir Michael Stoute. His second was with wonder horse Enable, trained by John Gosden, in the Breeders' Cup Turf. There was also British success for Charlie Appleby and and William Buick with Line Of Duty in the Juvenile Turf race.

History

Hollywood Park Racetrack
Hollywood Park Racetrack by Ron Reiring, flickr

The Breeders’ Cup was initially devised to mark the end of the racing years in the US. The leading voice in the inauguration of the meeting was that of John R. Gaines, who himself had been a leading thoroughbred trainer for many years. 

In 1982, he managed to get other trainers and owners on board at the Kentucky Derby Festival, with the first race running in 1984. The idea initially wasn’t met with much enthusiasm, as logistically people thought it couldn’t happen. At one point, the Breeders’ Cup was destined to be halted before it had even started.

But, the determination shown by Gaines soon managed to gain enough traction to get the ball rolling. The first meeting was held at Hollywood Park, California and originally was set up to last just 1 day. Expansion to two days didn’t come until 2007, mainly down to the huge popularity of the meeting and number of world-class horses they were having to turn away. The extra day allowed them to allocate more spots and create more of a meeting, rather than just a day of racing. 

Mike Smith - Breeders' Cup's Most Successful Jockey

Mike Smith is one of the most iconic names in US horse racing. He’s won more races at the Breeders’ Cup than any other jockey and for his work within the sport, has been inducted into the National Museum of Racing and Hall of Fame in 2003. Smith is also the second leading jockey of all time, recording a staggering $320 million in career winnings.

Mike E. Smith's Breeders' Cup Victories

YearWinning Horse & Race
2017 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)    
2016 Arrogate (Classic) Finest City (Filly & Mare Sprint) Tamarkuz (Dirt Mile)
2015 Songbird (Juvenile Fillies)    
2014 Judy The Beauty (Filly & Mare Sprint)    
2013 Mizdirection (Turf Sprint) London Bridge (Marathon) Outstrip (Juv Turf)
2012 Royal Delta (Distaff) Mizdirection (Turf Sprint)  
2011 Drosselmeyer (Classic) Amazombie (Sprint)  
2009 Zenyatta (Classic)    
2008 Zenyatta (Distaff) Stardom Bound (Juv Fillies)  
2002 Azeri (Distaff) Vindication (Juvenile)  
1997 Skip Away (Classic) Ajina (Distaff)  
1995 Inside Information (Distaff) Unbridled's Song (Juvenile)  
1994 Tikkanen (Turf) Cherokee Run (Sprint)  
1993 Lure (Mile)    
1992 Lure (Mile)    

Whilst the Breeders’ Cup has definitely been a kind meeting to Smith, he is far from a one trick pony; no pun intended! Smith has travelled the world with racing and seen success in huge races such as the Irish 2,000 Guineas, Queens Plate, E.P. Taylor Stakes and the Dubai World Cup. He’s also won the Kentucky Derby in 2005. 

But, his record in the Breeders’ will likely be his legacy. What’s most impressive is that he’s managed to win 12 of the 16 races that are or have been running since the start of the Breeders’ Cup. 

American Pharaoh - Grand Slam Winner in 2012

American Pharoah at Training Yard
Erin Aiken, atthepaddock.com via flickr (Image Cropped)

There have been few horses more dominant in US horse racing in modern history than that of American Pharaoh. The horse has amassed a staggering $8.65million in prize money and is owned by Ahmed Zayat, trained by Bob Baffert.

The Breeder’s Cup Classic win in 2015 has to be one of the most outstanding victories for the horse. But, what’s most impressive is that this win came after winning the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes, all in the same year, completing the coveted Triple Crown and Grand Slam, respectively. 

Goldikova - Winner of 3 Consecutive Breeders' Cup Miles

Painting of Goldikova
Goldikova by Charles Church, Wikimedia Commons

Another notable horse at the Breeders’ Cup is French trained mare Goldikova. The horse is best known for a hat trick of wins in the Breeders’ Cup Mile in 2008, 2009 and 2010, a feat that’s likely never going to be bettered or possibly even matched. 

The horse performed admirably outside of the US as well, with multiple wins in France, such as the Prix de la Foret, Prix du Moulin and the Prix d’Lspaahan, as well as victory in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot. In total, Goldikova won over £4.3 million from her twenty seven races including fourteen Group 1 victories, before retiring in 2011. Indeed her last run was a galant third place in the Mile when bidding for a fourth straight win in the race.

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