The latest National Hunt season is really beginning to find its stride now and we have a Saturday jam-packed with quality fare to look forward to this week. The pick of the cards for us comes at Wincanton. The preceding Elite Hurdle may be the classiest contest on the card, but it is this excellent handicap chase which is likely to prove the big betting heat of the day.
Next Race: TBD
The next renewal of this race has not been scheduled yet. We will update this once the schedule has been released for next season. The race info, trends and tips shown below will be updated for the next renewal once the final declarations have been made.
Last Run: 9th November 2019
- Winner: Give Me A Copper
- SP: 5/1
- Trainer: Paul Nicholls
- Jockey: Harry Cobden
Race Info3m1f is the trip for this Listed Handicap Chase contest which offers £60,000 in total prize money. The ground at the track is currently described as good, but we do have significant rain forecast and so that is definitely worth keeping an eye on.
|Going||Distance||Grade||Prize Money||Runners||EW Terms|
|Good||3m1f||Listed||£60,000||Max 18 Runners||1/4 1-4|
Badger Chase Betting Tips
Fans of trainer trends need look no further than the multiple champion trainer Paul Nicholls in this race. Miles clear of the opposition with nine wins in total, Nicholls sends Present Man and Give Me A Copper into battle this year as he bids to move into double figures. The first of those looks to have a decent chance in what is a pretty open race this year.
The now retired Timmy Murphy sits out in front in the jockey standings with five wins in total. We could be in for a first in 2019 though as Bryony Frost bids for a third successive win in this race – a feat no jockey has yet achieved. Frost is popular with punters and she certainly will be if landing the hat-trick here.
This hasn’t been too bad a race for favourite backers in the past decade. With three winning favourites or joint favourites returning a level stakes profit of 2.25pts that is a more than fair return given the competitive nature of the event.
PRESENT MAN – 7/1
The obvious place to start when looking at this year’s renewal is with the 2017 and 2018 winner of the race, Present Man. Given that excellent record in the contest, together with the fact that he is trained by Paul Nicholls, and ridden by the ever-popular Bryony Frost, it is no surprise to see this one towards the head of the market.
A winner off a mark of 142 with Bryony claiming 5lbs in 2017, he improved to score off 144 last season with Bryony’s claim down to 3lb. Now up to 148 and with his rider’s claim having disappeared completely, he is effectively 7lbs higher this year which does make life tougher. An impressive 2½l winner 12 months ago, we still wouldn’t rule him out from a handicapping perspective, but he wouldn’t be particularly well suited should the forecast rain arrive.
WHITE MOON – 9/2
Currently clear favourite in most lists is the highly regarded White Moon from the Colin Tizzard operation. A winner of three of his nine starts under rules, this son of Sholokhov clearly does possess ability, but is priced more on potential than what he has actually achieved at the track. At just 9/2 we have to feel he may be a shade short but we also fully accept we could be proved wrong.
On the plus side, he is one of the least exposed runners in the field in this sphere and will be making just his second start in handicap company here. His handicap debut at this track at the back end of October would also suggest he boasts every chance. In front after jumping the last, and seemingly keeping on well, his chance was then ended by a bad stumble and fall. Getting in here off 5lb higher, it would be no surprise to see him go well.
WICKED WILLY – 25/1
There is plenty of talent lurking amongst those at big prices, with the Colin Tizzard duo of West Approach and Royal Vacation in particular looking more than capable of going well off their current marks, whilst Lil Rockerfeller could be the class act in the field.
The one to most catch our eye at an each way price though is the Nigel Twiston-Davies representative, Wicked Willy. A dour staying type, he has finished third over an inadequate trip in each of his two previous visits to this track and handles soft ground well.
Only 3lbs higher than when staying on late to score in a 2m7f soft ground event at Taunton last season, we like his chances of outrunning his odds. With a recent hurdle’s run under his belt to blow away the cobwebs, he is going to need a career best to win but – still only eight years of age – that may not be impossible. There is certainly no doubt that 25/1 represents decent value.
|2019||Give Me A Copper||5/1||Paul Nicholls||Harry Cobden|
|2018||Present Man||5/1||Paul Nicholls||Bryony Frost|
|2017||Present Man||8/1||Paul Nicholls||Bryony Frost|
|2016||Gentleman Jon||9/1||Colin Tizzard||Tom O’Brien|
|2015||Drop Out Joe||11/1||Charlie Longsdon||Aidan Coleman|
|2014||Court By Surprise||16/1||Emma Lavelle||Daryl Jacob|
|2013||Standing Ovation||5/2||David Pipe||Conor O’Farrell|
|2012||The Package||5/1||David Pipe||Timmy Murphy|
|2011||The Minack||11/4||Paul Nicholls||Daryl Jacob|
|2010||Meanus Dandy||5/1||Paul Nicholls||Ian Popham|