Bunbury Cup Betting Tips & Predictions – Newmarket, Saturday 13th July 2019

Newmarket’s July Festival comes to a close this Saturday but there is a climactic finale in store. One of the key events of the final day is the hugely competitive Bunbury Cup, named in honour of Sir Charles Bunbury, former Senior Steward of the Jockey Club.

Providing 11 double-digit winners since 2004, this handicap for three year olds and up is a popular contest among ambitious punters. We’re tipping a slightly skinnier-priced winner this time but Ambassadorial will still return some handsome profits if first past the line.

Top Tips

Ambassadorial to win @ 8/1

Ripp Orf each way @ 16/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

There were 73 entries for this hugely popular race earlier in the week but only a maximum of 20 can feature. Those that managed to make the cut could be in for a speedy race with the going on Newmarket’s July Course forecast to be good to firm.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good to firm 7f Class 2 £120,000 20 1/4 1-4

Recent Winners

Despite the large fields this race regularly attracts, big upsets are not commonplace. Each of the last 10 winners set off priced 16/1 shorter, with one favourite and one joint favourite also winning in this time.

Richard Fahey has enjoyed a good amount of success in this race during recent seasons. Since 2011 he’s saddled three winners, making him the joint leading Bunbury Cup trainer but only one (Zap) of his six entries made the cut this time.

2018 Burnt Sugar 7/1 Clifford Lee Paul Hanagan
2017 Above The Rest 12/1 David Barron Clifford Lee
2016 Golden Steps 7/1 Marco Botti Frankie Dettori
2015 Rene Mathis 16/1 Richard Fahey Paul Hanagan
2014 Heaven’s Guest 12/1 Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton

Analysis: Leading pair fail to make a strong case

There’s no clear favourite for this Bunbury Cup but even so you do have to question if Spanish City (13/2) and Kynren (7/1) deserve their spot as the market leaders. The pair are on a combined 18 winless streak, sometimes coming close but never quite quick enough. The former did come within half a length of winning this race last year but the handicappers have upped him an additional five pounds since. In a race that often boils down to the smallest of margins, the favourite doesn’t quite justify his price.

Stable switch revival for Ambassadorial

For his last five races under Michael Halford, Ambassadorial failed to make the places. Sensing that the horse still has some potential, Jane Chapple-Hyam added the gelding to her collection last month. The move quickly paid dividends with Ambassadorial claiming a debut win for his new trainer seven days later. Although it wasn’t a high class victory, the five year old won so commandingly at Chelmsford. With that being his first effort in almost 10 months, further improvements are most likely as he attempts seven furlongs again.

Orf to let Ripp on fast ground

Yet to place across all four starts this season, it’s fair to say this hasn’t been Ripp Orf’s best year. There’s still plenty of time for him to turn things around though and this is exactly the sort of test which can see him find top gear. Not only has he won, and finished runner-up at Newmarket before but his record on good to firm going is a rather impressive one. On such ground, David Elsworth’s horse has always finished within the top four, winning on three occasions.

Burnt Sugar not a sweet option

Last year’s Bunbury Cup hero, Burnt Sugar (12/1) is seeking a rare double taste of success in this race. Since 1995, only one horse has managed to be successful on their return, proving what a difficult feat it is. Although a lack of form isn’t a major concern as Clifford Lee’s horse lacked any coming into last year’s race, age and weight are. Seven year olds have fared poorly in this race and the aging sprinter is also rated three pounds higher than when crowned cup champion 12 months ago.

Final Verdict: Ambassadorial to win

Ambassadorial has made a promising start for his new yard and it’s hard to think he could be in much better hands. Chapple-Hyam has wonderful record with older horses on turf, posting a huge £66.25 level stakes profit this year. Her runners are often overlooked so don’t make the same mistake this weekend.

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