British Champions Sprint Stakes (Ascot) Betting Tips & Preview – Saturday 20th October 2018

Race two on the excellent British Champions Day card sees the best of the current crop of sprinters lock horns over Ascot’s six furlong track. Regularly attracting the winners from the season’s major sprint contests, this event provides one last chance for the speedsters to show who is the fastest of them all.

There are plenty in with chances here, including the two previous winners of the race. Whilst that duo can’t be dismissed, we will be hoping it’s third time lucky for a runner who has finished close up here in each of the past two seasons.

Top Tips

Brando each way @ 9/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

As mentioned, six furlongs is the trip for this Group 1 contest set to be run on soft ground this year and offering £600,000 in total prize money.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Soft 6f Group 1 £600,000 17 Runners 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

Open to all runners aged three and older, it is the older runners who have held the edge in the past 10 years, with seven wins compared to three for the three year olds.

The market does tend to be a good guide to this race with seven of the past eight winners returning a single figure SP, and no winner at bigger than 12/1 in the past decade.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2017 Librisa Breeze 10/1 Dean Ivory Robert Winston
2016 The Tin Man 13/2 James Fanshawe Tom Queally
2015 Muhaarar 5/2 Charles Hills Paul Hanagan
2014 Gordon Lord Byron 5/1 Tommy Hogan Wayne Lordan
2013 Slade Power 7/1 Edward Lynam Wayne Lordan

Analysis: The Vote Goes To Brando

Probably the number one factor to consider when seeking the winner this year is an ability to handle what are likely to be pretty soft underfoot conditions. For us the following three runners have more in their favour than most.

Breeze To Blow Them Away?

Dean Ivory’s Librisa Breeze caused a minor shock when coming home in front in this 12 months ago and returns to defend his crown. Fans of recent form likely won’t hold out much hope for this one considering he was last of eight – beaten by a margin of over 13 lengths – on his most recent start at Newbury. That was just the latest in a run of below par performances, but with all of those runs coming on good or quicker going, this confirmed mud lark was never likely to be seen to best effect. Looking set to once again get the soft ground which helped him put the field to bed in this last year, it would be unwise to underestimate him here.

Tin To Grab Gold

Those who do place the most importance on a horse’s most recent performance will likely look no further than the current market leader for the race, The Tin Man. This James Fanshawe trained runner also has a bit of previous when it comes to this race having landed the prize in 2016. Proving himself as well as ever when staying on best of all on supposedly unsuitable heavy ground at Haydock last time out, he heads into this at the top of his game. Three times a course and distance winner he looks a solid bet to go well.

Winning Performance From Ryan Runner

Another for the shortlist is the Kevin Ryan runner, Brando, who gets his third shot at this prize this year. A slightly unlucky third in 2016, he then didn’t enjoy the greatest fortune when bumped at a crucial stage 12 months ago. Only once out of the first three in three starts at this track, he’s a four-time winner on good to soft or softer, a winner at this Group 1 level and ran a rock solid race when only going down by half a length to The Tin Man last time out.

Final Verdict: Brando Each Way

The Tin Man ticks most of the right boxes here, particularly considering he has previously won this very race. He hasn’t been one to trust implicitly at shortish prices in the past though, often struggling to back up one top class performance with another and we will take him on here.

The one to back is Brando. Barring a slightly below par performance in the Prix Maurice de Gheest this one has been running consistently well in the top sprints all season, and he is likely to cope better than a number of these in the conditions and is fancied to at least make the frame.

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