Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes Betting Tips & Predictions – Newmarket, Friday 12th July 2019

Budding young fillies have the chance to show what they can do on a big stage in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes on Friday. Keep your eye out for the juvenile sprinters that impress here as many have gone on to win other big races the following season.

We have two Royal Ascot champions among the declared names as their connections seek another big summer win. One of them, Daahyeh, is putting her unbeaten record on the line but there’s every reason to believe Roger Varian’s filly can keep it intact this Friday.

Top Tips

Daahyeh to win @ 13/8

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

We’re set for a speedy six furlong race on the July Course this Friday afternoon. The going will be on the quicker side and it’s the perfect track for galloping horses to really stretch their legs.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good to firm 6f Group 2 £80,000 7 1/4 1-2

Recent Winners

It may just be a matter of coincidence but an outside draw seems to be some advantage in this race. Eight of the last nine winners set off from one of the final four gates with gate number seven the most productive, responsible for four champions this decade.

Ryan Moore has been the hot jockey in recent years, guiding three of the last five winners to glory. This time around he’s been paired with Saeed bin Suroor’s Final Song who finds herself third in the betting.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2018 Pretty Pollyanna 20/1 Michael Bell Silvestre De Sousa
2017 Clemmie 11/8 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2016 Roly Poly 6/1 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2015 Illuminate 7/4 Richard Hannon Richard Hughes
2014 Arabian Queen 4/1 David Elsworth Ryan Moore

Analysis: Daahyeh facing familiar faces

Two of Daahyeh’s strongest rivals in this Duchess Of Cambridge renewal are fillies she’s battled with, and triumphed over, before. The race favourite beat Raffle Prize (7/2) by a length and three quarters on her debut and finished a similar distance ahead of Celtic Beauty (7/1) in the Albany Stakes. A deserved winner on both occasions, it’s difficult to see how we’ll end up with a different outcome this time.

Daahyeh’s unbeaten record to remain

Having impressed on both outings this season, we’ve little reason to doubt that Roger Varian’s filly can get the job done here. She demonstrated fantastic speed at both Newmarket and Ascot while also dealing well with the traffic during the latter. There will only be empty grass in front of her this time, nothing to stop her fully finding her athletic stride. Some horses can often take time to recover after Royal Ascot but Varian recently insisted that his filly “looks even better and stronger” since her triumph there.

Raffle Prize punished by success

Mark Johnston would have cast a delighted figure as Raffle Prize resiliently held off the competition to claim a fine Queen Mary Stakes win at Royal Ascot. The Group 2 success is one that hinders her chances here though as former victories at such a high grade result in a three pound penalty. Having only won that race by a head, it’s the sort of disadvantage that could prove to make all the difference as the fillies race to the line on Friday. It also gives Final Song (4/1), third in the Queen Mary, the perfect shot of turning the tables on the Slade Power filly.

Celtic Beauty improving with each run

Celtic Beauty has set off a 25/1 price during her previous three starts but the bookies are only offering a far more sensible 7/1 this time around. On every occasion Ken Condon’s horse has performed much better than the odds would suggest, fourth on her debut then third in a Group 3 contest before finishing runner-up in the Albany Stakes. Following the current trajectory the two-year-old could run Daahyeh close here but is unlikely to have the final furlong speed to quite keep up.

Final Verdict: Daahyeh to win

It’s not going to be an easy win for Daahyeh but she’s got the speed and the focus to fight off any challenge that comes her way on the July Course. Unlikely to quite match the fancied favourite, Final Song and Celtic Beauty will battle it out for second place with latter perhaps the slightly more likely to pinch it.

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