The flat racing season is drawing to a close and what a debut season it has been for many of the two year old’s taking part in this highly regarded test. Often attracting some of the most promising young fillies in the country, many winners go on to produce even greater things after the winter break.
Former champions include the likes of Minding, Rhododendron and Laurens but who will be the next to join them this Friday? There are several strong contenders in the mix but just like every Hollywood romantic comedy, we are expecting Love to prevail.
Next Race: TBD
The next renewal of this race has not been scheduled yet. We will update this once the schedule has been released for next season. The race info, trends and tips shown below will be updated for the next renewal once the final declarations have been made.
One mile is the trip for this Group 1 contest set to be run on soft ground and offering £567,500 in total prize money.
|Going||Distance||Class||Prize Money||Runners||EW Terms|
|Soft||1m||Group 1||£567,500||9||1/5 1-3|
Fillies’ Mile Betting Tips
Note: The following tips are from the last running of the race. Tips for the next renewal will be added once the final declarations have been made.
Since this race first appeared in 1973, no trainer has saddled more winners than Henry Cecil (6). It’s a record under major threat from Aidan O’Brien however with the Irishman needing just one more victory to draw level. His entire hopes lie with Love here as, slightly unusually for him, he’s got just the one horse declared for a Group 1 contest.
LOVE LOST DUE TO SOFT GROUND
Had it not been for the forecasted soft ground at Newmarket, Love (10/3) could easily be heading the betting. Her best showings have come on better ground with her only previously effort in muddier conditions a two and three quarter length defeat when the 6/4 favourite at Curragh. After tiring during the final furlong then, this does raise some concerns over her ability to last a mile trip on soft ground but her price makes up for it.
She put in a superb showing to see off Daahyeh in the Moyglare Stud Stakes last month, fending off a stiff challenge from the talented favourite. It could be that her earlier defeat was merely an off-day as she looked so strong during the recent Group 1 win.
PALMER SURPRISED AT BREEZE PRICE
Hugo Palmer admitted he was a little shocked to see odds of around 6/1 being offered for Powerful Breeze. He believes the bookies’ are underestimating the daughter of Iffraaj who has proven form unlike some of her rivals. Having also “beautifully” handled a gallop on the Rowley Mile, Palmer is a trainer full of optimism here. It’s hard to say its overly misplaced either as his filly built on a solid debut win to claim the May Hill Stakes over one mile at Doncaster. The slow pace played right into her hands that day, allowing her to make a powerful surge from deep later on.
CAYENNE PEPPER MAY NOT PROVE SO HOT
Three consecutive victories means Cayenne Pepper (5/2) is our most red-hot option coming into this Fillies’ Mile renewal but good form guarantees nothing. The chestnut filly began her season with two victories in low quality affairs with performance that didn’t show any real standout ability. She did however impress when making all in the Curragh on her way to a Group 3 victory late August. She was left alone to run her own race that day, a costly mistake from her rivals, but not something likely to happen here.
Final Verdict: Love To Win
She’s not a certainty due to the ground, but Love remains a worthy option for your money here. Proven quality in high-class affairs and hailing from a yard with plenty of history in this race, 10/3 is more than a fair price for a Group 1 winner. Also offering good value for money is Powerful Breeze as we agree with Hugo Palmer that a 6/1 price tag rather underestimates her ability.
Fillies’ Mile Winners
It has been very much a case of hit or miss for the market leader in this race with half of the last 12 renewals having been won by the favourite or, in the case of Rhododendron, joint favourite.
Five of our last 12 champions had failed to win previously over one mile and three of them hadn’t even attempted the distance before. Lack of distance form/experience is no real concern as result, nor is a former Group quality triumph as it is something only just over half recent winners have enjoyed.
|2018||Iridessa||14/1||Joseph O’Brien||Wayne Lordan|
|2017||Laurens||10/1||Karl Burke||P. J. McDonald|
|2016||Rhododendron||5/2||Aidan O’Brien||Ryan Moore|
|2015||Minding||5/4||Aidan O’Brien||Ryan Moore|
|2014||Together Forever||7/1||Aidan O’Brien||Joseph O’Brien|
About the Fillies’ Mile: Females Take Centre Stage At Newmarket
The Fillies’ Mile has always been one of the most important one mile contests for juvenile fillies in the flat racing season. It is a contest which has been through a number of changes over the years to ensure that remains the case, and it looks to be stronger than ever now it has been cast in the role of the feature race on the first day of the Future Champions Festival at Newmarket.
Changes For the Better
When the Fillies’ Mile was introduced in 1973 it took place at Ascot. Apart from one year when renovation work forced it to Newmarket, the Fillies’ Mile remained at Ascot from the inaugural race all the way through to the 2010 edition.
During its time at Ascot, the race went by many different names. It was first run as the Green Shield Stakes and then the Argos Star Fillies’ Mile after that company changed its name. The name subsequently changed a few more times with sponsorship taken over by Hoover, Brent Walker, Meon Valley Stud and Shadwell before current sponsors, Dubai, were introduced following its move to the Future Champions Festival.
The introduction of the two day Future Champions Festival in 2015 has been a real boon to the Fillies’ Mile. It required another move in the schedule after hosting was transferred from Ascot to Newmarket but that has been more than worth it with an increase in the prize fund to over £550,000 and a steady stream of some of the best two year old fillies in racing.
Future Success Becoming More Likely
Top class fillies have always headed first to Ascot and then Newmarket for the Fillies’ Mile. The list of winners includes many who were the superstar fillies of their generation such as Oh So Sharp who completed the Fillies’ Triple Crown in 1985. In more recent years both Minding and Blue Bunting won the Fillies’ Mile before winning the 1,000 Guineas whilst 2019 Guineas winner, Hermosa, finished second in the Fillies’ Mile.
There are several potential routes to the first Fillies’ Classic of the season so an appearance in the Fillies’ Mile is by no means necessary. Several winners of the race did go on to have plenty of success in other big races and, as the table below shows, that’s been more common in recent years.
Fillies’ Mile Winner’s Group 1 Record: 2009 – 2018
|Year||Fillies’ Mile Winner||1,000 Guineas Result||Other Group 1 Wins|
|2014||Together Forever||Did Not Run||0|
|2013||Chriselliam||Did Not Run||1|
|2012||Certify||Did Not Run||0|
|2011||Lyric Of Light||Disqualified||0|
|2010||White Moonstone||Did Not Run||0|
Things to Consider When Picking a Winner
The Fillies’ Mile is the sort of race to which punters know to pay close attention as they make their shortlists for the big races the following year. It is also usually an exciting betting heat in its own right. Recent years have provided an enticing combination of winning favourites and longer odds outsiders.
Backing the favourite always comes with a certain amount of risk in a high quality juvenile race. Favourites who get the job done tend to have shown glimpses of real class on the flat at any distance whereas successful outsiders tend to have a better record over a mile. In terms of specific warm-up races, British runners often take in the May Hill Stakes at Doncaster with Irish horses often running well in the Moyglare Stud Stakes at the Curragh.