Kauto Star Novices’ Chase Betting Tips, Stats & History

The Boxing Day meeting at Kempton may be headlined by the King George VI Chase but this Novices Chase is amongst the racing highlights in a packed day of racing.

First run in 1975, this contest was originally known as the Feltham Novices Chase before being renamed after the five-time King George winner Kauto Star in 2012.

Race Info

Three miles is the trip for this Grade 1 chase, set to be run on soft ground this year and offering £100,000 in total prize money. This is far from the biggest race at Boxing Day but it is a fascinating top level contest for the novices and always one to keep an eye on.

Going Distance Grade Prize Money Runners EW Terms
Soft 3m Grade 1 £100,000 7 1/4 1-2

Kauto Star Novices' Chase Betting Tips

Kempton Park, 13:55, Thursday 26th December 2019

Favourites have performed decently enough in this race across recent years, winning four of the last 10 renewals. Upsets like the one witnessed in 2016 when Royal Vacation stormed to glory are a rarity so do not be put off by Slate House’s fairly skinny price. In terms of the odds of recent winners he fits trends nicely enough and his trainer has also landed this twice since 2007.

Colin Tizzard, who was responsible for the shock 33/1 win three years ago, and for Joe Lively in 2007, has prepared his sole entry this year by testing him just shy of three miles at Huntingdon. Coping well with the increased trip, Slate House maintained his slender lead from the final jump to the line.

Critics may point to the fact he fell at Cheltenham one race earlier as a reason not to back him here but it would be unfair to hold that effort against him. Not only are the fences at the home of jump racing much stiffer than the ones found at Kempton but Slate House was travelling very strongly on soft ground prior to his late tumble. Clearly a horse happy to run in the mud, nobody stands a better chance of success this Thursday.

Danny Whizzbang – 7/2

Boasting a record of four consecutive wins including two this year, the form book would suggest Danny Whizzbang is the horse to watch out for here. Paul Nicholls’ gelding does have a credible chance of extending his streak but this upcoming challenge will test his stamina significantly more than anything he’s faced previously. Soft ground at Kempton is by every definition soft so all our hopeful horses are in for an energy-sapping time, the reason why so many fall backwards after tackling the final jump.

Stamina to one side, Danny Whizzbang fans will point to the fact he’s won at Grade 2 before while many of his rivals are untested at such a high level. While this is true, his John Francome Novices’ Chase success at Newbury late last month hardly counts for too much. Reserve Tank, the odds-on favourite, ran flat after losing a shoe. This allowed Whizzbang to prosper with some ease, finishing the contest four lengths clear in the poorly attended, three horse race.

Black Op – 3/1

Also seeking a Grade 2 victory at Newbury in late November was Black Op, but the eight-year-old fell just a little short, never quite matching the pace of the winner, Nicky Henderson’s Champ. Still, to push the Sefton Novices’ Hurdle winner so far will give Tom George confidence, as will the outrageously easy win secured at Stratford four weeks earlier. Although it was not a particularly competitive contest, Black Op jumped exceptionally well on his chase debut on his way to a 15-length victory. This jumping ability will serve him well here with 18 fences to tackle and he’s one we expect to push Slate House all the way.

Master Tommytucker – 7/2

Master Tommytucker’s steeplechasing career could not have gotten off to a much worse start. Debuting in a low class affair at Chepstow, the seven-year-old was full of enthusiasm but perhaps a little too much as he ended up approaching the 13th fence far too quickly and subsequently failed to get anywhere near the level of elevation required.

Despite the rather awful mistake, it’s important to remember Paul Nicholls’ horse was travelling well prior to that and looked more than comfortable among Listed quality. Stepping back in class after, the eight-year-old won here at Kempton, just holding on in a Class 4 contest. A recent course win certainly won’t hurt his chances but a 2m 2f test doesn’t prepare him especially well for this far lengthier challenge, especially on testing ground.

Jarveys Plate – 14/1

Standing as our only credible long-odds options for this race is Fergal O’Brien’s Jarveys Plate, who, exactly like Danny Whizzbang, beat Reserve Tank by four lengths in a three horse race this season. Failing to build on such a solid debut, the chestnut gelding could only manage second from last at Haydock Park as he tired rapidly late on. Although he has competed over three miles back in his point-to-point days, this novice chaser hasn’t run close since, meaning it’s difficult to see him winning over this sort of distance.

Recent Winners

2019 Slate House 3/1 Colin Tizzard Robbie Power
2018 La Bague Au Roi 8/1 Warren Greatrex Richard Johnson
2017 Black Corton 4/1 Paul Nicholls Bryony Frost
2016 Royal Vacation 33/1 Colin Tizzard Paddy Brennan
2015 Tea For Two 9/4 Nick Williams Lizzie Kelly
2014 Coneygree 10/3 Mark Bradstock Nico de Boinville
2013 Annacotty 12/1 Martin Keighley Ian Popham
2012 Dynaste 8/13 David Pipe Tom Scudamore
2011 Grand Crus 6/5 David Pipe Tom Scudamore
2010 Meeting abandoned due to snow

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