Betfair Chase Betting Tips, Winners & History

Next Race: TBD

The next renewal of this race has not been scheduled yet. We will update this once the schedule has been released for next season. The race info, trends and tips shown below will be updated for the next renewal once the final declarations have been made.

Betfair Chase Betting Tips

Note: The following tips are from 2020. Tips for the next renewal will be added once the final declarations have been made.

Established in 2005, this contest has been almost utterly dominated by just three trainers. Nigel Twiston-Davies boasts three wins and Colin Tizzard four, but it is Paul Nicholls who leads the way with an impressive six triumphs. Four of those came courtesy of the magnificent Kauto Star and whilst we don’t have anything of quite Kauto’s standard this year we do have a typically classy lineup. Nicholls sends dual King George hero Clan Des Obeaux into battle this time around and that horse is considered to be one of three in with a real chance here.

Kauto Star is far from the only horse to register multiple wins in this race. Silviniaco Conti also won it twice for Nicholls, whilst the hugely popular Cue Card landed the prize three times for Colin Tizzard. We have two previous winners in this year’s field in the shape of Bristol De Mai, who bids for a third triumph, and defending champion Lostintranslation who goes for a second.

This has only really been a fair race for those at the head of the market. The past 10 years have returned four winning favourites or joint favourites – a respectable strike rate, but still resulting in a £1 level stakes loss of £1.99. That said, the three winning favourites (5/4, 11/10 and 15/8) in the last four years have more handsomely rewarded those backing the jolly.

Given we have only a very small field this year, with just five declared, we do not really need to analyse trends too much in order to whittle things down. None the less, there are a few things worth noting. Aside from the aforementioned trainer stats, it is worth noting that three jockeys have returned a level stakes profit (win singles) from this race.

Paddy Brennan leads the way with his three wins from five runs but doesn’t feature this year. Next up though are two men that do, Daryl Jacob (+£5.60 and rides Bristol De Mai) and Robbie Power (+£1.25, Lostintranslation). The likely third favourite and the only other contender to fit other price-based trends, is ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies. Clan Des Obeaux’s jockey has ridden in this race three times before and is yet to finish in the places.

Lostintranslation – 11/8

The obvious place to start here is with 2019 winner, Lostintranslation who looks to boast solid claims of joining that illustrious list of previous multiple winners in this race. Only once finishing outside of the first three in 10 career starts over fences, his form figures in soft ground chases read 211P – with that “P” coming when a breathing problem was discovered following last season’s King George VI Chase at Kempton. And of course, his big career highlight came when landing this prize 12 months ago.

It takes a good horse to master an on on-song Bristol De Mai around here, but that is exactly what this son of Flemensfirth managed last season, and he did it in pretty good style too. Absolutely lobbing along behind Nigel Twiston-Davies’ pace-making grey two from home, it looked at that stage as though he may pull comfortably clear.

Ultimately, he did need to knuckle down after the last, but showed excellent determination to repel the gallant runner-up by 1½l. The world appeared to be his oyster on the back of that effort – and then came the no show in the King George. A subsequent wind-op seems to have fixed his breathing issues though, and the gelding rounded off the campaign when running a stormer to be beaten only 1½l into third behind Al Boum Photo in the Cheltenham Gold Cup. A cracking effort on the face of it, and all the more so considering the Tizzard yard was really struggling for results at the time. Likely coming into his prime at eight years of age, he looks a worthy favourite and should prove very hard to stop.

Bristol De Mai – 5/2

Dual King George champ Clan Des Obeaux certainly can’t be forgotten about in what is a real battle of the heavyweights, particularly as his trainer Paul Nicholls seems pretty bullish about his chances in the lead up to the race. Overall though it’s tough to ignore the record of Bristol De Mai at Haydock, and he may prove the biggest threat to the jolly.

With career form figures at the track of 11112, it’s fair to say that this admirable grey seems to like it around here! A real stalwart of the NH scene, he does seem to have been around forever now, but is still actually only nine years of age and by no means over the hill.

He is however now without a win in six starts – the longest such losing streak of his career. That said, his overall level of form in three outings last season was still of a very high standard – following up his second place in this race with a runners up finish to subsequent Gold Cup second, Santini in the Cotswold Chase at Cheltenham.

His 18½l ninth in the Gold Cup itself on his final start of the season was admittedly disappointing, but he has bounced back from a slightly subpar effort in that race in the past, and may do so once again here. The mount of Daryl Jacob does have a little bit to find with Lostintranslation, but supporters will be optimistic that the current soft ground may well help him bridge the gap. It was good to soft here 12 months ago, but six of Bristol De Mai’s nine career victories have come on soft or worse going. If the forecast rain materialises that might just make the difference, although Lostintranslation should also handle that well enough too in fairness.