Middle Park Stakes Betting Tips & Predictions – Newmarket, Saturday 28th September 2019

Saturday’s card at Newmarket may boast the historic Cambridgeshire handicap as its headline act, but we do also have not one, but two excellent Group 1 contests on the card. The second of which is this event for the juvenile colts. Regularly attracting a number of the most promising youngsters in training, this race has been landed by talents such as Brigadier Gerard, Oasis Dream and Rodrigo De Triano over the years.

This year’s race looks well worth tuning into, with at least three of the runners looking like potential superstars. Overall, we fancy the potent British and Irish challenge may still not be quite strong enough to repel the talented French raider.

Top Tips

Earthlight to win at 2/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

Race Info

We have a total of £275,000 in prize money up for grabs in this six furlong Group 1 contest, with the ground at the track currently described as good.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good 6f Group 1 £275,000 9 Runners 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

Aidan O’Brien is the most successful trainer in the history of this race with six wins. He sends Monarch Of Egypt, Lope Y Fernandez and King Neptune in pursuit of the prize this year. The Britain-based trainers have held their own in recent years though, with seven wins in the past decade.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2018 Ten Sovereigns 8/13 Aidan O’Brien Donnacha O’Brien
2017 U S Navy Flag 10/1 Aidan O’Brien Seamie Heffernan
2016 The Last Lion 25/1 Mark Johnston Joe Fanning
2015 Shalaa 1/2 John Gosden Frankie Dettori
2014 Charming Thought 22/1 Charlie Appleby William Buick

Vie For Victory

Always a high quality race, the 2019 edition looks to be well up to scratch, with three of the top four in the market for the 2020 2000 Guineas all set to go to post. Will any of them be able to put in a performance to rival that of current juvenile king, Pinatubo?

Leading Light?

It’s been a long time since this prize fell to France, no less than 27 years in fact. The man to claim top spot back in 1992 was French training legend André Fabre, and it is he who sends out the favourite for this year’s renewal, in the shape of his Shamardal colt, Earthlight.

A perfect four from four in his career to date, and already a Group 1 winner having landed the Prix Morny at Deauville last time out, this Godolphin runner may well take some stopping. To beat the talented Queen Mary Stakes winner, Raffle Prize in that Deauville contest, conceding 4lbs, and on ground far softer than ideal was no mean feat, and sees him out on his own at the head of the ratings.

Kin To Win

If Ireland are to land the prize this year, then the horse most likely to do it hails not from the yard of Aidan O’Brien, but that of the County Meath-based Ger Lyons. Like Earthlight, the Lyons runner, Siskin, is unbeaten in four career starts headed into this, and also like Earthlight he is already proven in the grade, having mastered the re-opposing Monarch Of Egypt in the Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh last time out.

The bare form of the Irish races does lie a little below that Prix Morny contest to our eyes, but not by much, and it’s hard not to have been impressed by the manner in which Siskin has travelled through his races before quickening up to put the race to bed once asked. He looks well worth his place in the field and shouldn’t be far away.

Mums The Word?

Given the success that Richard Hannon, Jnr. and his father before him have enjoyed with their two year old runners, it is a little surprising to see that neither has as yet managed to win this race. Hannon, Jnr. will be hoping that all changes this year as he sends both Threat and Mums Tipple into battle. Threat is not dismissed lightly, but Hannon’s best chance does look to lie with Mums Tipple.

Highly promising when scoring at Ascot on debut, he was then a huge plunge horse ahead of the Goffs Premier Yearling Stakes at York. That money never for a second looked like being held onto by the bookmakers, as this son of Footstepsinthesand put in a quite staggering performance to pulverise his 20 rivals by no less than 11 lengths. It’s a big step up from a Class 2 to a Group 1, but handed a rating of 116 on the back of that win, there really isn’t anywhere else for him to go.

Final Verdict: Earthlight to win

This looks an absolute cracker with a whole host of highly likeable colts in the line-up. There isn’t a huge amount in it, but for us the pick of the bunch is the French raider, Earthlight. We had Raffle Prize towards the top of our list of this year’s juvenile runners – so for Earthlight to beat her, under conditions which were far from ideal, marks him out as a colt of the highest order.

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