Prince Of Wales’s Stakes Betting Tips & Predictions – Ascot, Wednesday 19th June 2019

Just the one Group 1 contest on day two at Royal Ascot, but it’s a good one. Purely in terms of the prize money on offer, the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes is in fact the biggest race of the week. Won by superstars such as Dubai Millennium, Ouija Board and Highland Reel, this is one contest which rarely disappoints.

The market has generally proven to be a pretty good guide here, with all but one of the last seven winners setting off at 11/2 or shorter. We’re fully expecting the trend to continue here as Magical looks more than capable of yet another top class victory.

Top Tips

Magical to win @ 15/8

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

1m2f is the trip for this Group 1 contest. Set to be run on good going this year, the race offers £750,000 in total prize money.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good 1m 2f Group 1 £750,000 8 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

Whilst this event is open to all runners aged four and older, only once in the past 22 renewals has the winner been older than five. The four year olds have led the way over this period with 13 wins.

This race regularly features a presence from across over the globe with America, Germany, France, New Zealand all producing winners this side of the century. Alongside the usual Irish contingent this year, we also have a visitor from Japan in the form of Mitsuru Hashida’s unfancied outsider Deirdre.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2018 Poet’s Word 11/2 Sir Michael Stoute James Doyle
2017 Highland Reel 9/4 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2016 My Dream Boat 16/1 Clive Cox Adam Kirby
2015 Free Eagle 5/2 Dermot Weld Pat Smullen
2014 The Fugue 11/2 John Gosden William Buick

Analysis: A Magical battle awaits

Narrowly leading the betting for this year’s Prince of Wales’s Stakes is Aidan O’Brien’s Magical. A truly fine horse but one that faces some intense competition from Sea Of Class, Crystal Ocean and Waldgeist. Pitted against such talent, this renewal is shaping up to be a truly fascinating and one likely to be determined by the most slender of margins.

Class resumes

We’ve not seen Sea of Class (9/4) in action since she was so narrowly denied a brilliant l’Arc de Triomphe victory by the supreme Enable in October. Any horse that finishes so high up in Europe’s finest thoroughbred event demands respect especially as she faced some traffic issues during her time in Longchamp. Facing only seven other horses here, the filly should enjoy a much clearer path, one that will allow her to extend those long galloping legs of hers. She may find herself with not enough turf to race on though as the four-year-old has performed best across a mile-and-a-half distance.

Magical hits spell-binding form

Sea Of Class was not the only horse finishing closely behind Enable last season. John Gosden’s filly also denied Magical in the Breeders’ Cup Turf, forcing Aidan O’Brien’s then three-year-old to settle for just one win for the season. She’s been far more in the winning habit since her season return though, following a trio of commanding performances across the Irish Sea. Most recently she strutted her stuff in the 1m 2½f Tattersalls Gold Cup, crushing stablemate Flag Of Honour who is hardly a slouch. If able to run as well as she did then, it’ll take something special to beat the filly.

Waldgeist the best of the rest

Closely following the top two in the betting is Crystal Ocean (9/2) but his absence of a Group 1 victory is enough to reduce some of his appeal. Not lacking winning experience at the highest level is Waldgeist (5/1) who made it Group 1 win number three in April after an impressive showing in Longchamp’s Prix Ganay. Although his record outside of France isn’t great, he ran well on his Ascot debut two-years-ago when settling for an unlucky second place. Adding to his appeal is his ground versatility as conditions at Ascot could well change judging by recent weather forecasts.

Final Verdict: Magical to win

You can make a strong claim for Sea Of Class here but it’s Magical who your bets should go on. O’Brien’s filly seems slightly better suited to a 10 furlong test and she comes into the race having already proven she’s in absolutely peak condition. Elsewhere in the market there is some degree of appeal in backing Waldgeist but it’s hard to see how she’ll edge out the leading pair.

About

Welsh Flag

Royal Ascots has no shortage of lucrative races but the most valuable of them, by some distance, is the Prince of Wales’s Stakes. In 2018, the Group 1 event boasted a purse of £750,000, making it one of the richest races in British racing. Consistently attracting a wealth of top talent as a result, the middle distance contest is one of the main highlights of the five day Royal Ascot meet.

Although the race began in 1862, it ceased to exist between 1940 and 1967. World War II sparked its initial cancellation and an absence of a Prince of Wales saw the race disbanded once the conflict was over. Triggering the return of the race in 1968 was the imminent investiture of Prince Charles. The heir to the British throne had been made Prince of Wales in 1958 but it was only around a decade later when the title was formally presented to him.

Dubai Millennium win marks new era

How fitting it was that racing superstar, Dubai Millennium, won this race in the year 2000. It was at the same time the race was pushed-up to Group 1 status, something it’s not looked back from since. Some decent names featured on the winners list prior to this but there’s no denying there’s been a noticeable increase in standard since Dubai Millennium’s victory. Unable to enjoy the boosted reputation of the race are three-year-old horses however, as the change in grading also saw the age requirement increase from three to four.

Dubai Millennium's 9 Victories

Date Race Course Grade Winnings
June 2000 Prince Of Wales's Stakes Ascot Group 1 £157,000
March 2000 Dubai World Cup Nad Al Sheba Group 1 £2.2 m
March 2000 al Maktoum Challenge (Third Round) Nad Al Sheba Listed £35,000
September 1999 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Ascot Group 1 £195,000
August 1999 Prix Jacques le Marois Deauville Group 1 £108,000
July 1999 Prix Eugene Adam Maisons-Laffitte Group 2 £32,000
May 1999 Predominate Stakes Goodwood Listed £21,000
May 1999 Conditions Stakes Doncaster Class 3 £6,000
October 1998 Maiden Stakes Yarmouth Class 4 £4,000

My Dream Boat serves up a surprise

Since obtaining Group 1 status in 2000, the Prince of Wales’s Stakes has been a race starved of real surprises. Every winner this century set off trading at 17/2 or shorter, with the exception of 2016 champion My Dream Boat. The four-year-old helped the bookies rake in the cash as he edged out Aidan O’Brien’s Found in a historically slow renewal. A winning time of 2:11:38 is the slowest of the modern era despite not overly testing conditions at Ascot. Clearly the market leaders had a poor day at the office collectively and this allowed a long odds outsider to claim the glory.

Equally as surprising in the 2016 edition of the race was how badly much fancied Japanese superstar A Shin Hikari fared. The 8/13 favourite came into the race having won a number of high grade events in Japan as well as the Prix d’Ispahan in Chantilly. The son of Deep Impact was unable to produce on his British soil debut though as he wound up stone last in the field of six.

Chart Showing the Start Price of the Winner of the Prince Of Wales's Stakes Between 2009 and 2018

Not so fast

It’s not unusual to see the occasional disqualification in racing but the Prince of Wales’s Stakes has attracted more than its fair share over the years. Cupbearer was the first horse to be denied victory in 1902 with the race subsequently awarded to Epsom Derby winner Ard Patrick. Trepan was the next up in 1976 as he won with the assistance of a banned substance. The most recent change in result came in 1992 as a steward’s inquiry relegated Kooyonga from first to third due to careless riding from jockey Warren O'Connor.

California Chrome nearly a special guest

California Chrome at the 2014 Kentucky erby
Bill Brine, flickr

Art Sherman was all set to feature California Chrome in the 2015 Prince of Wales. His horse made the journey across the Atlantic and was reportedly acclimatising well to his new surroundings. The market didn’t carry too much faith in his chances but it was nevertheless an exciting prospect to have the Kentucky Derby winner competing on British soil.

Sadly, a bruised foot, sustained just days before the race, forced him to pull out however, to the dismay of so many racing fans. He never did return to the UK after this during a career that saw the American thoroughbred collect almost $15m in prize money.

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