Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Newmarket) Betting Tips & Preview – Saturday 6th October 2018

No shortage of high-class racing action on offer this weekend, with the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe of course taking centre stage over in France. We do have a Group 1 contest a little closer to home too though, and it comes at Newmarket with this contest for the fillies.

A competitive renewal, with a decent case to be made for a number of these. Overall though we will be going for this year’s Guineas winner to rediscover her form back at the scene of her finest hour.

Top Tips

Billesdon Brook each way @ 14/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

One mile is the trip for this Group 1 contest. Set to be run on good to firm ground this year, the race offers £250,000 in total prize money.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good to firm 1m Group 1 £250,000 13 Runners 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

Open to all fillies aged three and older, it is the older runners who have held the edge over the past decade, but only just, with six wins as opposed to four for the classic generation.

Ryan Moore has been the man to follow amongst the jockeys having registered three wins in the past five years.

2017 Roly Poly 4/1 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2016 Alice Springs 13/8 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2015 Esoterique 11/8 André Fabre Pierre-Charles Boudot
2014 Integral 7/2 Sir Michael Stoute Ryan Moore
2013 Sky Lantern 7/4 Richard Hannon Snr Richard Hughes

Analysis: Back Hannon Filly To Pay The Billes

We look to have a quality renewal in store this year, with Britain, Ireland and France all strongly represented. A good illustration of just how strong this race is comes with the fact that the winner of this year’s 1000 Guineas is a double figure price and amongst the outsiders.

Wind To Win For France?

Going in the Derrick Smith, Mrs John Magnier and Michael Tabor colours more commonly associated with the Aidan O’Brien yard, it is the French raider, Wind Chimes who currently heads the betting for this year’s renewal. Having sent out Esoterique to take this in 2015, trainer André Fabre knows what it takes to succeed here, and this one brings some pretty strong form to the table, including when second in the Prix du Moulin last time out. The daughter of Mastercraftsman is nevertheless yet to win at above Group 3 level though, so does have a little bit to prove.

Laurens To Have John Dancing Again?

Top of the betting list amongst the home team is the John Dance owned, Laurens. Beginning the season with a fine second place finish in the 1000 Guineas, the only blot since has come when failing to stay the 1m4f trip in the Yorkshire Oaks. She stunned an admittedly below par – and subsequently retired – Alpha Centauri when landing the Matron Stakes over this trip at Leopardstown last time out so arrives here in excellent form. She also likes it around here having won the Fillies Mile last season in addition to that second in the Guineas.

Brook To Bounce Back?

Then of course he have this year’s 1000 Guineas heroine, Billesdon Brook. It’s hard to knock classic winning form, and all the more so when that Classic was held over this very course and distance. A 66/1 shock winner that day, she has admittedly disappointed in her two starts since, but if we consider that she simply may not have stayed the 1m2f trip at Goodwood last time, that really only leaves her fourth placed effort in the Coronation Stakes which we need to forgive. A mile on quick ground is just what she needs and it’s hard to forget the manner in which she travelled and quickened to put the race to bed that day.

Final Verdict: Billesdon Brook each way

Laurens would be the one for us from those towards the head of the market. She may not get her own way in front here though, particularly with Aidan O’Brien having three in the race, and may just be vulnerable to a hold up horse.

The one to take a chance on each way is Billesdon Brook. The Richard Hannon filly has beaten Laurens before, likes this track and quick ground and may just find this race set up nicely for her in the closing stages.

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