Derby County v Cardiff City Betting Tips & Preview – Sunday 18th March 2018

Gary Rowett’s Derby County and Neil Warnock’s Cardiff City meet at Pride Park this Sunday for the final EFL Championship fixture before the international break. A slump in form in recent months has seen the Rams drop 14 points behind second-placed Cardiff, who have won each of their last seven league matches. The Rams will now be looking over their shoulder as Sheffield United are only three points behind in seventh.

Cardiff won a seven-goal thriller at Pride Park in this fixture last season, will we see another goal fest in the East Midlands? Three points for the Bluebirds will take them one step closer to the Premier League, but a Derby win could blow the automatic promotion race wide open again. This should be a cracker at Pride Park and we think it’s set to be another close, entertaining clash.

Top Tips

Draw @ 11/5

Draw & BTTS @ 7/2

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

Derby County Form

Derby have made a habit of slipping out of the promotion picture in recent years and are in danger of repeating that this term as we reach the business end of proceedings. After a 3-0 home win over Brentford in early February, the Rams went second, three points above Cardiff. However, County have picked up just five points from a possible 21 since, winning none in the process.

The Rams have gone off the boil since the turn of the year, but only leaders Wolverhampton Wanderers have lost fewer matches in the second tier so far. Can Rowett’s side get their promotion bid back on track with a vital home victory this Sunday?

MatchDateScoreResult
Nottingham Forest v Derby County 11th March 2018 0-0 Draw
Queens Park Rangers v Derby County 6th March 2018 1-1 Draw
Derby County v Fulham 3rd March 2018 1-2 Loss

Cardiff City Form

After losing four on the bounce over the Christmas period, most people fancied Cardiff to slip away, even Warnock himself. However, the Bluebirds have found a second wind from somewhere having won nine and drawn two of their last 11 Championship matches since their New Year’s Day defeat at Queens Park Rangers.

The Welsh outfit followed up two narrow home wins with an excellent 3-1 victory at Brentford last Tuesday. Cardiff have some very difficult games on the horizon, starting Sunday, but seven wins on the spin has their confidence soaring. Warnock’s troops will take a giant leap towards the Premier League with a victory at Pride Park this weekend.

MatchDateScoreResult
Brentford v Cardiff City 13th March 2018 1-3 Win
Cardiff City v Birmingham City 10th March 2018 3-2 Win
Cardiff City v Barnsley 6th March 2018 2-1 Win

Head to Head Stats

Just over a year ago, Cardiff came from two goals down to seal a stunning 4-3 win at Pride Park. Derby were 2-0 up after just 14 minutes, but the Bluebirds made it 3-2 in the 57th. Cardiff took the points when Joe Ralls slotted home an injury-time penalty to make it 4-3.

Things were a lot less eventful in the reverse fixture at the Cardiff City Stadium earlier this season. The pair played out a pretty forgettable goalless draw in the Welsh capital.

DateHomeScoreAwayResultCompetition
30th Sep 2017 Cardiff 0-0 Derby Draw Championship
14th Feb 2017 Derby 3-4 Cardiff Cardiff Championship
27th Sep 2016 Cardiff 0-2 Derby Derby Championship

Injuries & Suspensions

Derby will be without the injured George Thorne, Joe Ledley and Sam Winnall and the suspended Tom Huddlestone, who was sent off at the City Ground last Sunday. Jamie Ward is once again a doubt while Aron Gunnarsson and Joe Ralls won’t be fit until after the international break.

Derby County

  • Kyle McAllister - Likely to miss out with a groin strain
  • George Thorne - Out for a few weeks with a calf injury
  • Joe Ledley - Side-lined with a calf issue
  • Sam Winnall - Out with a cruciate ligament injury
  • Tom Huddlestone - Midfielder suspended

Cardiff City

  • Aron Gunnarsson - Out with an ankle injury
  • Jamie Ward - Out with a groin strain
  • Danny Ward - Out for the season with an ankle injury
  • Joe Ralls - Side-lined with a knee problem

Betting Tips

This is a massive game for both as they aim to reach the promised land come May. Being at home, Derby head into this one as the slight favourites, but it’s difficult to rule out Warnock’s high-flying Bluebirds at the moment. Whatever the outcome, this promises to be a tense, eventful and full-blooded encounter at Pride Park.

Draw

Derby have drawn four of their last six home Championship matches, while Cardiff have won four and drawn two of their last six away league and cup affairs. A draw would suit the away side more on Sunday, and we can’t see Warnock’s men losing this one. Back the stalemate at 11/5.

Draw & Both Teams to Score

Despite the reverse match finishing in a 0-0 draw in Wales back in September, there have been 20 goals scored in the last seven meetings between the two. We can see goals in this one, so have a punt on the draw and both teams to score at 7/2.

Junior Hoilett to Score Anytime

Junior Hoilett has had a hand in 18 league goals for Cardiff, scoring eight and assisting 10. The attacker is available at 3/1 to score anytime on Sunday.

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