Liverpool v FC Porto Betting Tips & Preview – Tuesday 6th March 2018

Liverpool will take a 5-0 lead into the second leg of their Champions League last 16 clash against Porto. It’s surely over as a contest and Jurgen Klopp may choose to rest some names as a result.

Porto will simply be playing for pride at Anfield. The biggest margin of defeat in the Champions League knockout stages stands at 11 goals, a record set when Bayern beat Sporting 12-1 on aggregate in 2009. Equalling this record cannot be ruled out if the Portuguese side perform like they did in the first leg.

Top Tips

Porto to win with +2 handicap @ 8/13

Both teams to score @ 4/5

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

Liverpool Form

Liverpool responded to their 3-2 FA Cup defeat to West Brom by winning four of their next five matches. Only a late Harry Kane penalty denied them a perfect record although it was a game that probably deserved to finish all square. The Reds were defensively suspect against Spurs but otherwise they’ve been very solid, letting in just one goal against Huddersfield, Southampton and West Ham combined. The real plaudits of course have been directed towards Mohamed Salah who has continued his incredible scoring run. Last weekend the Egyptian equalled Luis Suarez’s best ever season at Anfield with two and a bit months to spare.

When it comes to European form, the Reds ended the group stages in December in emphatic style, beating Spartak Moscow 7-0. Porto will have no doubt studied this game closely prior to their meeting with the Reds but their homework seemed to do them little good. The 5-0 win in Portugal was Liverpool’s third huge Champions League win of the season and they really are an unstoppable force when they get going. The Merseysiders are the second most deadly side in England by a comfortable margin and they’ll no doubt be looking for more goals on Tuesday night.

MatchDateScoreResult
Liverpool v West Ham United 24th February 2018 4-1 Win
FC Porto v Liverpool 14th February 2018 0-5 Win
Southampton v Liverpool 11th February 2018 0-2 Win

FC Porto Form

It was a surprise to see Porto so easily brushed aside when they took on Liverpool at the Estádio Do Dragão. They are the best side in Portugal as things stand and they progressed through a tricky Champions League group to reach the knockout stages. The odds were suggesting a competitive contest was on the cards but Sérgio Conceição’s men simply had no answer to the pace of the Reds attack. The Porto boss refused to be too harsh on his team post-match, suggesting the game could have been a lot different if Otavio had converted his big chance early on.

It was the first time in nine home matches that Porto had failed to score but they wasted no time getting back to scoring ways, notching five past Rio Ave four days later. The Primeira Liga favourites then put three past Estoril and five past Portimonense with their league form completely unaffected by the Champions League blow. Moussa Marega has been one of the men in form of late, managing four goals in his last three appearances. The Mali international is still without a Champions League goal though so he looks like he may fail to have a productive night in Liverpool.

MatchDateScoreResult
Portimonense v FC Porto 25th February 2018 1-5 Win
Estoril v FC Porto 21st February 2018 1-3 Win
FC Porto v Rio Ave 18th February 2018 5-0 Win

Head to Head Stats

Porto have never beaten the Reds yet they need to score at least five goals past them here to avoid elimination. Liverpool’s big win last month means they’ve now fired nine goals past Porto in their last two meetings with the Portuguese outfit.

DateHomeScoreAwayResultCompetition
14th Feb 2018 Porto 5 - 0 Liverpool Liverpool Champions League
28th Nov 2007 Liverpool 4 - 1 Porto Liverpool Champions League
18th Sep 2007 Porto 1 - 1 Liverpool Draw Champions League

Injuries & Suspensions

Liverpool will be almost injury-free for this match but that doesn’t mean a full strength line-up will feature.

Liverpool

  • Danny Ings - Has been under the weather lately but should be fully recovered by Tuesday.
  • Georgino Wijnaldum - Same situation as Ings.
  • Nathaniel Clyne - Building match fitness after a lengthy absence.

FC Porto

  • Danilo Pereira - Calf strain could see him miss out.
  • Vincent Aboubakar - Has a chance of playing after missing the first leg.
  • Ricardo Pereira - Thigh problem means he’s a doubt.
  • Alex Telles - Expected to be fit for this match.
  • Jesus Corona - Should be able to play despite hand injury.

Betting Tips

With a clash against Man Utd awaiting Liverpool at the weekend, Jurgen Klopp could well give a few players a rest here which should be enough to spare Porto another battering.

Porto +2

There’s little point in Liverpool risking any injuries for this match with so much still at stake in the Premier League. It’s hard to see even a fully rotated Liverpool side in any danger of throwing their lead away but without the star men another emphatic win for the Reds would appear unlikely.

BTTS

Liverpool should still carry a goal threat even with rotated staff and Porto have rarely looked defensively sound in this competition. The visitors won’t be looking to shut up shop in Anfield, they have nothing to lose so they may as well give things a go. Conceição’s men have scored in all three of their Champions League away matches so far this season and should be fancied to maintain this run.

Liverpool 2-1

The Reds boast a strong record at Anfield and it’s a place where they very rarely lose. Klopp won’t be happy just to settle for an aggregate victory, he’ll want a win on the night as well to keep the home crowd happy. It’s not the easiest scoreline to call but at odds of 7/1, opting for a 2-1 home win looks to be the pick of the bunch from the correct score market.

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