Qatar Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (Longchamp) Betting Tips & Preview – Sunday 7th October 2018

This coming Sunday see’s the Paris track of Longchamp play host to one of the very best – and possibly THE best – races run anywhere in the world. Serving up a clash of the generations, the crème de la crème amongst the colts and fillies do battle in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. As ever we look set to have a truly mouth-watering field going to post.

This contest has gone to a British or Irish trained runner in each of the past three years, and we will be banking on more of the same in 2018, with the filly who was the best in the business last season fancied to show she still has what it takes.

Top Tips

Enable to win @ Evens

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

A distance of 1m4f is the trip for this most prestigious of Group 1 contests. Set to be run on good ground this year the race offers a whopping £3,539,823 in total prize money.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good 1m4f Group 1 £3,539,823 24 Runners 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

The classic generation have held sway here in recent times with the three year olds having landed the prize in seven out of the past 10 years.

It has also paid dividends to side with the fairer sex, with seven of the past 10 editions being claimed by a filly.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2017 Enable 10/11 John Gosden Frankie Dettori
2016 Found 6/1 Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore
2015 Golden Horn 9/2 John Gosden Frankie Dettori
2014 Treve 11/1 Christiane Head Thierry Jarnet
2013 Treve 9/2 Christiane Head Thierry Jarnet

Analysis: Gosden To Grab Gold Again

We have another cracking renewal in store, with a number of interesting storylines headed into the race and challengers coming from far and wide. Can last year’s champion defend her crown? Will the new star filly on the scene take the next step up? Or are we in for a shock result?

Wonder Filly Able To Defend Her Crown?

Hot favourite for this year’s edition is the filly who has already been there and got the t-shirt – last year’s winner, Enable. This supremely talented daughter of Nathaniel swept all before here last season, coming out well on top in the Oaks, Irish Oaks, King George and Yorkshire Oaks prior to emerging two and half lengths clear of the field in this race. At her best she will likely prove very tough to beat.

On the downside things haven’t gone entirely smoothly this year - indeed she only made her seasonal return 29 days ago following an injury setback. She did look pretty good in seeing off Crystal Ocean that day though. As a four year old she will have to carry seven pounds more than 12 months ago, which in theory at least should bring her back to the field. On a more positive note, her trainer John Gosden has won this twice in the past three years, and can be expected to have her in peak condition on the day.

Sea A Class Apart?

The one for trends fans here will likely be the William Haggas-trained Sea Of Class. As a three year old filly this one fits the profile of a typical recent winner here pretty well and has done everything asked of her at the track to date. A daughter of Sea The Stars who won this in 2009, she heads here having won each of her past four starts, the last two of which have come in Group 1 company. A smooth traveller in possession of a useful turn of foot, she looks a big threat to all.

Vain Pursuit For Flying’s Rivals?

With seven previous wins in the race, Andre Fabre is the Arc’s all-time top trainer. His son of Galileo, Waldgeist looks to represent the strongest challenge from amongst the home team this time around. The balance of this ones form over the course of his career would leave him with a good bit to find but – still only four – he may well still be improving, and his two best runs have been his most recent ones, including when cantering home in the Prix Foy – one of the key trials for this race – last time out.

Final Verdict: Enable to win

Sea Of Class is the one possible fly in the ointment here, but overall this year’s edition doesn’t look any stronger than that which Enable won so comfortably last year. Having had a nice tune up at Kempton last time out, she will arrive here fresher than most, she is the proven class of this field, and even with the additional weight she still looks much the most likely winner to our eyes.

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