Weatherby’s Super Sprint Stakes Betting Tips & Predictions – Newbury, Saturday 20th July 2019

The juvenile sprinters hog the spotlight this coming Saturday with the day’s feature contest coming in the Weatherbys Super Sprint at Newbury. The conditions of this race are a little different from the standard handicap affairs we are used to. With the weights being allocated according to the price paid for each horse, it is not necessarily the best horse which carries the most weight here, merely the most expensive.

This has fallen to a runner at a double figure price with a relatively light weight in each of the past two seasons and, whilst the favourite is greatly feared, our money will be going on it being a similar story this time around.

Top Tips

Odyssey Girl each way @ 16/1

Odds correct at time of writing but may have changed since. Check site for latest prices.

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Race Info

5f is the trip for this Class 2 contest offering £250,000 in total prize money and set to be run on good ground this year.

GoingDistanceGradePrize MoneyRunnersEW Terms
Good 5f Class 2 £250,000 25 Runners 1/5 1-3

Recent Winners

Given the conditions of this contest it should – in theory at least – be easy for punters to spot those runners who are well in on the handicap and back them accordingly. This is borne out in the stats over the past decade. Simply backing the favourite would have yielded four wins over this period and a level stakes profit of 4.5pts.

Richard Fahey has been the man to follow amongst the trainers, with the Yorkshire-based handler sending out the winner in 2013, the first and second in 2015, and the first and third in 2017.

YearWinnerSPTrainerJockey
2018 Ginger Nut 16/1 Richard Hannon Harry Bentley
2017 Bengali Boys 12/1 Richard Fahey Barry McHugh
2016 Mrs Danvers 9/2 Jonathan Portman Luke Morris
2015 Lathom 28/1 Richard Fahey Tony Hamilton
2014 Tiggy Wiggy 5/2 Richard Hannon Richard Hughes

Analysis: Spencer’s Sprint Odyssey

This looks as hugely competitive as ever, and no doubt a number of these will have been specifically targeted at landing this big pot. The field is jam-packed with potential improvers, but most will need to improve a good deal if they are to trouble the market leaders.

Ventura Victorious?

We have touched upon the formidable recent record Richard Fahey has in this contest, and judged purely on handicapping terms, he looks to have outstanding claims of landing the prize once again this year. There are a few in here who have not been handed an official rating just yet but, of those who have, Fahey’s Ventura Rebel is the clear standout. Last sighted being beaten just a neck in the Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, that performance was enough to earn him a rating of 107, giving him 10lbs and more in hand over his rivals here. That Ascot effort was actually even better than it looked at the time as he lost a shoe during the race, and it’s no surprise to see this son of Pastoral Pursuits as the clear market leader.

Spirit’s Sprint?

Just about the next best in at the weights is another runner from the Richard Fahey yard. Mighty Spirit has been very consistent in her four career starts to date – finishing second in three of them, and running a cracker to be beaten only 3½l in the Group 2 Queen Mary Stakes. That effort would certainly put her right in the mix here, but even she has 10lbs to find with the jolly on the book. With three of the past five editions having been landed by a filly, she does at least have recent trends on her side.

Girl To Grab Gold?

Of those yet to be assigned an official rating, the clear standout to our eyes is another of the fillies in the field, Odyssey Girl, from the yard of Richard Spencer. This one landed her maiden at the track last time out in a race won in 2018 by the Spencer-trained Cookupastorm. The comments in the aftermath of that race would suggest that Odyssey Girl is rated a better horse than Cookupastorm, which considering Cookupastorm was beaten just over a length in this race 12 months ago, when carrying 8st7lb, makes Odyssey Girl look very interesting with only 8st2lb on her back.

Final Verdict: Odyssey Girl each way

It’s very difficult to knock Ventura Rebel on the formbook, and he probably is the most likely winner of this. He can take a while to hit full stride though, which is far from ideal in a 20+ runner field where he may well find himself behind a wall of horses. At the prices we prefer an each way punt on Odyssey Girl who did the job nicely on debut and sneaks in towards the bottom the weights.

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